Kinetik Holdings Inc. (KNTK) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the KNTK stock price target?

Take-profit $49.69 (-1.7% upside). Prior stop was $48.11.

Q: What are the risks of investing in KNTK?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-1.7% away); Target reached (-13.5% upside); Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside.

Q: Is KNTK overvalued or undervalued?

Kinetik Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.9 (forward 24.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about KNTK?

23 analysts cover KNTK with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $50.

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

$50.57-1.7% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#28 of 41 Oil & Gas Midstream

Stop $48.11Target $49.69(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1

Analyst target$50.29-0.6%14 analysts

$49.69our TP

$50.57price

$50.29mean

$46

$55

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $50.57 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)

Risks

Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Near 52-week high (-1.7% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.9

P/E (Fwd)24.7

Mkt Cap$3.4B

EV/EBITDA18.4

Profit Mgn29.8%

ROE17.8%

Rev Growth11.6%

Beta0.88

Dividend6.41%

Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.05bullish

IV75%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

HIGHGeographicPermian Basin
10-K Item 1A: 'The majority of the Company's wholly owned midstream assets are currently located in the Delaware Basin which is part of the broader Permian Basin.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value5.815%0.87

Quality4.815%0.72

Growth5.415%0.81

Momentum6.610%0.66

Sentiment6.710%0.67

Insider Activity3.010%0.30

Peer Rank5.710%0.57

Technical Setup4.05%0.20

Risk Profile5.45%0.27

Catalyst7.05%0.35

Overall (Σ contributions)5.42

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

80 · Overbought

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $43.85Resistance $50.70

Price Targets

$48

$50

A.Upside-1.7%

A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.5% upside)

! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

3/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is KNTK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $50.57 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $48.11. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KNTK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $49.69 (-1.7% upside). Prior stop was $48.11. Stop-loss: $48.11.

What are the risks of investing in KNTK?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-1.7% away).

Is KNTK overvalued or undervalued?

Kinetik Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.9 (forward 24.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KNTK?

23 analysts cover KNTK with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $50.

What does Kinetik Holdings Inc. do?Kinetik Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a midstream company in the Texas Delaware Basin. The...

Kinetik Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a midstream company in the Texas Delaware Basin. The company operates through two segments, Midstream Logistics and Pipeline Transportation. It offers gathering, compression, processing, stabilization, treating, and storage services; transportation services through pipelines; and water gathering and disposal services for companies that produce natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGL), and crude oil. The company also sells condensates, natural gas residue, and NGLs. Kinetik Holdings Inc. was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Midland, Texas.