TJX Companies delivers a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak with 61% return on equity and strong institutional momentum, but the stock trades above its analyst target with negative upside asymmetry, making it a hold rather than a new buy at current prices.
Thesis pillars
- Perfect Beat Streak High Roe→Stable
- Golden Cross Strong Momentum↓Deteriorating
- Rich Valuation Target Exceeded↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
TJX Companies, Inc. (The) (TJX) Stock Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail
Wait for pullback to $148.79. At $152.05 the A.R:R is 1.0:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $148.79 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 5.0%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.
We have over 5,200 stores and six branded e-commerce sites that offer a rapidly changing assortment of quality, fashionable, brand name and designer merchandise at prices generally 20% to 60% below full-price retailers' (including department, specialty, and major online... Read more
Wait for pullback to $148.79. At $152.05 the A.R:R is 1.0:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $148.79 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 5.0%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-08-16Recent Developments — TJX Companies, Inc. (The)
Latest news
- NEWS TJX Companies gains as strong sales offset soft quarterly outlook (TJX:NYSE) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha positive
- NEWS Should You Be Adding TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX) To Your Watchlist Today? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS TJX Stock Is Up 15% Over the Past Year: Here’s the Path to $168 by 2027 - TIKR.com — TIKR.com positive
- NEWS UBS reiterates Buy on TJX stock, keeps $193 target on momentum - Investing.com — Investing.com neutral
- NEWS Does TJX (TJX) Slower Guidance Reveal Limits To Its Off‑Price Resilience Story? - Sahm — Sahm negative
Generated 2026-08-16T21:17:09Z.
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Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $148.79. At $152.05 the A.R:R is 1.0:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $148.79 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 5.0%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $159.66 (+5.0%), stop $142.15 (−7.0%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $159.66 (+5.0% upside). Target $159.66 (+5.0%), stop $142.15 (−7.0%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Stop-loss: $142.15.
Thin upside margin: 5.0%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5; Negative momentum.
TJX Companies, Inc. (The) trades at a P/E of 29.6 (forward 26.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
26 analysts cover TJX with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $177.
What does TJX Companies, Inc. (The) do?We have over 5,200 stores and six branded e-commerce sites that offer a rapidly changing assortment of quality,...
We have over 5,200 stores and six branded e-commerce sites that offer a rapidly changing assortment of quality, fashionable, brand name and designer merchandise at prices generally 20% to 60% below full-price retailers' (including department, specialty, and major online retailers) regular prices on comparable merchandise, every day.