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TJXTJX Companies, Inc. (The)Sell5.7·$166.00-0.79%
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TJX Companies, Inc. (The) (TJX) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $166.00 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.2% away).

We have over 5,200 stores and six branded e-commerce sites that offer a rapidly changing assortment of quality, fashionable, brand name and designer merchandise at prices generally 20% to 60% below full-price retailers' (including department, specialty, and major online... Read more

$166.00+0.2% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#7 of 12 Apparel Retail
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.33%
IncomeYield1.15%(5y avg 1.33%)Payout33.07%sustainable
Stop $159.78Target $166.60(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$177.63+7.0%19 analysts
$166.60our TP
$166.00price
$177.63mean
$125
$197

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $166.00 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.2% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 64d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 19, 202664d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.2% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.6
P/E (Fwd)29.1
Mkt Cap$184.9B
EV/EBITDA21.9
Profit Mgn9.4%
ROE61.3%
Rev Growth9.2%
Beta0.62
Dividend1.15%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.16bullish
IV40%normal
Max Pain$50-69.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 64d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
69 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $148.71Resistance $170.00

Price Targets

$160
$167
A.Upside+0.4%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-19 (64d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TJX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $166.00 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.2% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $159.78. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TJX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $166.60 (+0.2% upside). Prior stop was $159.78. Stop-loss: $159.78.

What are the risks of investing in TJX?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.2% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.

Is TJX overvalued or undervalued?

TJX Companies, Inc. (The) trades at a P/E of 32.6 (forward 29.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TJX?

26 analysts cover TJX with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $178.

What does TJX Companies, Inc. (The) do?We have over 5,200 stores and six branded e-commerce sites that offer a rapidly changing assortment of quality,...

We have over 5,200 stores and six branded e-commerce sites that offer a rapidly changing assortment of quality, fashionable, brand name and designer merchandise at prices generally 20% to 60% below full-price retailers' (including department, specialty, and major online retailers) regular prices on comparable merchandise, every day.

Related stocks: ROST (Ross Stores, Inc.) · BURL (Burlington Stores, Inc.) · TCOM (Trip.com Group Limited) · LVS (Las Vegas Sands Corp.) · TPR (Tapestry, Inc.)
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