Talos Energy, Inc. (TALO) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the TALO stock price target?

Take-profit $16.14 (-0.6% upside). Prior stop was $15.10.

Q: What are the risks of investing in TALO?

Concentration risk — Geographic: single geographic region; Target reached (-1.4% upside); Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0); Target reached (-1.4% upside); Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0).

Q: Is TALO overvalued or undervalued?

Talos Energy, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -63.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about TALO?

18 analysts cover TALO with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $18.

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 1 days ago (May 19, 2026, 8:16 AM ET)

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Talos Energy Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas in the United States and Mexico. The company operates through two segments: Upstream, and Carbon Capture and Sequestration. It also engages in the exploration and production of... Read more

$16.23-0.6% A.UpsideScore 4.0/10#37 of 37 Oil & Gas E&P

QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield19.42%

Stop $15.10Target $16.14(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1

Analyst target$18.40+13.4%10 analysts

$16.14our TP

$16.23price

$18.40mean

$22

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.23: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Score 4.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Talos Energy, Inc.

Latest news

JP Morgan Maintains Neutral on Talos Energy, Raises Price Target to $17 — benzinga May 13, 2026 positive
Talos Energy Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript — benzinga May 6, 2026 neutral
Talos Energy Q1 Adj. EPS $(0.07) Beats $(0.18) Estimate, Sales $472.310M Beat $433.160M Estimate — benzinga May 5, 2026 positive
Earnings Scheduled For May 5, 2026 — benzinga May 5, 2026 neutral
Energy Stocks Just Had Their Worst Day In A Year — 20 Stocks Hit By Trump's Ceasefire — benzinga Apr 8, 2026 negative

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Concentration risk — Geographic: single geographic region

Target reached (-1.4% upside)

Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—

P/E (Fwd)-63.0

Mkt Cap$2.7B

EV/EBITDA3.8

Profit Mgn-42.6%

ROE-32.2%

Rev Growth-7.9%

Beta0.35

DividendNone

Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.13bearish

IV56%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

HIGHGeographicsingle geographic region
10-K Item 1A: 'Our current operations are primarily concentrated in a single geographic region, making us vulnerable to regional risks.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value6.215%0.93

Quality3.615%0.54

Growth0.515%0.07

Momentum5.710%0.57

Sentiment6.810%0.68

Insider Activity3.010%0.30

Peer Rank2.510%0.25

Technical Setup4.35%0.21

Risk Profile6.05%0.30

Catalyst3.75%0.19

Overall (Σ contributions)4.04

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Revenue shrinking — -7.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth

0.5

Declining revenue: -8%

Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank

0.4

Growth Rank

0.8

Value Rank

8.6

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe

0.0

Roa

0.0

Operating Margin

0.0

Net Margin

0.0

Rule Of 40

3.0

Piotroski F

4.4

Current Ratio

4.6

Moat

4.8

Gross Margin

9.7

Fcf Quality

10.0

FCF-positive despite GAAP loss (FCF margin 30%, FCF yield 19.4%)No competitive moatRule of 40: 22 (fail)

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg

0.0

Earnings History

3.3

Erm

5.0

Earnings Timing

5.0

News Activity

5.0

Earnings concerns: 2B/2M

GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

58 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.77Resistance $16.47

Price Targets

$15

$16

A.Upside-0.6%

A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.4% upside)

! Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)

! Value-trap signals (3/5): Revenue declining (-43.1% YoY), Margin compression (op margin -8.7%), Material insider selling (3 sells, 0.08% of cap)

Earnings

2/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-08-05 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is TALO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.23: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $15.10. Score 4.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TALO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.14 (-0.6% upside). Prior stop was $15.10. Stop-loss: $15.10.

What are the risks of investing in TALO?

Concentration risk — Geographic: single geographic region; Target reached (-1.4% upside); Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0).

Is TALO overvalued or undervalued?

Talos Energy, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -63.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TALO?

18 analysts cover TALO with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Talos Energy, Inc. do?Talos Energy Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas in the United...