Skip to main content

Tenet Healthcare Corporation (THC) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $191.40, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 managed care payers (69.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Arizona and Texas (outpatient centers) (74.0%).

Tenet Healthcare operates 50 hospitals in 8 states and holds interests in 533 ASCs and 26 surgical hospitals in 37 states (USPI), employing ~100,000 people. Managed care payers drove ~70% of Hospital Operations net patient service revenues; the top 10 managed care payers... Read more

$191.40+15.4% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#3 of 27 Medical Care Facilities
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield18.47%
Stop $178.00Target $220.97(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$245.52+28.3%21 analysts
$220.97our TP
$191.40price
$245.52mean
$288

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $191.40, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 managed care payers (69.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Arizona and Texas (outpatient centers) (74.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 63d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Tenet Healthcare Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 managed care payers (69.0%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: Arizona and Texas (outpatient centers) (74.0%)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.0
P/E (Fwd)10.8
Mkt Cap$16.6B
EV/EBITDA6.7
Profit Mgn7.9%
ROE30.3%
Rev Growth2.8%
Beta1.30
DividendNone
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.15bearish
IV47%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomertop-10 managed care payers69%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our top 10 managed care payers generated 69% of our managed care net patient service revenues for the year ended December 31, 2025'
  • HIGHGeographicArizona and Texas (outpatient centers)74%
    10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 74% of the outpatient centers in our Hospital Operations segment at December 31, 2025 were in Arizona and Texas'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-10Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Paola Arbour (EVP/CIO) to retire December 31, 2026; will remain part-time through April 1, 2028 for transition. No successor named for CIO role at time of announcement.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-30Item 5.02MEDIUM
    R. Scott Ramsey (SVP/Controller/PAO) retirement moved to April 30, 2026; J. Michael Grooms (ex-Lifepoint Health SVP/CAO) appointed as successor SVP & Controller effective April 6, 2026; PAO effective May 1, 2026. Clean handoff.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 63d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $168.11Resistance $200.89

Price Targets

$178
$221
A.Upside+15.4%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Reward/Risk 1.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (63d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is THC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $191.40, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 managed care payers (69.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Arizona and Texas (outpatient centers) (74.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $220.97 (+15.4%), stop $178.00 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the THC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $220.97 (+15.4% upside). Target $220.97 (+15.4%), stop $178.00 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Stop-loss: $178.00.

What are the risks of investing in THC?

Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 managed care payers (69.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Arizona and Texas (outpatient centers) (74.0%); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5.

Is THC overvalued or undervalued?

Tenet Healthcare Corporation trades at a P/E of 10.0 (forward 10.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about THC?

27 analysts cover THC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $246.

What does Tenet Healthcare Corporation do?Tenet Healthcare operates 50 hospitals in 8 states and holds interests in 533 ASCs and 26 surgical hospitals in 37...

Tenet Healthcare operates 50 hospitals in 8 states and holds interests in 533 ASCs and 26 surgical hospitals in 37 states (USPI), employing ~100,000 people. Managed care payers drove ~70% of Hospital Operations net patient service revenues; the top 10 managed care payers generated 69% of those managed care revenues in 2025. ~74% of outpatient centers were in Arizona and Texas.

Related stocks: AVAH (Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc) · ASTH (Astrana Health Inc.) · CON (Concentra Group Holdings Parent) · UHS (Universal Health Services, Inc.) · EHC (Encompass Health Corporation)