Skip to main content
ROSTRoss Stores, Inc.Sell6.3·$236.12
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Ross Stores is an off-price apparel retailer with a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak, 39% return on equity, and 21% year-over-year earnings growth, currently trading at full value with essentially zero near-term upside to analyst resistance targets following a strong price run.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Earnings Growth 21 Pct—
  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak Off Price→Stable
  • Industry Leading Return On Equity→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $236.12 — A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Ross Stores, Inc. and its subsidiaries ("we", "our", or the "Company") operate two brands of off-price retail apparel and home fashion stores-Ross Dress for Less® ("Ross") and dd's DISCOUNTS®.

$236.12+2.9% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#4 of 16 Apparel Retail
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.64%
IncomeYield0.76%(5y avg 1.04%)Payout20.56%sustainable
Stop $226.48Target $242.95(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$269.94+14.3%18 analysts
$242.95our TP
$236.12price
$269.94mean
$176
$310

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $236.12 — A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 54d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 19, 202654d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.6
P/E (Fwd)26.4
Mkt Cap$75.7B
EV/EBITDA20.7
Profit Mgn10.8%
ROE42.6%
Rev Growth13.3%
Beta0.86
Dividend0.76%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.61bullish
IV36%normal
Max Pain$160-32.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.6
52w Position
8.4
GatesA.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotMomentum 7.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 54d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
59 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $222.15Resistance $237.00

Price Targets

$226
$243
A.Upside+2.9%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.9% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-19 (54d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ROST stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $236.12 — A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $226.48. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ROST stock price target?

Take-profit target: $242.95 (+2.9% upside). Prior stop was $226.48. Stop-loss: $226.48.

What are the risks of investing in ROST?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Is ROST overvalued or undervalued?

Ross Stores, Inc. trades at a P/E of 28.6 (forward 26.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ROST?

27 analysts cover ROST with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $270.

What does Ross Stores, Inc. do?Ross Stores, Inc. and its subsidiaries ("we", "our", or the "Company") operate two brands of off-price retail apparel...

Ross Stores, Inc. and its subsidiaries ("we", "our", or the "Company") operate two brands of off-price retail apparel and home fashion stores-Ross Dress for Less® ("Ross") and dd's DISCOUNTS®.

Related stocks: GAP (Gap, Inc. (The)) · BURL (Burlington Stores, Inc.) · LULU (lululemon athletica inc.) · TJX (TJX Companies, Inc. (The))
Home › Stocks › ROST

Latest news

Latest News

Yahoo Finance122d ago
MarketBeat122d ago
StockStory130d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance38d ago
StockStory39d agoEarnings
Seeking Alpha136d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance136d ago
MarketBeat136d ago
GuruFocus137d ago
Marketscreener.com45d agoEarnings
Finance.yahoo.com45d ago
Yahoo Finance45d ago
TradingView52d agoAnalyst
Benzinga52d ago
Simplywall.st52d ago
Yahoo Finance123d agoAnalyst
Yahoo Finance130d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat130d ago
Investing.com39d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat39d ago
Loading more...