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HELEHelen of Troy LimitedSell6.2·$28.59+0.28%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Helen of Troy screens deeply cheap and shows constructive technical momentum, but business quality has fallen below the minimum acceptable floor and the risk/reward setup is unfavorable with an earnings report just days away.

Thesis pillars

  • Positive Technical MomentumDeteriorating
  • Negative Risk Reward At TargetStable
  • Quality Below Minimum FloorStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Helen of Troy Limited (HELE) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.59: Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Elevated put/call ratio: 5.33; Below-average business quality.

Helen of Troy Limited is a Bermuda-incorporated consumer products company operating through Home & Outdoor (OXO, Hydro Flask, Osprey) and Beauty & Wellness (Vicks, Braun, Honeywell, PUR, Drybar, Curlsmith, Revlon) segments, selling in about 100 countries. The company relies on... Read more

$28.59-7.8% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#1 of 18 Household & Personal Products
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield12.76%
Stop $26.59Target $29.96(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$31.00+8.4%3 analysts
$29.96our TP
$28.59price
$31.00mean
$25
$40

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.59: Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Elevated put/call ratio: 5.33; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 34d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 8, 202634d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-7.8% upside)
Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)7.1
Mkt Cap$666M
EV/EBITDA6.4
Profit Mgn-22.7%
ROE-39.8%
Rev Growth8.2%
Beta1.30
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C5.33bearish
IV75%elevated
Max Pain$15-47.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Put Call
0.0
Volatility
0.3
Implied Vol
0.8
Days To Cover
3.0
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Short Interest
3.9
Debt Equity
5.5
Beta
5.8
Elevated put/call: 5.33High IV: 75%Above max pain $15
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 34d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $27.25Resistance $30.57

Price Targets

$27
$30
A.Upside-7.8%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.8% upside)
! Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-08 (34d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HELE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.59: Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Elevated put/call ratio: 5.33; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $26.59. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HELE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.96 (-7.8% upside). Prior stop was $26.59. Stop-loss: $26.59.

What are the risks of investing in HELE?

Target reached (-7.8% upside); Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0).

Is HELE overvalued or undervalued?

Helen of Troy Limited trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 7.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HELE?

10 analysts cover HELE with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $31.

What does Helen of Troy Limited do?Helen of Troy Limited is a Bermuda-incorporated consumer products company operating through Home & Outdoor (OXO, Hydro...

Helen of Troy Limited is a Bermuda-incorporated consumer products company operating through Home & Outdoor (OXO, Hydro Flask, Osprey) and Beauty & Wellness (Vicks, Braun, Honeywell, PUR, Drybar, Curlsmith, Revlon) segments, selling in about 100 countries. The company relies on unaffiliated Asian manufacturers for roughly 83% of finished goods purchased in fiscal 2026, and its top five customers, led by Amazon (20%), Walmart (13%) and Target (12%), accounted for approximately 50% of consolidated net sales.

Related stocks: SPB (Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.) · NWL (Newell Brands Inc.) · ELF (e.l.f. Beauty, Inc.) · MAGN (Magnera Corporation) · COTY (Coty Inc.)
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