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HELEHelen of Troy LimitedHold5.9·$28.47+6.07%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Helen of Troy screens deeply cheap and shows constructive technical momentum, but business quality has fallen below the minimum acceptable floor and the risk/reward setup is unfavorable with an earnings report just days away.

Thesis pillars

  • Positive Technical MomentumDeteriorating
  • Negative Risk Reward At TargetStable
  • Quality Below Minimum FloorStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Helen of Troy Limited (HELE) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.47, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Helen of Troy Limited is a Bermuda-incorporated consumer products company operating through Home & Outdoor (OXO, Hydro Flask, Osprey) and Beauty & Wellness (Vicks, Braun, Honeywell, PUR, Drybar, Curlsmith, Revlon) segments, selling in about 100 countries. The company relies on... Read more

$28.47-7.4% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#2 of 18 Household & Personal Products
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield13.59%
Stop $26.48Target $29.73(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$31.00+8.9%3 analysts
$29.73our TP
$28.47price
$31.00mean
$25
$40

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.47, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 8, 202675d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)6.7
Mkt Cap$625M
EV/EBITDA6.2
Profit Mgn-22.7%
ROE-39.8%
Rev Growth8.2%
Beta1.31
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C2.12bearish
IV75%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.7
Obv
1.0
Macd
2.7
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5A.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 75d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $25.13Resistance $30.34

Price Targets

$26
$30
A.Upside-7.4%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.4% upside)
! momentum at 3.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-08 (75d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HELE stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.47, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $29.73 (+4.4%), stop $26.48 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HELE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.73 (-7.4% upside). Target $29.73 (+4.4%), stop $26.48 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Stop-loss: $26.48.

What are the risks of investing in HELE?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum; Elevated risk factors.

Is HELE overvalued or undervalued?

Helen of Troy Limited trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 6.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about HELE?

10 analysts cover HELE with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $31.

What does Helen of Troy Limited do?Helen of Troy Limited is a Bermuda-incorporated consumer products company operating through Home & Outdoor (OXO, Hydro...

Helen of Troy Limited is a Bermuda-incorporated consumer products company operating through Home & Outdoor (OXO, Hydro Flask, Osprey) and Beauty & Wellness (Vicks, Braun, Honeywell, PUR, Drybar, Curlsmith, Revlon) segments, selling in about 100 countries. The company relies on unaffiliated Asian manufacturers for roughly 83% of finished goods purchased in fiscal 2026, and its top five customers, led by Amazon (20%), Walmart (13%) and Target (12%), accounted for approximately 50% of consolidated net sales.

Related stocks: SPB (Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.) · ELF (e.l.f. Beauty, Inc.) · NWL (Newell Brands Inc.) · IPAR (Interparfums, Inc.) · MAGN (Magnera Corporation)
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