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Tenable Holdings, Inc. (TENB) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. At $21.85, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Tenable provides exposure management cybersecurity solutions via its Tenable One platform to 40,000+ customers including ~65% of the Fortune 500. Revenue grew from $900M to $999M in 2025 (11% YoY); subscription-based and ratably recognized. No single customer exceeded 2% of... Read more

$21.85+11.5% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#64 of 78 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield10.79%
Stop $20.31Target $24.35(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$27.05+23.8%20 analysts
$24.35our TP
$21.85price
$27.05mean
$20
$38

Sell if holding. At $21.85, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Tenable Holdings, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)9.9
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA60.0
Profit Mgn-1.2%
ROE-3.7%
Rev Growth9.6%
Beta0.88
DividendNone
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.2
Support Resistance
1.5
52w Position
2.2

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
3.9
Macd
4.0
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.5%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.0
Growth Rank
2.9
Value Rank
7.3
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $19.02Resistance $22.34

Price Targets

$20
$24
A.Upside+11.4%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.9:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TENB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $21.85, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $20.31. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

What is the TENB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $24.35 (+11.5% upside). Prior stop was $20.31. Stop-loss: $20.31.

What are the risks of investing in TENB?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0.

Is TENB overvalued or undervalued?

Tenable Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 9.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TENB?

30 analysts cover TENB with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $27.

What does Tenable Holdings, Inc. do?Tenable provides exposure management cybersecurity solutions via its Tenable One platform to 40,000+ customers...

Tenable provides exposure management cybersecurity solutions via its Tenable One platform to 40,000+ customers including ~65% of the Fortune 500. Revenue grew from $900M to $999M in 2025 (11% YoY); subscription-based and ratably recognized. No single customer exceeded 2% of revenue.

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