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THRThermon Group Holdings, Inc.Sell5.4·$61.14-8.49%
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Thermon Group Holdings, Inc. (THR) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $61.14 — A.R:R is negative (-2.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit.

Thermon Group Holdings provides industrial process heating solutions (heat tracing cables, controls, process heating equipment, project services) to energy, chemical, power, and industrial customers in 30+ countries. ~49% of fiscal 2025 revenues came from outside the U.S.; no... Read more

$61.14+15.2% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#28 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.32%
Stop $57.72Target $70.43(resistance)A.R:R -2.6:1
Analyst target$51.00-16.6%3 analysts
Range unavailable (3 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $61.14 — A.R:R is negative (-2.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Thermon Group Holdings, Inc.

About Thermon Group Holdings, Inc.

Thermon Group Holdings derived approximately 51% of fiscal 2026 revenues from outside the United States, with roughly 20% from outside North America, serving thousands of customers across more than 30 countries in end markets including chemical, power generation, food and beverage, and rail. The company held a $254.9 million backlog as of March 31, 2026, and operated 11 manufacturing facilities on two continents. About 70% of fiscal 2026 revenue came from non-oil-and-gas end markets, reflecting a multi-decade diversification away from upstream energy dependence.

Thermon's revenue model spans three categories: products (heating cables, boilers, tubing bundles, control systems), project services (engineering, design, construction, and turnkey installation), and recurring maintenance. Revenue recognized over time accounted for approximately 30% of total fiscal 2026 revenue and tends to carry lower gross margins than manufactured product sales. Critical raw materials include polymers, graphite, copper, and stainless steel; for a small number of specialty inputs, the company maintains single-source supply arrangements managed through purchase contracts and safety stock. Thermon competes primarily with Chemelex in electric heat tracing and, across the broader process-heating spectrum, against Chemelex, NIBE, Watlow, and Spirax Group. More than 100 independent sales agents and distributors in over 30 countries provide local support to end users between major project cycles.

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On February 23, 2026, Thermon entered into a definitive merger agreement with CECO Environmental Corp. in a stock-and-cash transaction valued at approximately $2.2 billion, with termination fees of $105 million payable by CECO or $74.7 million by Thermon if the deal failed. Following stockholder approval at meetings on May 27, 2026, the merger closed June 1, 2026, with Thermon operating as a wholly-owned subsidiary of CECO Environmental Corp. The combined platform targets industrial process heating and environmental solutions across a broader global customer base.

See also: Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

From Thermon Group Holdings, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)45.0
P/E (Fwd)24.6
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA22.7
Profit Mgn8.3%
ROE8.6%
Rev Growth10.6%
Beta0.83
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.82bearish
IV92%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
3.2
Quality Rank
3.5
Growth Rank
5.5
GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5A.R:R -2.6=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $59.51Resistance $71.87

Price Targets

$58
$70
A.Upside+15.2%
A.R:R-2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-29.1% upside)
! momentum at 4.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is THR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $61.14 — A.R:R is negative (-2.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $57.72. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the THR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $70.43 (+15.2% upside). Prior stop was $57.72. Stop-loss: $57.72.

What are the risks of investing in THR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is THR overvalued or undervalued?

Thermon Group Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 45.0 (forward 24.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about THR?

12 analysts cover THR with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $51.

What does Thermon Group Holdings, Inc. do?Thermon Group Holdings provides industrial process heating solutions (heat tracing cables, controls, process heating...

Thermon Group Holdings provides industrial process heating solutions (heat tracing cables, controls, process heating equipment, project services) to energy, chemical, power, and industrial customers in 30+ countries. ~49% of fiscal 2025 revenues came from outside the U.S.; no single customer exceeded 10% of revenue.

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