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Kinetik Holdings Inc. (KNTK) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $51.27: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality.

Kinetik Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a midstream company in the Texas Delaware Basin. The company operates through two segments, Midstream Logistics and Pipeline Transportation. It offers gathering, compression, processing, stabilization, treating, and... Read more

$51.27-1.5% A.UpsideScore 4.2/10#41 of 42 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield-3.13%
IncomeYield6.20%Payout125.50%at-risk
Stop $47.91Target $50.48(resistance)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst target$50.86-0.8%14 analysts
$50.48our TP
$51.27price
$50.86mean
$48
$55

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $51.27: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Val4.5Qual3.7Grw0.6Mom7.1Sent6.5Ins3.0Peer4.7Tech3.8Risk5.14.2OVERALL

Recent Developments — Kinetik Holdings Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin
Target reached (-13.7% upside)
Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.4
P/E (Fwd)24.2
Mkt Cap$3.8B
EV/EBITDA21.7
Profit Mgn29.0%
ROE17.5%
Rev Growth-7.5%
Beta0.84
Dividend6.20%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicPermian Basin
    10-K Item 1A: 'The majority of the Company's wholly owned midstream assets are currently located in the Delaware Basin which is part of the broader Permian Basin.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -7.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.6
Declining revenue: -8%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Operating Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
1.0
Current Ratio
2.4
Gross Margin
4.2
Moat
4.4
Piotroski F
5.6
Roe
5.8
Net Margin
10.0
Strong margins: 29%Earnings quality RED FLAG: -24% FCF/NINo competitive moat

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.4
Bollinger
1.0
52w Position
9.9
GatesA.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $45.68Resistance $51.51

Price Targets

$48
$50
A.Upside-1.5%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.7% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KNTK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $51.27: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $47.91. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KNTK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $50.48 (-1.5% upside). Prior stop was $47.91. Stop-loss: $47.91.

What are the risks of investing in KNTK?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin; Target reached (-13.7% upside); Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0).

Is KNTK overvalued or undervalued?

Kinetik Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.4 (forward 24.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KNTK?

23 analysts cover KNTK with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $51.

What does Kinetik Holdings Inc. do?Kinetik Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a midstream company in the Texas Delaware Basin. The...

Kinetik Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a midstream company in the Texas Delaware Basin. The company operates through two segments, Midstream Logistics and Pipeline Transportation. It offers gathering, compression, processing, stabilization, treating, and storage services; transportation services through pipelines; and water gathering and disposal services for companies that produce natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGL), and crude oil. The company also sells condensates, natural gas residue, and NGLs. Kinetik Holdings Inc. was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Midland, Texas.

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