TJX Companies delivers a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak with 61% return on equity and strong institutional momentum, but the stock trades above its analyst target with negative upside asymmetry, making it a hold rather than a new buy at current prices.
Thesis pillars
- Perfect Beat Streak High Roe→Stable
- Golden Cross Strong Momentum→Stable
- Rich Valuation Target Exceeded↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
TJX Companies, Inc. (The) (TJX) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $142.83, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.6%; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
We have over 5,200 stores and six branded e-commerce sites that offer a rapidly changing assortment of quality, fashionable, brand name and designer merchandise at prices generally 20% to 60% below full-price retailers' (including department, specialty, and major online... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $142.83, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.6%; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 78. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.4/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 35d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-15Recent Developments — TJX Companies, Inc. (The)
Material events (past 30 days)
- 8K Sep 17, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On September 16, 2026, the Board of Directors (the "Board") of The TJX Companies, Inc. (the "Company") elected Craig A.
Latest news
- NEWS TJX Companies gains as strong sales offset soft quarterly outlook (TJX:NYSE) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha positive
- NEWS Should You Be Adding TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX) To Your Watchlist Today? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS TJX Companies: Another Strong Quarter, But Technical Concerns Mount (NYSE:TJX) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha positive
- NEWS TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX) Shares Gap Down - Time to Sell? - MarketBeat — MarketBeat negative
- NEWS Why Is TJX Companies Stock Falling Wednesday? - TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX) - Benzinga — Benzinga negative
Generated 2026-10-15T11:47:14Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-09-17Item 5.02MEDIUMDeparture of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On September 16, 2026, the Board of Directors (the "Board") of The TJX Companies, Inc. (the "Company") elected Craig A.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $142.83, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.6%; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 78. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $153.72 (+7.6%), stop $137.17 (−4.1%), A.R:R 0.6:1. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $153.72 (+7.6% upside). Target $153.72 (+7.6%), stop $137.17 (−4.1%), A.R:R 0.6:1. Stop-loss: $137.17.
Thin upside margin: 7.6%; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.
TJX Companies, Inc. (The) trades at a P/E of 26.2 (forward 24.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Hold.
27 analysts cover TJX with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $171.
What does TJX Companies, Inc. (The) do?We have over 5,200 stores and six branded e-commerce sites that offer a rapidly changing assortment of quality,...
We have over 5,200 stores and six branded e-commerce sites that offer a rapidly changing assortment of quality, fashionable, brand name and designer merchandise at prices generally 20% to 60% below full-price retailers' (including department, specialty, and major online retailers) regular prices on comparable merchandise, every day.