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Crane NXT, Co. (CXT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $44.18: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 3.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 10.00; Negative price momentum.

Crane NXT provides proprietary industrial technology solutions through two segments: Crane Payment Innovations (CPI), offering payment verification and authentication electronics, and Security and Authentication Technologies (SAT), offering banknote design and brand protection... Read more

$44.18+38.8% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#2 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
Stop $41.09Target $61.34(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.5:1
Analyst target$70.50+59.6%6 analysts
$61.34our TP
$44.18price
$70.50mean
$85

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $44.18: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 3.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 10.00; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.4
P/E (Fwd)9.2
Mkt Cap$2.5B
EV/EBITDA8.9
Profit Mgn8.8%
ROE12.5%
Rev Growth19.5%
Beta1.47
Dividend1.65%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C10.00bearish
IV66%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicoutside the U.S.50%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Net sales by destination outside the U.S. were 50% of our consolidated amounts in 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-12Item 5.02LOW
    Crane NXT board appointed Jeffrey Benck as director effective March 9, 2026, filling a vacancy. Compensation consistent with standard non-employee director program. No arrangements or understandings cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
3.9
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.1%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Put Call
0.0
Days To Cover
1.6
Implied Vol
2.3
Short Interest
2.6
Volatility
3.5
Beta
5.1
Debt Equity
5.2
Elevated put/call: 10.00High IV: 66%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
2.9
Support Resistance
3.6
Bollinger
5.0
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dA.R:R 3.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $39.30Resistance $46.95

Price Targets

$41
$61
A.Upside+38.8%
A.R:R3.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0)
! Momentum score 2.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CXT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $44.18: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 3.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 10.00; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $41.09. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CXT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $61.34 (+38.8% upside). Prior stop was $41.09. Stop-loss: $41.09.

What are the risks of investing in CXT?

Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0).

Is CXT overvalued or undervalued?

Crane NXT, Co. trades at a P/E of 17.4 (forward 9.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CXT?

11 analysts cover CXT with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $71.

What does Crane NXT, Co. do?Crane NXT provides proprietary industrial technology solutions through two segments: Crane Payment Innovations (CPI),...

Crane NXT provides proprietary industrial technology solutions through two segments: Crane Payment Innovations (CPI), offering payment verification and authentication electronics, and Security and Authentication Technologies (SAT), offering banknote design and brand protection solutions. Revenue comes from equipment sales, software, and aftermarket services globally; 50% of 2025 net sales were outside the U.S.

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