Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $217.64 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
Expedia Group is a global online travel marketplace with $14.7 billion in 2025 revenue through B2C brands (Expedia, Hotels.com, Vrbo), B2B technology partnerships, and hotel metasearch (trivago). Revenue split: merchant 70%, agency 22%, advertising 8%. The company has 3.6... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $217.64 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 25, MACD bearish. Score 6.2/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.
Recent Developments — Expedia Group, Inc.
Material events (past 30 days)
- Apr 23, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: CFO Scott Schenkel agreed to step down effective May 11, 2026; Derek Andersen (formerly CFO of Snap Inc.) appointed as successor CFO effective same date. Schenkel's departure not due to disagreement with the Company.
Latest news
- Expedia Group Inc (EXPE) Shares Surge 3.5% -- What GF Score of 8 - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- Why Is Expedia Stock Gaining Today? - Benzinga — Benzinga positive
- Vest Financial LLC Acquires New Position in Expedia Group, Inc. $EXPE - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- Expedia Group Stock: Analyst Estimates & Ratings - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- Chapin Davis Inc. Makes New Investment in Expedia Group, Inc. $EXPE - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-23Item 5.02MEDIUMCFO Scott Schenkel agreed to step down effective May 11, 2026; Derek Andersen (formerly CFO of Snap Inc.) appointed as successor CFO effective same date. Schenkel's departure not due to disagreement with the Company.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $217.64 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 25, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $202.36. Score 6.2/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $263.42 (+21.1% upside). Prior stop was $202.36. Stop-loss: $202.36.
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5; Negative momentum.
Expedia Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.0 (forward 9.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
44 analysts cover EXPE with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $286.
What does Expedia Group, Inc. do?Expedia Group is a global online travel marketplace with $14.7 billion in 2025 revenue through B2C brands (Expedia,...
Expedia Group is a global online travel marketplace with $14.7 billion in 2025 revenue through B2C brands (Expedia, Hotels.com, Vrbo), B2B technology partnerships, and hotel metasearch (trivago). Revenue split: merchant 70%, agency 22%, advertising 8%. The company has 3.6 million lodging properties and 500+ airlines on its platforms.