Skip to main content
THRMGentherm IncSell5.3·$33.88-1.14%
Open full analysis

Gentherm Inc (THRM) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Sell if holding. At $33.88, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.2%; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Gentherm Incorporated designs, develops, manufactures, and sells thermal management and pneumatic comfort technologies in the United States, China, Germany, Czech Republic, South Korea, Mexico, Slovakia, Romania, Japan, United Kingdom and internationally. It operates in two... Read more

$33.88+4.2% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#22 of 37 Auto Parts
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield9.62%
Stop $32.33Target $35.30(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$40.57+19.8%7 analysts
$35.30our TP
$33.88price
$40.57mean
$53

Sell if holding. At $33.88, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.2%; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 19d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202619d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.2%
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)46.4
P/E (Fwd)11.1
Mkt Cap$1.0B
EV/EBITDA6.8
Profit Mgn1.5%
ROE3.3%
Rev Growth11.3%
Beta1.38
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV55%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.5
Ma Position
5.0
Rsi
8.2
Uptrend pullback (RSI 33) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
3.0
Value Rank
3.4
Growth Rank
6.6
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 19d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
33 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $33.33Resistance $38.13

Price Targets

$32
$35
A.Upside+4.2%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (19d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is THRM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $33.88, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.2%; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $32.33. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the THRM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.30 (+4.2% upside). Prior stop was $32.33. Stop-loss: $32.33.

What are the risks of investing in THRM?

Thin upside margin: 4.2%; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative momentum.

Is THRM overvalued or undervalued?

Gentherm Inc trades at a P/E of 46.4 (forward 11.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about THRM?

14 analysts cover THRM with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $41.

What does Gentherm Inc do?Gentherm Incorporated designs, develops, manufactures, and sells thermal management and pneumatic comfort technologies...

Gentherm Incorporated designs, develops, manufactures, and sells thermal management and pneumatic comfort technologies in the United States, China, Germany, Czech Republic, South Korea, Mexico, Slovakia, Romania, Japan, United Kingdom and internationally. It operates in two segments, Automotive and Medical. The company offers climate comfort systems, including seat heaters, blowers, and thermoelectric devices for variable temperature climate control seats and steering wheel heaters to provide thermal comfort to automobile passengers; integrated electronic components, such as electronic control units; pneumatic lumbar and massage comfort solutions comprising lumbar support, side bolster adjustment, multi-contour seats and massage systems; and other climate and comfort systems, including neck and shoulder conditioners, and climate control systems for door panels and armrests. It also provides automotive cable technology, such as ready-made individual cables and ready-to-install cable networks used to connect components to power sources; battery performance solutions consist of cell connecting devices and battery cable technologies used for various types of batteries and thermal management products; valve systems for brake and engine systems, and fuel management; and electronic and software systems include electronic control units for climate and comfort systems, and electronic control units for memory seat modules and other devices. In addition, the company offers patient temperature management systems under the Blanketrol and Astotherm brands for hyper-hypothermia therapy in intensive care, normothermia in surgical procedures, and additional warming/cooling therapies. It serves light vehicle original equipment manufacturers and tier 1, and medical industry. Gentherm Incorporated was formerly known as Amerigon Incorporated and changed its name to Gentherm Incorporated in September 2012. The company was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Northville, Michigan.

Related stocks: HSAI (Hesai Group) · GNTX (Gentex Corporation) · DCH (Dauch Corporation) · PHIN (PHINIA Inc.) · SMP (Standard Motor Products, Inc.)
Home Stocks THRM

Latest news

No recent news