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TTETotalEnergies SESell6.6·$89.64
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

TotalEnergies is deeply oversold with an RSI of 28 and one of the most attractive valuations in the energy sector at a forward P/E of 8.4x and PEG of 0.68, but three consecutive earnings misses and a put/call ratio of 2.59 signal that the bear case is actively being priced in.

Thesis pillars

  • Dividend Yield Sustainability↓Deteriorating
  • Oversold Valuation Setup↓Deteriorating
  • Consecutive Earnings Misses↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

TotalEnergies SE (TTE) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $89.64 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.8% away).

TotalEnergies SE, an integrated energy company, produces and markets oil and biofuels, natural gas, biogas and low-carbon hydrogen, renewables, and electricity in France, the United States, Europe, Africa, and internationally. It operates through Exploration & Production,... Read more

$89.64-4.6% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#10 of 17 Oil & Gas Integrated
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.89%
IncomeYield4.52%(5y avg 5.13%)Payout49.62%sustainable
Stop $85.96Target $103.09(default +15%)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$98.25+9.6%10 analysts
$103.09our TP
$89.64price
$98.25mean
$81
$111

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $89.64 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.8% away). Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 15d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 202615d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.8% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.1
P/E (Fwd)8.1
Mkt Cap$196.4B
EV/EBITDA5.8
Profit Mgn9.1%
ROE14.5%
Rev Growth27.8%
Beta0.09
Dividend4.52%
Rating analysts33

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.42bearish
IV52%elevated
Max Pain$50-44.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 15d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
44 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $83.15Resistance $91.76

Price Targets

$86
$103
A.Upside-4.6%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.6% upside)
! News modifier -1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (15d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TTE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $89.64 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.8% away). Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $85.96. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TTE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $103.09 (-4.6% upside). Prior stop was $85.96. Stop-loss: $85.96.

What are the risks of investing in TTE?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.8% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

Is TTE overvalued or undervalued?

TotalEnergies SE trades at a P/E of 11.1 (forward 8.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TTE?

33 analysts cover TTE with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $98.

What does TotalEnergies SE do?TotalEnergies SE, an integrated energy company, produces and markets oil and biofuels, natural gas, biogas and...

TotalEnergies SE, an integrated energy company, produces and markets oil and biofuels, natural gas, biogas and low-carbon hydrogen, renewables, and electricity in France, the United States, Europe, Africa, and internationally. It operates through Exploration & Production, Integrated LNG, Integrated Power, Refining & Chemicals, and Marketing & Services segments. The Exploration & Production segment engages in the activities of exploration and production of oil and natural gas, as well as carbon storage. The Integrated LNG segment is involved in the upstream and midstream LNG activities, as well as biogas and synthetic methane activities, as well as gas trading. The Integrated Power segment engages in the generation, storage, electricity trading, and B2B-B2C distribution of gas and electricity. The Refining & Chemicals segment is involved in the industrial hub activities comprising the activities of refining, petrochemicals and specialty chemicals. This segment also includes the activities of oil supply, trading and marine shipping, as well as hydrogen activities. The Marketing & Services segment engages in the marketing activities in the field of petroleum products, as well as corresponding supply and logistics activities. The company was formerly known as TOTAL SE and changed its name to TotalEnergies SE in June 2021. TotalEnergies SE was incorporated in 1924 and is headquartered in Courbevoie, France.

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