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ROSTRoss Stores, Inc.Sell6.1·$227.00-1.46%
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Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $227.00 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.4% away).

Ross Stores, Inc. and its subsidiaries ("we", "our", or the "Company") operate two brands of off-price retail apparel and home fashion stores-Ross Dress for Less® ("Ross") and dd's DISCOUNTS®.

$227.00+1.6% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#2 of 12 Apparel Retail
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.81%
IncomeYield0.78%(5y avg 1.03%)Payout23.18%sustainable
Stop $212.67Target $230.56(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$256.18+12.9%17 analysts
$230.56our TP
$227.00price
$256.18mean
$176
$290

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $227.00 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.4% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 20, 202672d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.4% away)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.8
P/E (Fwd)26.6
Mkt Cap$73.0B
EV/EBITDA21.4
Profit Mgn9.7%
ROE39.0%
Rev Growth20.6%
Beta0.87
Dividend0.78%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.24bullish
IV43%normal
Max Pain$130-42.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.4>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $207.79Resistance $236.95

Price Targets

$213
$231
A.Upside+1.6%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.6% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-20 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ROST stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $227.00 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.4% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $212.67. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ROST stock price target?

Take-profit target: $230.56 (+1.6% upside). Prior stop was $212.67. Stop-loss: $212.67.

What are the risks of investing in ROST?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.4% away); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Is ROST overvalued or undervalued?

Ross Stores, Inc. trades at a P/E of 31.8 (forward 26.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ROST?

26 analysts cover ROST with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $256.

What does Ross Stores, Inc. do?Ross Stores, Inc. and its subsidiaries ("we", "our", or the "Company") operate two brands of off-price retail apparel...

Ross Stores, Inc. and its subsidiaries ("we", "our", or the "Company") operate two brands of off-price retail apparel and home fashion stores-Ross Dress for Less® ("Ross") and dd's DISCOUNTS®.

Related stocks: TJX (TJX Companies, Inc. (The)) · GAP (Gap, Inc. (The)) · LULU (lululemon athletica inc.) · BURL (Burlington Stores, Inc.)
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