TJX Companies delivers a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak with 61% return on equity and strong institutional momentum, but the stock trades above its analyst target with negative upside asymmetry, making it a hold rather than a new buy at current prices.
Thesis pillars
- Perfect Beat Streak High Roe→Stable
- Golden Cross Strong Momentum↑Improving
- Rich Valuation Target Exceeded→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 31, 2026· older than 90 days
TJX Companies, Inc. (The) (TJX) Stock Analysis
Catalyst-Driven edge
Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $137.63, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.
We have over 5,200 stores and six branded e-commerce sites that offer a rapidly changing assortment of quality, fashionable, brand name and designer merchandise at prices generally 20% to 60% below full-price retailers' (including department, specialty, and major online... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $137.63, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.4/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated Nov 3, 2026Recent Developments — TJX Companies, Inc. (The)
Material events (past 30 days)
- 8K Oct 20, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On October 15, 2026, The TJX Companies, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Bernstein Maintains Buy Rating and $175 Price Target for TJX Companies — fiscal.ai Nov 3, 2026 neutral
- NEWS TJX Companies: Another Strong Quarter, But Technical Concerns Mount (NYSE:TJX) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha Aug 19, 2026 positive
- NEWS TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX) Shares Gap Down - Time to Sell? - MarketBeat — MarketBeat Aug 19, 2026 negative
- NEWS Why Is TJX Companies Stock Falling Wednesday? - TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX) - Benzinga — Benzinga Aug 19, 2026 negative
- NEWS Why TJX Stock Dropped Today - The Motley Fool — The Motley Fool Aug 19, 2026 negative
Latest item Nov 3, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:54:39Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-10-20Item 5.02MEDIUMDeparture of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On October 15, 2026, The TJX Companies, Inc.SEC filing →
- 2026-09-17Item 5.02MEDIUMDeparture of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On September 16, 2026, the Board of Directors (the "Board") of The TJX Companies, Inc. (the "Company") elected Craig A.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $137.63, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Analyst target $154.28 (+12.1%), stop $132.42 (−3.9%), A.R:R 2.4:1. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.
Analyst target: $154.28 (+12.1% upside). Analyst target $154.28 (+12.1%), stop $132.42 (−3.9%), A.R:R 2.4:1. Stop-loss: $132.42.
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Negative momentum.
TJX Companies, Inc. (The) trades at a P/E of 26.1 (forward 23.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Hold.
27 analysts rate TJX, with a consensus score of 4.0/5. 19 analysts publish price targets averaging $171.
What does TJX Companies, Inc. (The) do?We have over 5,200 stores and six branded e-commerce sites that offer a rapidly changing assortment of quality,...
We have over 5,200 stores and six branded e-commerce sites that offer a rapidly changing assortment of quality, fashionable, brand name and designer merchandise at prices generally 20% to 60% below full-price retailers' (including department, specialty, and major online retailers) regular prices on comparable merchandise, every day.