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Tenable Holdings, Inc. (TENB) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $21.10: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Overbought (RSI 82).

Tenable provides cybersecurity exposure management solutions including the Tenable One platform spanning IT, cloud, OT/ICS, identity, and AI workloads, with $999.4M in revenue in 2025 (+11% YoY). Revenue primarily from subscriptions to enterprise customers; significant R&D... Read more

$21.10+22.2% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#47 of 80 Software - Infrastructure
Stop $19.63Target $25.79(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$28.65+35.8%20 analysts
$25.79our TP
$21.10price
$28.65mean
$19
$40

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $21.10: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Overbought (RSI 82). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 82. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 22%
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5
Overbought (RSI 82)
Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)10.3
Mkt Cap$2.6B
EV/EBITDA76.0
Profit Mgn-3.6%
ROE-9.9%
Rev Growth10.5%
Beta0.75
DividendNone
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.05bullish
IV75%elevated
Max Pain$10-52.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicTel Aviv, Israel R&D
    10-K Item 1A: 'our research and development teams maintain a significant presence in Tel Aviv, Israel. Recent and ongoing hostilities in the region may have a material impact on our ability to deliver on our product roadmaps'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.5
Growth Rank
3.8
Value Rank
6.8

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
1.5
Bollinger
1.6
Support Resistance
1.9
Gap
7.5
Extreme gap down (-5.5%) - potential reversal
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.3>=5.5A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
82 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $15.72Resistance $22.34

Price Targets

$20
$26
A.Upside+22.2%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Analyst Consensus

Analysts30
Consensus3.7/5
Avg Target$29

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TENB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $21.10: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Overbought (RSI 82). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 82. Prior stop was $19.63. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TENB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $25.79 (+22.2% upside). Prior stop was $19.63. Stop-loss: $19.63.

What are the risks of investing in TENB?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Overbought (RSI 82); Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is TENB overvalued or undervalued?

Tenable Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 10.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TENB?

30 analysts cover TENB with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $29.

What does Tenable Holdings, Inc. do?Tenable provides cybersecurity exposure management solutions including the Tenable One platform spanning IT, cloud,...

Tenable provides cybersecurity exposure management solutions including the Tenable One platform spanning IT, cloud, OT/ICS, identity, and AI workloads, with $999.4M in revenue in 2025 (+11% YoY). Revenue primarily from subscriptions to enterprise customers; significant R&D presence in Tel Aviv, Israel.

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