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ROSTRoss Stores, Inc.Sell6.4·$245.74
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Ross Stores is an off-price apparel retailer with a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak, 39% return on equity, and 21% year-over-year earnings growth, currently trading at full value with essentially zero near-term upside to analyst resistance targets following a strong price run.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Earnings Growth 21 Pct—
  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak Off Price↓Deteriorating
  • Industry Leading Return On Equity→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 31, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $245.74 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.4% away).

Ross Stores, Inc. and its subsidiaries ("we", "our", or the "Company") operate two brands of off-price retail apparel and home fashion stores-Ross Dress for Less® ("Ross") and dd's DISCOUNTS®.

$245.74-0.4% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#1 of 15 Apparel Retail
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.55%
IncomeYield0.72%(5y avg 1.01%)Payout20.56%sustainable
Stop $232.46Analyst target $244.65(reached)A.R:R -0.0:1
Analyst consensus$271.83+10.6%18 analysts with price targets
$245.74price
$271.83mean
$187
$315

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $245.74 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.4% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

No fresh coverage since Oct 14, 2026

Recent Developments — Ross Stores, Inc.

Latest item Oct 14, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:34:08Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 19, 202614d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.4% away)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.7
P/E (Fwd)27.3
Mkt Cap$78.5B
EV/EBITDA21.6
Profit Mgn10.8%
ROE42.6%
Rev Growth13.3%
Beta0.85
Dividend0.72%
Analysts with ratings27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.94neutral
IV46%normal
Max Pain$140-43.0% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-09-17Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Resignation of Director (b) Effective on October 1, 2026, Ms. Sharon D.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.1
Gap
5.0
52w Position
9.2
GatesA.R:R -0.0=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentEARNINGS PROXIMITY 14d<=14d (soft)Momentum 8.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
60 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $220.10Resistance $249.05

Price Targets

A.Upside-0.4%
A.R:R-0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-19 (14d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ROST stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $245.74 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.4% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $232.46. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ROST stock price target?

Analyst target $244.65 reached (−0.4% from $245.74); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $232.46. Stop-loss: $232.46.

What are the risks of investing in ROST?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.4% away); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Is ROST overvalued or undervalued?

Ross Stores, Inc. trades at a P/E of 29.7 (forward 27.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ROST?

27 analysts rate ROST, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 18 analysts publish price targets averaging $272.

What does Ross Stores, Inc. do?Ross Stores, Inc. and its subsidiaries ("we", "our", or the "Company") operate two brands of off-price retail apparel...

Ross Stores, Inc. and its subsidiaries ("we", "our", or the "Company") operate two brands of off-price retail apparel and home fashion stores-Ross Dress for Less® ("Ross") and dd's DISCOUNTS®.

Related stocks: BURL (Burlington Stores, Inc.) · URBN (Urban Outfitters, Inc.) · GAP (Gap, Inc. (The)) · VSXY (Victorias Secret & Co.) · LULU (lululemon athletica inc.)
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