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Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

Earnings in 1 day (2026-05-21). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $181.44. At $217.16 the A.R:R is 0.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $181.44 (Rr Min Solve Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Ross Stores, Inc. and its subsidiaries ("we", "our", or the "Company") operate two brands of off-price retail apparel and home fashion stores-Ross Dress for Less® ("Ross") and dd's DISCOUNTS®.

$217.16+8.6% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#8 of 12 Apparel Retail
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.38%
IncomeYield0.84%(5y avg 1.02%)Payout24.51%sustainable
Entry $181.44(Rr Min Solve Sticky)Stop $169.97Target $217.11(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.1:1Setup A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$241.24+11.1%17 analysts
$217.11our TP
$217.16price
$241.24mean
$158
$290

Wait for pullback to $181.44. At $217.16 the A.R:R is 0.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $181.44 (Rr Min Solve Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.80, news boost analyst cluster(3), semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Val4.3Qual6.2Grw5.0Mom2.6Sent7.1Ins5.0Peer4.6Tech7.5Risk6.45.3OVERALL

Recent Developments — Ross Stores, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Recent Analyst Cluster(3) detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.2
P/E (Fwd)25.9
Mkt Cap$68.8B
EV/EBITDA21.5
Profit Mgn9.4%
ROE36.7%
Rev Growth12.2%
Beta0.88
Dividend0.84%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.31bullish
IV62%elevated
Max Pain$125-42.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.0
Uptrend pullback (RSI 35) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 1d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.80NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(3)SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
35 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $208.20Resistance $231.16

Price Targets

$170
$181
$217
A.Upside-0.0%
A.R:R0.1:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.7% upside)
! Earnings in 1 day - binary event risk
! Momentum score 2.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-21 (1d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ROST stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $181.44. At $217.16 the A.R:R is 0.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $181.44 (Rr Min Solve Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Target $217.11 (-0.0%), stop $169.97 (−27.8%), Setup A.R:R 1.5:1. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

What is the ROST stock price target?

Take-profit target: $217.11 (+8.6% upside). Target $217.11 (-0.0%), stop $169.97 (−27.8%), Setup A.R:R 1.5:1. Stop-loss: $169.97.

What are the risks of investing in ROST?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Is ROST overvalued or undervalued?

Ross Stores, Inc. trades at a P/E of 32.2 (forward 25.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ROST?

25 analysts cover ROST with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $241.

What does Ross Stores, Inc. do?Ross Stores, Inc. and its subsidiaries ("we", "our", or the "Company") operate two brands of off-price retail apparel...

Ross Stores, Inc. and its subsidiaries ("we", "our", or the "Company") operate two brands of off-price retail apparel and home fashion stores-Ross Dress for Less® ("Ross") and dd's DISCOUNTS®.

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