Skip to main content

TJX Companies, Inc. (The) (TJX) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

Earnings in 0 days (2026-05-20). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $158.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.5% away).

We have over 5,200 stores and six branded e-commerce sites that offer a rapidly changing assortment of quality, fashionable, brand name and designer merchandise at prices generally 20% to 60% below full-price retailers' (including department, specialty, and major online... Read more

$158.60+7.6% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#6 of 12 Apparel Retail
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.34%
IncomeYield1.27%(5y avg 1.32%)Payout33.88%sustainable
Entry $145.70(R/R-minimum solve)Stop $141.29Target $156.80(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1Setup A.R:R 2.5:1
Analyst target$172.37+8.7%19 analysts
$156.80our TP
$158.60price
$172.37mean
$107
$193

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $158.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.5% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 54, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $158.43 has reached target $156.80. No upside to wait for. Score 5.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.60, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — TJX Companies, Inc. (The)

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Earnings detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.5% away)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.9
P/E (Fwd)26.5
Mkt Cap$166.6B
EV/EBITDA20.7
Profit Mgn9.1%
ROE59.1%
Rev Growth8.5%
Beta0.64
Dividend1.27%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV37%normal
Max Pain$100-36.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.60SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $145.66Resistance $160.00

Price Targets

$141
$146
$157
A.Upside-1.1%
A.R:R-0.3:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.1% upside)
! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-20 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TJX stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $158.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.5% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 54, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $158.43 has reached target $156.80. No upside to wait for. Target $156.80 (-1.1%), stop $141.29 (−12.3%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 5.7/10, high confidence.

What is the TJX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $156.80 (+7.6% upside). Target $156.80 (-1.1%), stop $141.29 (−12.3%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $141.29.

What are the risks of investing in TJX?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.5% away); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Is TJX overvalued or undervalued?

TJX Companies, Inc. (The) trades at a P/E of 30.9 (forward 26.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about TJX?

25 analysts cover TJX with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $172.

What does TJX Companies, Inc. (The) do?We have over 5,200 stores and six branded e-commerce sites that offer a rapidly changing assortment of quality,...

We have over 5,200 stores and six branded e-commerce sites that offer a rapidly changing assortment of quality, fashionable, brand name and designer merchandise at prices generally 20% to 60% below full-price retailers' (including department, specialty, and major online retailers) regular prices on comparable merchandise, every day.

Related stocks: ROST (Ross Stores, Inc.) · BURL (Burlington Stores, Inc.) · TCOM (Trip.com Group Limited) · LVS (Las Vegas Sands Corp.) · TPR (Tapestry, Inc.)