Skip to main content

Comcast Corporation (CMCSA) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellHigh Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $24.94 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

Comcast is a global media and technology company operating through Connectivity & Platforms (broadband, wireless, video in US, UK, Italy under Xfinity, Sky) and Content & Experiences (NBC, Telemundo, Peacock, Universal Studios, theme parks). Revenue comes from subscriber fees,... Read more

$24.94+18.2% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#13 of 40 Telecom Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield4.51%
IncomeYield5.29%(5y avg 2.97%)Payout25.88%sustainable
Stop $23.79Target $29.46(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.3:1
Analyst target$32.74+31.3%21 analysts
$29.46our TP
$24.94price
$32.74mean
$21
$44

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $24.94 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 20, MACD bearish. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Comcast Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 67%
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5)
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)4.9
P/E (Fwd)6.5
Mkt Cap$89.1B
EV/EBITDA4.9
Profit Mgn15.0%
ROE20.9%
Rev Growth5.3%
Beta0.69
Dividend5.29%
Rating analysts39

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.81neutral
IV48%normal
Max Pain$15-39.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.8

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.9
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Volume
3.3
Obv
10.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 20, below 200MA)Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
20 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $24.53Resistance $32.08

Price Targets

$24
$29
A.Upside+18.1%
A.R:R3.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CMCSA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $24.94 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 20, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $23.79. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

What is the CMCSA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.46 (+18.2% upside). Prior stop was $23.79. Stop-loss: $23.79.

What are the risks of investing in CMCSA?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5.

Is CMCSA overvalued or undervalued?

Comcast Corporation trades at a P/E of 4.9 (forward 6.5). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CMCSA?

39 analysts cover CMCSA with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $33.

What does Comcast Corporation do?Comcast is a global media and technology company operating through Connectivity & Platforms (broadband, wireless, video...

Comcast is a global media and technology company operating through Connectivity & Platforms (broadband, wireless, video in US, UK, Italy under Xfinity, Sky) and Content & Experiences (NBC, Telemundo, Peacock, Universal Studios, theme parks). Revenue comes from subscriber fees, advertising, and content licensing across these diversified segments.

Related stocks: RCI (Rogers Communication, Inc.) · TIGO (Millicom International Cellular) · TIMB (TIM S.A.) · BCE (BCE, Inc.) · AMX (America Movil, S.A.B. de C.V.)