Talos Energy, Inc. (TALO) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the TALO stock price target?

Take-profit $16.16 (+3.5% upside). Prior stop was $14.53.

Q: What are the risks of investing in TALO?

Concentration risk — Geographic: single geographic region; Target reached (-1.4% upside); Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0); Target reached (-1.4% upside); Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0).

Q: Is TALO overvalued or undervalued?

Talos Energy, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -54.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about TALO?

18 analysts cover TALO with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $18.

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.64: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.50; Below-average business quality.

Talos Energy Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas in the United States and Mexico. The company operates through two segments: Upstream, and Carbon Capture and Sequestration. It also engages in the exploration and production of... Read more

$15.64+3.5% A.UpsideScore 4.2/10#37 of 37 Oil & Gas E&P

Stop $14.53Target $16.16(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1

Analyst target$17.70+13.2%10 analysts

$16.16our TP

$15.64price

$17.70mean

$22

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Concentration risk — Geographic: single geographic region

Target reached (-1.4% upside)

Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—

P/E (Fwd)-54.6

Mkt Cap$2.7B

EV/EBITDA3.1

Profit Mgn-27.8%

ROE-20.1%

Rev Growth-19.2%

Beta0.35

DividendNone

Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C3.50bearish

IV78%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

HIGHGeographicsingle geographic region
10-K Item 1A: 'Our current operations are primarily concentrated in a single geographic region, making us vulnerable to regional risks.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value6.215%0.93

Quality4.015%0.60

Growth0.015%0.00

Momentum6.510%0.65

Sentiment6.410%0.64

Insider Activity3.010%0.30

Peer Rank2.610%0.26

Technical Setup4.85%0.24

Risk Profile4.65%0.23

Catalyst6.75%0.34

Overall (Σ contributions)4.19

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Revenue shrinking — -19.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth

0.0

Declining revenue: -19%

Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank

0.8

Growth Rank

0.9

Value Rank

8.9

GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

58 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $12.47Resistance $16.49

Price Targets

$15

$16

A.Upside+3.3%

A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.4% upside)

! Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)

! Value-trap signals (3/5): Revenue declining (-43.1% YoY), Margin compression (op margin -8.7%), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.09% of cap)

Earnings

3/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-05 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is TALO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.64: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.50; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $14.53. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TALO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.16 (+3.5% upside). Prior stop was $14.53. Stop-loss: $14.53.

What are the risks of investing in TALO?

Concentration risk — Geographic: single geographic region; Target reached (-1.4% upside); Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0).

Is TALO overvalued or undervalued?

Talos Energy, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -54.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TALO?

18 analysts cover TALO with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Talos Energy, Inc. do?Talos Energy Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas in the United...