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CSW Industrials, Inc. (CSW) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-26). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. At $255.51, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.9%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5).

CSW Industrials is a diversified industrial growth company operating three segments—Contractor Solutions, Specialized Reliability Solutions, and Engineered Building Solutions—selling niche products into HVAC/R, plumbing, energy, rail, mining, and building markets. Manufacturing... Read more

$255.51+9.9% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#15 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.86%
IncomeYield0.43%(5y avg 0.41%)Payout13.91%sustainable
Stop $243.91Target $280.76(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$322.71+26.3%7 analysts
$280.76our TP
$255.51price
$322.71mean
$378

Sell if holding. At $255.51, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.9%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 31, MACD bearish. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — CSW Industrials, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 9.9%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)34.5
P/E (Fwd)22.2
Mkt Cap$4.3B
EV/EBITDA21.8
Profit Mgn12.6%
ROE11.9%
Rev Growth20.3%
Beta0.88
Dividend0.43%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

IV53%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MEarnings in 6 daysDividend: 43.0%

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
1.5
Rsi
3.5
Volume
3.6
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5A.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
31 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $251.45Resistance $306.34

Price Targets

$244
$281
A.Upside+9.9%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.1:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-26 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CSW stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $255.51, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.9%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 31, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $243.91. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CSW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $280.76 (+9.9% upside). Prior stop was $243.91. Stop-loss: $243.91.

What are the risks of investing in CSW?

Thin upside margin: 9.9%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is CSW overvalued or undervalued?

CSW Industrials, Inc. trades at a P/E of 34.5 (forward 22.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CSW?

11 analysts cover CSW with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $323.

What does CSW Industrials, Inc. do?CSW Industrials is a diversified industrial growth company operating three segments—Contractor Solutions, Specialized...

CSW Industrials is a diversified industrial growth company operating three segments—Contractor Solutions, Specialized Reliability Solutions, and Engineered Building Solutions—selling niche products into HVAC/R, plumbing, energy, rail, mining, and building markets. Manufacturing is concentrated in the U.S. and Vietnam; products are sold through wholesale distributor networks to contractors and industrial customers. No single customer exceeded 10% of net revenues in fiscal year 2025.

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