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Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. (SPB) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $81.84 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: The Home Depot, Lowe's and Walmart (H&G segment) (64.0%).

Spectrum Brands is a global consumer products company with three segments: Global Pet Care (aquatics, companion animals, dog/cat food), Home and Garden (pesticides, repellents, cleaning), and Home and Personal Care (small appliances, grooming). Products are sold through mass... Read more

$81.84+2.4% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#7 of 13 Household & Personal Products
Stop $77.90Target $83.78(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$85.29+4.2%7 analysts
$83.78our TP
$81.84price
$85.29mean
$72
$95

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $81.84 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: The Home Depot, Lowe's and Walmart (H&G segment) (64.0%). Chart setup: RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: The Home Depot, Lowe's and Walmart (H&G segment) (64.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.3% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.3
P/E (Fwd)15.2
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA9.9
Profit Mgn3.8%
ROE5.3%
Rev Growth-3.3%
Beta0.63
Dividend2.31%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.16bullish
IV62%elevated
Max Pain$50-38.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerThe Home Depot, Lowe's and Walmart (H&G segment)64%
    10-K Item 1: 'The Home Depot, Lowe's and Walmart, representing approximately 64% segment sales for the year ended September 30, 2025'
  • MEDIUMCustomerAmazon and Walmart (HPC segment)42%
    10-K Item 1: 'consisting of Amazon and Walmart, representing approximately 42% of segment sales for the year ended September 30, 2025'
  • MEDIUMCustomerAmazon and Walmart (GPC segment)34%
    10-K Item 1: 'consisting of Amazon and Walmart, representing approximately 34% of segment sales for the year ended September 30, 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
0.2
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
3.4
Value Rank
6.3
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $72.12Resistance $85.49

Price Targets

$78
$84
A.Upside+2.4%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.3% upside)
! Momentum score 3.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SPB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $81.84 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: The Home Depot, Lowe's and Walmart (H&G segment) (64.0%). Chart setup: RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $77.90. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SPB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $83.78 (+2.4% upside). Prior stop was $77.90. Stop-loss: $77.90.

What are the risks of investing in SPB?

Concentration risk — Customer: The Home Depot, Lowe's and Walmart (H&G segment) (64.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.3% away).

Is SPB overvalued or undervalued?

Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.3 (forward 15.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SPB?

13 analysts cover SPB with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $85.

What does Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. do?Spectrum Brands is a global consumer products company with three segments: Global Pet Care (aquatics, companion...

Spectrum Brands is a global consumer products company with three segments: Global Pet Care (aquatics, companion animals, dog/cat food), Home and Garden (pesticides, repellents, cleaning), and Home and Personal Care (small appliances, grooming). Products are sold through mass retail and e-commerce globally with ~3,000 employees. The HPC segment is planned for separation as an independent company.

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