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TotalEnergies SE (TTE) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $93.80 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.3% away).

TotalEnergies SE, an integrated energy company, produces and markets oil and biofuels, natural gas, biogas and low-carbon hydrogen, renewables, and electricity in France, the United States, Europe, Brazil, India, and internationally. The company was formerly known as TOTAL SE... Read more

$93.80-0.7% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#6 of 17 Oil & Gas Integrated
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.84%
IncomeYield4.51%(5y avg 5.40%)Payout58.84%sustainable
Stop $89.32Target $92.29(resistance)A.R:R -1.6:1
Analyst target$97.19+3.6%7 analysts
$92.29our TP
$93.80price
$97.19mean
$77
$106

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $93.80 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.3% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 52, MACD bullish. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 65d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — TotalEnergies SE

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.3% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.9
P/E (Fwd)9.3
Mkt Cap$207.8B
EV/EBITDA6.5
Profit Mgn8.2%
ROE12.5%
Rev Growth3.4%
Beta0.06
Dividend4.51%
Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.04bearish
IV35%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
2.0
Erm
3.5
Dividend Safety
4.8
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
7.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesA.R:R -1.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 65d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $87.73Resistance $94.17

Price Targets

$89
$92
A.Upside-1.6%
A.R:R-1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.0% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (65d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TTE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $93.80 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.3% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 52, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $89.32. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TTE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $92.29 (-0.7% upside). Prior stop was $89.32. Stop-loss: $89.32.

What are the risks of investing in TTE?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.3% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

Is TTE overvalued or undervalued?

TotalEnergies SE trades at a P/E of 13.9 (forward 9.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TTE?

32 analysts cover TTE with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $97.

What does TotalEnergies SE do?TotalEnergies SE, an integrated energy company, produces and markets oil and biofuels, natural gas, biogas and...

TotalEnergies SE, an integrated energy company, produces and markets oil and biofuels, natural gas, biogas and low-carbon hydrogen, renewables, and electricity in France, the United States, Europe, Brazil, India, and internationally. The company was formerly known as TOTAL SE and changed its name to TotalEnergies SE in June 2021. TotalEnergies SE was incorporated in 1924 and is headquartered in Courbevoie, France.

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