Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) Stock Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services
Sell if holding. At $251.12, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.8%; Concentration risk — Supplier: Amazon Web Services.
Expedia Group is a global online travel marketplace offering 3.6M lodging properties (including 2.4M via Vrbo), 500+ airlines, and other travel products under brands including Expedia, Hotels.com, and Vrbo. Revenue comes from commissions and transaction fees from travel... Read more
Sell if holding. At $251.12, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.8%; Concentration risk — Supplier: Amazon Web Services. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.
Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHSupplierAmazon Web Services10-K Item 1A: 'as a result of our migration of key portions of our platform functionality to Amazon Web Services ... we now depend on the availability of AWS's services'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-23Item 5.02MEDIUMCFO Scott Schenkel agreed to step down effective May 11, 2026. Derek Andersen (former Snap CFO) appointed successor CFO effective May 11, 2026. Departure not due to any disagreement with operations or practices.SEC filing →
- 2026-03-30Item 1.02MEDIUMExpedia terminated its prior revolving credit facility on March 27, 2026, concurrent with entry into a new 2.5B revolving credit facility with JPMorgan maturing March 27, 2031. No early termination penalties cited.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $251.12, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.8%; Concentration risk — Supplier: Amazon Web Services. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $233.32. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $260.44 (+3.8% upside). Prior stop was $233.32. Stop-loss: $233.32.
Concentration risk — Supplier: Amazon Web Services; Thin upside margin: 3.8%; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.5): -1.5.
Expedia Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 25.5 (forward 10.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
44 analysts cover EXPE with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $283.
What does Expedia Group, Inc. do?Expedia Group is a global online travel marketplace offering 3.6M lodging properties (including 2.4M via Vrbo), 500+...
Expedia Group is a global online travel marketplace offering 3.6M lodging properties (including 2.4M via Vrbo), 500+ airlines, and other travel products under brands including Expedia, Hotels.com, and Vrbo. Revenue comes from commissions and transaction fees from travel suppliers plus advertising.