TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) Stock Analysis
Momentum Cont setup
Communication Services · Entertainment
Sell if holding. At $200.77, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 5.1%.
TKO Group Holdings owns premium sports and entertainment properties including UFC, WWE, PBR, and Zuffa Boxing, plus sports marketing agency IMG and experiential hospitality business On Location, reaching 1B+ households in 210 countries. Revenue streams include media rights... Read more
Sell if holding. At $200.77, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 5.1%. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
About TKO Group Holdings, Inc.
About TKO Group Holdings, Inc.
TKO Group Holdings' UFC, WWE, PBR, IMG, and On Location properties collectively reached over 1 billion households in 210 countries in 2025, hosting over 500 live events — including WrestleMania 41, which drew more than 118,000 Las Vegas attendees. A seven-year UFC exclusive U.S. deal with Paramount+ takes effect in 2026, and WWE's Raw has been on a 10-year exclusive Netflix global deal since January 2025. TKO completed the $3.25 billion Endeavor Asset Acquisition on February 28, 2025, adding IMG, On Location, and PBR.
TKO monetizes across four revenue channels: media rights licensing to broadcasters and streaming platforms under long-term agreements (typically 3 to 10 years per contract), live event ticket sales and site fees, sponsorship and partnership commissions (including IMG's fee-based rights management for over 300 sports federations), and consumer product royalties from agreements with EA Sports, Take-Two Interactive, Mattel, and Fanatics. UFC athletes are independent contractors — approximately 650 representing more than 70 countries as of December 31, 2025 — allowing roster flexibility without traditional franchise labor obligations. WWE and UFC fanbases skew younger than traditional U.S. sports leagues: median ages of 35 and 37, respectively, versus 38 to 47 for other major leagues, making the properties attractive to sponsors seeking those demographics. The company operates without a franchise system or independent promoters, enabling unilateral decisions on event scheduling, venue selection, and content production.
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TKO's content revenue depends on exclusive long-term distribution agreements with a small number of streaming and broadcast partners. The Netflix Raw agreement carries an initial 10-year term with Netflix able to opt out after five years, potentially triggering renegotiation risk no earlier than 2030. The seven-year Paramount UFC deal, beginning 2026, runs through approximately 2032 for all U.S. distribution. The risk factor summary acknowledges that failure to maintain or replace these key agreements could adversely affect the company's ability to distribute content and could weigh on revenue from the media rights segment, which is the highest-margin component of TKO's four-channel revenue model.
See also: Communication Services · Entertainment
From TKO Group Holdings, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — TKO Group Holdings, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS TKO Group (TKO) Expected to Announce Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS TKO Group Holdings (TKO) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS TKO Group Holdings (TKO) Surpasses Q1 Earnings and Revenue Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS TKO Group: Q1 Earnings Snapshot - kare11.com — kare11.com neutral
- NEWS TKO Group: Q1 Earnings Snapshot - KTVB — KTVB neutral
Generated 2026-06-17T08:41:50Z.
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Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $200.77, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 5.1%. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $186.58. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $210.95 (+5.1% upside). Prior stop was $186.58. Stop-loss: $186.58.
Thin upside margin: 5.1%; Consecutive earnings misses (3); Expensive valuation.
TKO Group Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 75.9 (forward 43.6). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
27 analysts cover TKO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $234.
What does TKO Group Holdings, Inc. do?TKO Group Holdings owns premium sports and entertainment properties including UFC, WWE, PBR, and Zuffa Boxing, plus...
TKO Group Holdings owns premium sports and entertainment properties including UFC, WWE, PBR, and Zuffa Boxing, plus sports marketing agency IMG and experiential hospitality business On Location, reaching 1B+ households in 210 countries. Revenue streams include media rights licenses (Paramount, Netflix, ESPN, DAZN), live events, corporate sponsorships, and consumer product licensing.