Travel Leisure Co. (TNL) Stock Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $64.79 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (88.0%).
Travel + Leisure Co. operates the world's largest vacation ownership business (797,000 owner families, 280+ resorts under Club Wyndham and WorldMark brands) and RCI, the world's largest vacation exchange network with 3.3M members and 3,600 affiliated resorts. Revenue in 2025 was... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $64.79 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (88.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicUnited States88%10-K Item 1: 'During 2025, we derived 88% of our revenues in the United States ("U.S.") and 12% internationally.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $64.79 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (88.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $60.70. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $75.04 (+16.0% upside). Prior stop was $60.70. Stop-loss: $60.70.
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (88.0%); Negative momentum.
Travel Leisure Co. trades at a P/E of 17.6 (forward 7.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
16 analysts cover TNL with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $86.
What does Travel Leisure Co. do?Travel + Leisure Co. operates the world's largest vacation ownership business (797,000 owner families, 280+ resorts...
Travel + Leisure Co. operates the world's largest vacation ownership business (797,000 owner families, 280+ resorts under Club Wyndham and WorldMark brands) and RCI, the world's largest vacation exchange network with 3.3M members and 3,600 affiliated resorts. Revenue in 2025 was 46% from VOI sales, 40% from fee-for-service, and 11% from consumer financing. 88% of revenues came from the United States.