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Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. (SPB) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $72.98, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: Home Depot, Lowe's and Walmart (H&G segment) (64.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: APAC third-party manufacturers (HPC).

Spectrum Brands Holdings is a diversified global consumer products company with three segments: Global Pet Care (companion animals, aquatics, dog/cat food), Home & Garden (pest control, repellents, cleaning), and Home & Personal Care (small appliances, personal care devices).... Read more

$72.98+4.2% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#3 of 13 Household & Personal Products
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield12.44%
IncomeYield2.44%(5y avg 2.38%)Payout36.72%sustainable
Stop $70.47Target $76.06(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$87.43+19.8%7 analysts
$76.06our TP
$72.98price
$87.43mean
$100

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $72.98, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: Home Depot, Lowe's and Walmart (H&G segment) (64.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: APAC third-party manufacturers (HPC). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Home Depot, Lowe's and Walmart (H&G segment) (64.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: APAC third-party manufacturers (HPC)
Thin upside margin: 4.2%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.1
P/E (Fwd)14.1
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA9.2
Profit Mgn4.5%
ROE6.6%
Rev Growth4.9%
Beta0.67
Dividend2.44%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C1.20bearish
IV46%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerHome Depot, Lowe's and Walmart (H&G segment)64%
    10-K Item 1: 'The Home Depot, Lowe's and Walmart, representing approximately 64% segment sales for the year ended September 30, 2025.'
  • MEDIUMCustomerAmazon and Walmart (HPC segment)42%
    10-K Item 1: 'Amazon and Walmart, representing approximately 42% of segment sales for the year ended September 30, 2025.'
  • MEDIUMCustomerAmazon and Walmart (GPC segment)34%
    10-K Item 1: 'Amazon and Walmart, representing approximately 34% of segment sales for the year ended September 30, 2025.'
  • HIGHSupplierAPAC third-party manufacturers (HPC)
    10-K Item 1: 'Substantially all segment products are manufactured by third-party suppliers located in the APAC region'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.7
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesA.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $72.65Resistance $86.96

Price Targets

$70
$76
A.Upside+4.2%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Reward/Risk 0.5:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SPB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $72.98, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: Home Depot, Lowe's and Walmart (H&G segment) (64.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: APAC third-party manufacturers (HPC). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $76.06 (+4.2%), stop $70.47 (−3.6%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SPB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $76.06 (+4.2% upside). Target $76.06 (+4.2%), stop $70.47 (−3.6%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Stop-loss: $70.47.

What are the risks of investing in SPB?

Concentration risk — Customer: Home Depot, Lowe's and Walmart (H&G segment) (64.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: APAC third-party manufacturers (HPC); Thin upside margin: 4.2%.

Is SPB overvalued or undervalued?

Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.1 (forward 14.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SPB?

13 analysts cover SPB with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $87.

What does Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. do?Spectrum Brands Holdings is a diversified global consumer products company with three segments: Global Pet Care...

Spectrum Brands Holdings is a diversified global consumer products company with three segments: Global Pet Care (companion animals, aquatics, dog/cat food), Home & Garden (pest control, repellents, cleaning), and Home & Personal Care (small appliances, personal care devices). Products are sold through mass merchandisers, home improvement centers, and e-commerce; a spin-off of the HPC segment is under exploration.

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