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TTETotalEnergies SEHold6.9·$92.70
HoldHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

TotalEnergies is deeply oversold with an RSI of 28 and one of the most attractive valuations in the energy sector at a forward P/E of 8.4x and PEG of 0.68, but three consecutive earnings misses and a put/call ratio of 2.59 signal that the bear case is actively being priced in.

Thesis pillars

  • Dividend Yield Sustainability↑Improving
  • Oversold Valuation Setup↑Improving
  • Consecutive Earnings Misses↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

TotalEnergies SE (TTE) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldValueGrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $92.70, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.2% away).

TotalEnergies SE, an integrated energy company, produces and markets oil and biofuels, natural gas, biogas and low-carbon hydrogen, renewables, and electricity in France, the United States, Europe, Africa, and internationally. It operates through Exploration & Production,... Read more

$92.70-6.5% A.UpsideScore 6.9/10#5 of 17 Oil & Gas Integrated
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.86%
IncomeYield4.35%(5y avg 5.11%)Payout39.93%sustainable
Stop $88.94Analyst target $86.70(reached)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst consensus$99.65+7.5%10 analysts with price targets
$92.70price
$99.65mean
$81
$119

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $92.70, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.2% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 98d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 29, 2026

Recent Developments — TotalEnergies SE

Latest item Oct 29, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:29:29Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Feb 10, 202798d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.2% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.3
P/E (Fwd)7.8
Mkt Cap$203.7B
EV/EBITDA4.8
Profit Mgn10.5%
ROE17.8%
Rev Growth41.1%
Beta0.04
Dividend4.35%
Analysts with ratings31

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV39%normal
Max Pain$55-40.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 98d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
59 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $83.87Resistance $95.78

Price Targets

A.Upside-6.5%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-10 (98d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TTE stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $92.70, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.2% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $86.70 reached (−6.5%), stop $88.94 (−4.2%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Score 6.9/10, high confidence.

What is the TTE stock price target?

Analyst target $86.70 reached (−6.5% from $92.70); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $86.70 reached (−6.5%), stop $88.94 (−4.2%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Stop-loss: $88.94.

What are the risks of investing in TTE?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.2% away).

Is TTE overvalued or undervalued?

TotalEnergies SE trades at a P/E of 9.3 (forward 7.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about TTE?

31 analysts rate TTE, with a consensus score of 3.7/5. 10 analysts publish price targets averaging $100.

What does TotalEnergies SE do?TotalEnergies SE, an integrated energy company, produces and markets oil and biofuels, natural gas, biogas and...

TotalEnergies SE, an integrated energy company, produces and markets oil and biofuels, natural gas, biogas and low-carbon hydrogen, renewables, and electricity in France, the United States, Europe, Africa, and internationally. It operates through Exploration & Production, Integrated LNG, Integrated Power, Refining & Chemicals, and Marketing & Services segments. The Exploration & Production segment engages in the activities of exploration and production of oil and natural gas, as well as carbon storage. The Integrated LNG segment is involved in the upstream and midstream LNG activities, as well as biogas and synthetic methane activities, as well as gas trading. The Integrated Power segment engages in the generation, storage, electricity trading, and B2B-B2C distribution of gas and electricity. The Refining & Chemicals segment is involved in the industrial hub activities comprising the activities of refining, petrochemicals and specialty chemicals. This segment also includes the activities of oil supply, trading and marine shipping, as well as hydrogen activities. The Marketing & Services segment engages in the marketing activities in the field of petroleum products, as well as corresponding supply and logistics activities. The company was formerly known as TOTAL SE and changed its name to TotalEnergies SE in June 2021. TotalEnergies SE was incorporated in 1924 and is headquartered in Courbevoie, France.

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