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STSensata Technologies Holding plHold5.8·$46.67+0.73%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Sensata Technologies has achieved a perfect 4-for-4 earnings beat record over the past year and converts 853% of net income into free cash flow, but the stock has already exceeded the analyst consensus price target and trades at negative indicated upside, limiting the near-term return case.

Thesis pillars

  • Automotive Concentration RiskImproving
  • Perfect Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Exceptional Free Cash Flow ConversionStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Sensata Technologies Holding pl (ST) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $46.67, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Automotive segment (57.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Sensata Technologies manufactures sensors and electrical protection components across three segments — Automotive (57.0% of 2025 net revenue), Industrials (21.3%), and Aerospace, Defense, and Commercial Equipment (21.7%) — selling primarily to OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers globally... Read more

$46.67-1.4% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#11 of 17 Scientific & Technical Instruments
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield7.42%
IncomeYield1.04%Payout77.42%
Stop $43.40Target $49.98(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$52.91+13.4%11 analysts
$49.98our TP
$46.67price
$52.91mean
$63

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $46.67, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Automotive segment (57.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 80d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 27, 202680d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Automotive segment (57.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)74.1
P/E (Fwd)11.4
Mkt Cap$6.8B
EV/EBITDA11.4
Profit Mgn2.4%
ROE3.1%
Rev Growth5.0%
Beta1.26
Dividend1.04%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.39bullish
IV58%elevated
Max Pain$65+39.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductAutomotive segment57%
    10-K Item 1: 'The Automotive reportable segment accounted for approximately 57.0% of our net revenue in fiscal year 2025.'
  • LOWGeographicChina20%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our subsidiaries located outside of the U.S. generated approximately 61% of our net revenue in fiscal year 2025 (including approximately 20% in China)'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.6
Growth Rank
2.4
Value Rank
5.6
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 80d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $42.80Resistance $51.00

Price Targets

$43
$50
A.Upside-1.4%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-27 (80d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ST stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $46.67, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Automotive segment (57.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $49.98 (+7.1%), stop $43.40 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ST stock price target?

Take-profit target: $49.98 (-1.4% upside). Target $49.98 (+7.1%), stop $43.40 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Stop-loss: $43.40.

What are the risks of investing in ST?

Concentration risk — Product: Automotive segment (57.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is ST overvalued or undervalued?

Sensata Technologies Holding pl trades at a P/E of 74.1 (forward 11.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ST?

21 analysts cover ST with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $53.

What does Sensata Technologies Holding pl do?Sensata Technologies manufactures sensors and electrical protection components across three segments — Automotive...

Sensata Technologies manufactures sensors and electrical protection components across three segments — Automotive (57.0% of 2025 net revenue), Industrials (21.3%), and Aerospace, Defense, and Commercial Equipment (21.7%) — selling primarily to OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers globally with 16,700 employees. Once a sensor is designed into a platform, high switching costs from custom fit and certification make it rarely changed during a platform lifecycle of five to seven years.

Related stocks: ITRN (Ituran Location and Control Ltd) · KEYS (Keysight Technologies Inc.) · CGNX (Cognex Corporation) · GRMN (Garmin Ltd.) · TRMB (Trimble Inc.)
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