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STSensata Technologies Holding plHold6.0·$42.32
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Sensata Technologies has achieved a perfect 4-for-4 earnings beat record over the past year and converts 853% of net income into free cash flow, but the stock has already exceeded the analyst consensus price target and trades at negative indicated upside, limiting the near-term return case.

Thesis pillars

  • Automotive Concentration Risk↑Improving
  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak↑Improving
  • Exceptional Free Cash Flow Conversion→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 27, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Sensata Technologies Holding pl (ST) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $42.32, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Automotive segment (57.0%); Thin upside margin: 9.6%.

Sensata Technologies manufactures sensors and electrical protection components across three segments — Automotive (57.0% of 2025 net revenue), Industrials (21.3%), and Aerospace, Defense, and Commercial Equipment (21.7%) — selling primarily to OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers globally... Read more

$42.32+9.6% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#7 of 17 Scientific & Technical Instruments
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield8.18%
IncomeYield1.18%(5y avg 0.96%)Payout80.00%
Stop $39.62Analyst target $46.37(−13% haircut)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst consensus$53.30+25.9%10 analysts
$46.37Analyst target
$42.32price
$53.30mean
$63

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $42.32, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Automotive segment (57.0%); Thin upside margin: 9.6%. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/7 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 27, 2026Date unconfirmed· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Automotive segment (57.0%)
Thin upside margin: 9.6%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)70.5
P/E (Fwd)10.3
Mkt Cap$6.2B
EV/EBITDA10.6
Profit Mgn2.4%
ROE3.1%
Rev Growth5.0%
Beta1.24
Dividend1.18%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.31bearish
IV55%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductAutomotive segment57%
    10-K Item 1: 'The Automotive reportable segment accounted for approximately 57.0% of our net revenue in fiscal year 2025.'
  • LOWGeographicChina20%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our subsidiaries located outside of the U.S. generated approximately 61% of our net revenue in fiscal year 2025 (including approximately 20% in China)'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.8
Growth Rank
2.4
Value Rank
5.3
GatesMomentum 7.0>=5.5A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
50 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $39.61Resistance $44.17

Price Targets

$40
$46
A.Upside+9.6%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier +1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-27 (Date unconfirmed)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ST stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $42.32, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Automotive segment (57.0%); Thin upside margin: 9.6%. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Analyst target $46.37 (+9.6%), stop $39.62 (−6.8%), A.R:R 1.5:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ST stock price target?

Analyst target: $46.37 (+9.6% upside). Analyst target $46.37 (+9.6%), stop $39.62 (−6.8%), A.R:R 1.5:1. Stop-loss: $39.62.

What are the risks of investing in ST?

Concentration risk — Product: Automotive segment (57.0%); Thin upside margin: 9.6%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8).

Is ST overvalued or undervalued?

Sensata Technologies Holding pl trades at a P/E of 70.5 (forward 10.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ST?

20 analysts cover ST with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $53.

What does Sensata Technologies Holding pl do?Sensata Technologies manufactures sensors and electrical protection components across three segments — Automotive...

Sensata Technologies manufactures sensors and electrical protection components across three segments — Automotive (57.0% of 2025 net revenue), Industrials (21.3%), and Aerospace, Defense, and Commercial Equipment (21.7%) — selling primarily to OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers globally with 16,700 employees. Once a sensor is designed into a platform, high switching costs from custom fit and certification make it rarely changed during a platform lifecycle of five to seven years.

Related stocks: ITRN (Ituran Location and Control Ltd) · KEYS (Keysight Technologies Inc.) · CGNX (Cognex Corporation) · MKSI (MKS Inc.) · GRMN (Garmin Ltd.)
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