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CSW Industrials, Inc. (CSW) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $291.60 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3).

CSW Industrials is a diversified industrial company with three segments—Contractor Solutions, Specialized Reliability Solutions, and Engineered Building Solutions—selling niche HVAC/R, plumbing, lubricant, and building products. Products are sold to contractors and distributors... Read more

$291.60+3.7% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#19 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
Stop $271.19Target $302.32(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$322.71+10.7%7 analysts
$302.32our TP
$291.60price
$322.71mean
$280
$378

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $291.60 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 20d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)37.9
P/E (Fwd)24.4
Mkt Cap$4.8B
EV/EBITDA23.5
Profit Mgn12.6%
ROE11.9%
Rev Growth20.3%
Beta0.84
Dividend0.39%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

IV56%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierlimited number of sources
    10-K Item 1A: 'some of the raw materials we use are only available from a limited number of sources. Accordingly, any disruptions to a critical suppliers' operations or the availability of key product inputs could have a material adverse effect'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
0.3
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
8.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 20d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $258.94Resistance $308.49

Price Targets

$271
$302
A.Upside+3.7%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.7% upside)
! Momentum score 3.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-21 (20d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CSW stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $291.60 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $271.19. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CSW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $302.32 (+3.7% upside). Prior stop was $271.19. Stop-loss: $271.19.

What are the risks of investing in CSW?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum.

Is CSW overvalued or undervalued?

CSW Industrials, Inc. trades at a P/E of 37.9 (forward 24.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CSW?

11 analysts cover CSW with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $323.

What does CSW Industrials, Inc. do?CSW Industrials is a diversified industrial company with three segments—Contractor Solutions, Specialized Reliability...

CSW Industrials is a diversified industrial company with three segments—Contractor Solutions, Specialized Reliability Solutions, and Engineered Building Solutions—selling niche HVAC/R, plumbing, lubricant, and building products. Products are sold to contractors and distributors in over 100 countries, with manufacturing concentrated in the U.S., Vietnam, and Canada.

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