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Crane NXT, Co. (CXT) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $37.92 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Crane NXT is an industrial technology company providing proprietary currency authentication, payment automation, and brand protection solutions through two segments: Crane Payment Innovations (CPI) and Security and Authentication Technologies (SAT). Revenue comes from selling... Read more

$37.92+53.3% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#4 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield7.67%
IncomeYield1.88%Payout30.94%sustainable
Stop $35.89Target $58.14(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.7:1
Analyst target$66.83+76.2%6 analysts
$58.14our TP
$37.92price
$66.83mean
$85

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $37.92 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 29, MACD bearish. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Crane NXT, Co.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.2
P/E (Fwd)8.1
Mkt Cap$2.2B
EV/EBITDA8.6
Profit Mgn7.6%
ROE11.0%
Rev Growth17.4%
Beta1.40
Dividend1.88%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.29bullish
IV49%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-12Item 5.02LOW
    Board appointed Jeffrey Benck as director effective March 9, 2026. Compensation consistent with standard non-employee director program. No arrangements or related party transactions.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Volume
4.1
Capitulation risk (RSI 29, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.5%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 1.8<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 5.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
29 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $37.00Resistance $46.53

Price Targets

$36
$58
A.Upside+53.3%
A.R:R5.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CXT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $37.92 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 29, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $35.89. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CXT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $58.14 (+53.3% upside). Prior stop was $35.89. Stop-loss: $35.89.

What are the risks of investing in CXT?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5.

Is CXT overvalued or undervalued?

Crane NXT, Co. trades at a P/E of 17.2 (forward 8.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CXT?

12 analysts cover CXT with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $67.

What does Crane NXT, Co. do?Crane NXT is an industrial technology company providing proprietary currency authentication, payment automation, and...

Crane NXT is an industrial technology company providing proprietary currency authentication, payment automation, and brand protection solutions through two segments: Crane Payment Innovations (CPI) and Security and Authentication Technologies (SAT). Revenue comes from selling electronic detection/authentication equipment, banknote security features, and digital content protection to central banks, financial institutions, and consumer brands; 50% of 2025 net sales were outside the U.S. SAT segment revenue is subject to significant variability from the timing of central bank banknote contracts.

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