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STSensata Technologies Holding plHold5.1·$46.85-4.74%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Sensata Technologies has achieved a perfect 4-for-4 earnings beat record over the past year and converts 853% of net income into free cash flow, but the stock has already exceeded the analyst consensus price target and trades at negative indicated upside, limiting the near-term return case.

Thesis pillars

  • Automotive Concentration RiskStable
  • Perfect Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Exceptional Free Cash Flow ConversionStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Sensata Technologies Holding pl (ST) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $46.85, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Automotive segment (57.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Sensata Technologies manufactures sensors and electrical protection components across three segments — Automotive (57.0% of 2025 net revenue), Industrials (21.3%), and Aerospace, Defense, and Commercial Equipment (21.7%) — selling primarily to OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers globally... Read more

$46.85+12.7% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#13 of 14 Scientific & Technical Instruments
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield6.07%
IncomeYield1.02%Payout145.45%at-risk
Stop $44.59Target $52.81(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$51.08+9.0%12 analysts
$52.81our TP
$46.85price
$51.08mean
$43
$60

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $46.85, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Automotive segment (57.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-29

Recent Developments — Sensata Technologies Holding pl

Generated 2026-06-29T23:53:57Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202631d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Automotive segment (57.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)142.0
P/E (Fwd)11.6
Mkt Cap$6.8B
EV/EBITDA11.9
Profit Mgn1.3%
ROE1.7%
Rev Growth2.6%
Beta1.26
Dividend1.02%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C10.73bearish
IV56%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductAutomotive segment57%
    10-K Item 1: 'The Automotive reportable segment accounted for approximately 57.0% of our net revenue in fiscal year 2025.'
  • LOWGeographicChina20%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our subsidiaries located outside of the U.S. generated approximately 61% of our net revenue in fiscal year 2025 (including approximately 20% in China)'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
2.1
Value Rank
4.3

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume
7.1
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 31d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $45.97Resistance $53.89

Price Targets

$45
$53
A.Upside+12.7%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.1% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 3.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (31d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ST stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $46.85, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Automotive segment (57.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $52.81 (+12.7%), stop $44.59 (−5.1%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ST stock price target?

Take-profit target: $52.81 (+12.7% upside). Target $52.81 (+12.7%), stop $44.59 (−5.1%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Stop-loss: $44.59.

What are the risks of investing in ST?

Concentration risk — Product: Automotive segment (57.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is ST overvalued or undervalued?

Sensata Technologies Holding pl trades at a P/E of 142.0 (forward 11.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ST?

22 analysts cover ST with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $51.

What does Sensata Technologies Holding pl do?Sensata Technologies manufactures sensors and electrical protection components across three segments — Automotive...

Sensata Technologies manufactures sensors and electrical protection components across three segments — Automotive (57.0% of 2025 net revenue), Industrials (21.3%), and Aerospace, Defense, and Commercial Equipment (21.7%) — selling primarily to OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers globally with 16,700 employees. Once a sensor is designed into a platform, high switching costs from custom fit and certification make it rarely changed during a platform lifecycle of five to seven years.

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