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SPBSpectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.Hold5.6·$84.00-0.65%
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Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. (SPB) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $84.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: Home Depot, Lowe's and Walmart (H&G segment) (64.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: APAC third-party manufacturers (HPC).

Spectrum Brands Holdings is a diversified global consumer products company with three segments: Global Pet Care (companion animals, aquatics, dog/cat food), Home & Garden (pest control, repellents, cleaning), and Home & Personal Care (small appliances, personal care devices).... Read more

$84.00-0.2% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#4 of 13 Household & Personal Products
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield11.34%
IncomeYield2.22%(5y avg 2.39%)Payout36.72%sustainable
Stop $79.40Target $83.80(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$87.43+4.1%7 analysts
$83.80our TP
$84.00price
$87.43mean
$80
$100

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $84.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: Home Depot, Lowe's and Walmart (H&G segment) (64.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: APAC third-party manufacturers (HPC). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.

About Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.

Spectrum Brands' three segments all carry high retailer concentration for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2025: Amazon and Walmart represent 34% of Global Pet Care segment sales, Home Depot, Lowe's, and Walmart represent 64% of Home and Garden segment sales, and Amazon and Walmart represent 42% of Home and Personal Care segment sales. The company employs approximately 3,000 full-time workers worldwide, with roughly 32% covered by collective bargaining agreements.

Spectrum Brands earns revenue through branded products sold primarily to mass retailers with no long-term purchase contracts. The Global Pet Care segment competes against Mars Corporation, Nestlé Purina, and Central Garden & Pet across companion animal, aquatics, and dog and cat food categories; most chews and aquatics hard goods are manufactured by third-party suppliers in the APAC region. The Home and Garden segment produces the majority of its products at a single Vinita Park, Missouri facility, competing against Scotts Miracle-Gro (Ortho, Roundup), S.C. Johnson (Raid, OFF!), and Henkel (Combat) in pest control, repellents, and cleaning. Home and Personal Care markets small appliances and personal care devices—substantially all manufactured by APAC third-party suppliers—competing with SharkNinja, De'Longhi, Newell Brands, and Dyson. The B+D trademark is licensed from Stanley Black+Decker through December 31, 2027, with two four-year renewal options tied to minimum sales performance metrics.

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The Home and Garden segment's three named retailers collectively represent 64% of segment sales—a level that exposes H&G to outsized risk if any one partner reduces orders, adjusts promotional commitments, or shifts shelf space to competing brands. H&G sales are also highly seasonal, peaking in the second and third fiscal quarters (January through June) when warm-weather demand for insecticides and herbicides is highest; if a spring selling season underperforms or a major retailer draws down inventory in that window, the impact could weigh disproportionately on annual results. The planned HPC spin-off, subject to market and regulatory conditions, would further narrow each resulting entity's scale and could reduce negotiating standing with shared retail partners.

See also: Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

From Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Home Depot, Lowe's and Walmart (H&G segment) (64.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: APAC third-party manufacturers (HPC)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.5
P/E (Fwd)15.4
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA9.8
Profit Mgn4.5%
ROE6.6%
Rev Growth4.9%
Beta0.65
Dividend2.22%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.16bullish
IV55%elevated
Max Pain$95+13.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerHome Depot, Lowe's and Walmart (H&G segment)64%
    10-K Item 1: 'The Home Depot, Lowe's and Walmart, representing approximately 64% segment sales for the year ended September 30, 2025.'
  • MEDIUMCustomerAmazon and Walmart (HPC segment)42%
    10-K Item 1: 'Amazon and Walmart, representing approximately 42% of segment sales for the year ended September 30, 2025.'
  • MEDIUMCustomerAmazon and Walmart (GPC segment)34%
    10-K Item 1: 'Amazon and Walmart, representing approximately 34% of segment sales for the year ended September 30, 2025.'
  • HIGHSupplierAPAC third-party manufacturers (HPC)
    10-K Item 1: 'Substantially all segment products are manufactured by third-party suppliers located in the APAC region'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.7
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
72 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $71.20Resistance $85.51

Price Targets

$79
$84
A.Upside-0.2%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SPB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $84.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: Home Depot, Lowe's and Walmart (H&G segment) (64.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: APAC third-party manufacturers (HPC). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $83.80 (-0.2%), stop $79.40 (−5.8%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SPB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $83.80 (-0.2% upside). Target $83.80 (-0.2%), stop $79.40 (−5.8%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Stop-loss: $79.40.

What are the risks of investing in SPB?

Concentration risk — Customer: Home Depot, Lowe's and Walmart (H&G segment) (64.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: APAC third-party manufacturers (HPC); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is SPB overvalued or undervalued?

Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.5 (forward 15.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SPB?

13 analysts cover SPB with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $87.

What does Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. do?Spectrum Brands Holdings is a diversified global consumer products company with three segments: Global Pet Care...

Spectrum Brands Holdings is a diversified global consumer products company with three segments: Global Pet Care (companion animals, aquatics, dog/cat food), Home & Garden (pest control, repellents, cleaning), and Home & Personal Care (small appliances, personal care devices). Products are sold through mass merchandisers, home improvement centers, and e-commerce; a spin-off of the HPC segment is under exploration.

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