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STSensata Technologies Holding plBuy Wait6.1·$41.03-3.44%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Sensata Technologies has achieved a perfect 4-for-4 earnings beat record over the past year and converts 853% of net income into free cash flow, but the stock has already exceeded the analyst consensus price target and trades at negative indicated upside, limiting the near-term return case.

Thesis pillars

  • Automotive Concentration RiskImproving
  • Perfect Earnings Beat StreakImproving
  • Exceptional Free Cash Flow ConversionStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Sensata Technologies Holding pl (ST) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments

Wait for pullback to $40.72. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $41.03. Engine's entry $40.72 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Concentration risk — Product: Automotive segment (57.0%).

Sensata Technologies manufactures sensors and electrical protection components across three segments — Automotive (57.0% of 2025 net revenue), Industrials (21.3%), and Aerospace, Defense, and Commercial Equipment (21.7%) — selling primarily to OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers globally... Read more

$41.03+12.2% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#7 of 17 Scientific & Technical Instruments
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield8.15%
IncomeYield1.13%Payout77.42%
Entry $40.72(Ma200 Sticky)Stop $37.95Target $46.03(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$52.91+29.0%11 analysts
$46.03our TP
$41.03price
$52.91mean
$63

Wait for pullback to $40.72. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $41.03. Engine's entry $40.72 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Concentration risk — Product: Automotive segment (57.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 60d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 27, 202660d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Automotive segment (57.0%)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)68.5
P/E (Fwd)10.4
Mkt Cap$6.2B
EV/EBITDA10.6
Profit Mgn2.4%
ROE3.1%
Rev Growth5.0%
Beta1.26
Dividend1.13%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.19bullish
IV46%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductAutomotive segment57%
    10-K Item 1: 'The Automotive reportable segment accounted for approximately 57.0% of our net revenue in fiscal year 2025.'
  • LOWGeographicChina20%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our subsidiaries located outside of the U.S. generated approximately 61% of our net revenue in fiscal year 2025 (including approximately 20% in China)'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.8
Growth Rank
2.4
Value Rank
5.7
GatesMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 60d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
27 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $41.01Resistance $49.04

Price Targets

$38
$41
$46
A.Upside+12.2%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! News modifier +2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-27 (60d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ST stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $40.72. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $41.03. Engine's entry $40.72 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Concentration risk — Product: Automotive segment (57.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $46.03 (+12.2%), stop $37.95 (−8.1%), A.R:R 1.8:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ST stock price target?

Take-profit target: $46.03 (+12.2% upside). Target $46.03 (+12.2%), stop $37.95 (−8.1%), A.R:R 1.8:1. Stop-loss: $37.95.

What are the risks of investing in ST?

Concentration risk — Product: Automotive segment (57.0%).

Is ST overvalued or undervalued?

Sensata Technologies Holding pl trades at a P/E of 68.5 (forward 10.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ST?

21 analysts cover ST with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $53.

What does Sensata Technologies Holding pl do?Sensata Technologies manufactures sensors and electrical protection components across three segments — Automotive...

Sensata Technologies manufactures sensors and electrical protection components across three segments — Automotive (57.0% of 2025 net revenue), Industrials (21.3%), and Aerospace, Defense, and Commercial Equipment (21.7%) — selling primarily to OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers globally with 16,700 employees. Once a sensor is designed into a platform, high switching costs from custom fit and certification make it rarely changed during a platform lifecycle of five to seven years.

Related stocks: ITRN (Ituran Location and Control Ltd) · KEYS (Keysight Technologies Inc.) · CGNX (Cognex Corporation) · MKSI (MKS Inc.) · GRMN (Garmin Ltd.)
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