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S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $415.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

S&P Global is a diversified provider of benchmarks, data, analytics, and workflow solutions across five businesses: Market Intelligence, Ratings, Energy, Mobility (pending spin-off mid-2026), and S&P Dow Jones Indices. Revenue is generated through subscriptions, transaction fees... Read more

$415.00+17.1% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#6 of 11 Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.29%
IncomeYield0.93%(5y avg 0.81%)Payout24.35%sustainable
Stop $388.97Target $480.60(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.0:1
Analyst target$534.00+28.7%21 analysts
$480.60our TP
$415.00price
$534.00mean
$575

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $415.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 34, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — S&P Global Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.3 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.4
P/E (Fwd)18.8
Mkt Cap$123.6B
EV/EBITDA17.9
Profit Mgn30.4%
ROE13.9%
Rev Growth10.4%
Beta1.10
Dividend0.93%
Rating analysts35

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.52bullish
IV51%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.5
Volume
6.6
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.9%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
34 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $401.00Resistance $456.70

Price Targets

$389
$481
A.Upside+15.8%
A.R:R3.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SPGI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $415.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 34, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $480.60 (+15.8%), stop $388.97 (−6.7%), A.R:R 3.0:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SPGI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $480.60 (+17.1% upside). Target $480.60 (+15.8%), stop $388.97 (−6.7%), A.R:R 3.0:1. Stop-loss: $388.97.

What are the risks of investing in SPGI?

Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is SPGI overvalued or undervalued?

S&P Global Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.4 (forward 18.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SPGI?

35 analysts cover SPGI with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $534.

What does S&P Global Inc. do?S&P Global is a diversified provider of benchmarks, data, analytics, and workflow solutions across five businesses:...

S&P Global is a diversified provider of benchmarks, data, analytics, and workflow solutions across five businesses: Market Intelligence, Ratings, Energy, Mobility (pending spin-off mid-2026), and S&P Dow Jones Indices. Revenue is generated through subscriptions, transaction fees on new debt issuances, and asset-linked licensing from capital markets, energy/commodity, and automotive industry clients; approximately 44,500 permanent employees worldwide.

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