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SSR Mining Inc. (SSRM) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $29.65, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 6.1× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.51× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

The Company is primarily engaged in the operation, acquisition, exploration and development of precious metal resource properties located in Türkiye and the Americas. The Company produces gold doré as well as copper, silver, lead and zinc concentrates.

$29.65+28.7% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#13 of 32 Gold
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-23.94%
Stop $27.54Target $38.11(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$43.80+47.7%5 analysts
$38.11our TP
$29.65price
$43.80mean
$48

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $29.65, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 6.1× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.51× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and materials cycle peak fwd=6.1x,ratio=0.51x. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — SSR Mining Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 6.1× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.51× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.8
P/E (Fwd)6.1
Mkt Cap$6.4B
EV/EBITDA7.8
Profit Mgn12.2%
ROE12.4%
Rev Growth83.7%
Beta0.86
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV66%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-26Item 2.06MEDIUM
    Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions: | ---|--- ¨ | Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ¨ | Soliciting material p...
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
3.1
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5MATERIALS CYCLE PEAK fwd=6.1x,ratio=0.51xA.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $28.07Resistance $36.28

Price Targets

$28
$38
A.Upside+28.5%
A.R:R2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:fwd=6.1x,ratio=0.51x

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SSRM stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $29.65, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 6.1× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.51× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $38.11 (+28.5%), stop $27.54 (−7.7%), A.R:R 2.1:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SSRM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $38.11 (+28.7% upside). Target $38.11 (+28.5%), stop $27.54 (−7.7%), A.R:R 2.1:1. Stop-loss: $27.54.

What are the risks of investing in SSRM?

Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 6.1× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.51× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0.

Is SSRM overvalued or undervalued?

SSR Mining Inc. trades at a P/E of 11.8 (forward 6.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SSRM?

12 analysts cover SSRM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $44.

What does SSR Mining Inc. do?The Company is primarily engaged in the operation, acquisition, exploration and development of precious metal resource...

The Company is primarily engaged in the operation, acquisition, exploration and development of precious metal resource properties located in Türkiye and the Americas. The Company produces gold doré as well as copper, silver, lead and zinc concentrates.

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