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Newell Brands Inc. (NWL) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.44: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 20.20; Below-average business quality.

Newell Brands Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, sourcing, and distribution of consumer and commercial products worldwide. The company operates in three segments: Home and Commercial Solutions, Learning and Development, and Outdoor and Recreation. The Commercial Solutions... Read more

$3.44+22.5% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#12 of 13 Household & Personal Products
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield28.68%
IncomeYield7.89%(5y avg 5.25%)Payout195.74%at-risk
Stop $3.40Target $4.35(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$5.00+45.3%8 analysts
$4.35our TP
$3.44price
$5.00mean
$9

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.44: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 20.20; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Newell Brands Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)5.3
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA8.8
Profit Mgn-3.9%
ROE-11.2%
Rev Growth-1.1%
Beta1.06
Dividend7.89%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C20.20bearish
IV61%elevated
Max Pain$2-41.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Unprofitable operations — net margin -3.9%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
1.1
Roa
1.8
Moat
2.5
Gross Margin
2.8
Current Ratio
4.1
Piotroski F
5.6
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
2.0
Volume
3.7
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
Dividend: 789.0%
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $3.51Resistance $4.75

Price Targets

$3
$4
A.Upside+26.5%
A.R:R1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 2.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-31 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NWL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.44: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 20.20; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $3.40. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NWL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $4.35 (+22.5% upside). Prior stop was $3.40. Stop-loss: $3.40.

What are the risks of investing in NWL?

Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0).

Is NWL overvalued or undervalued?

Newell Brands Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 5.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NWL?

13 analysts cover NWL with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $5.

What does Newell Brands Inc. do?Newell Brands Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, sourcing, and distribution of consumer and commercial products...

Newell Brands Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, sourcing, and distribution of consumer and commercial products worldwide. The company operates in three segments: Home and Commercial Solutions, Learning and Development, and Outdoor and Recreation. The Commercial Solutions segment provides commercial cleaning and maintenance solution products under the Rubbermaid, Rubbermaid Commercial Products, Mapa, and Spontex brands; closet and garage organization products; hygiene systems and material handling solutions; household products, such as kitchen appliances under the Crockpot, Mr. Coffee, Oster, and Sunbeam brands; small appliances under the Breville brand name in Europe; food and home storage products under the FoodSaver, Rubbermaid, Ball, and Sistema brands; fresh preserving products; vacuum sealing products; and gourmet cookware, bakeware, and cutlery under the Calphalon brand; and home fragrance products under the Chesapeake Bay, WoodWick, and Yankee Candle brands. The Learning and Development segment offers writing instruments, including markers and highlighters, pens, and pencils; art products; activity-based products; labeling solutions; and baby gear and infant care products under the Dymo, Elmer's, EXPO, Graco, NUK, Paper Mate, Parker, and Sharpie brands. The Outdoor and Recreation segment provides outdoor and outdoor-related products, inlcuding technical apparel and on-the-go beverageware under the Bubba, Campingaz, Coleman, Contigo, and Marmot brands. It serves large mass merchandisers, discount stores, home centers, warehouse clubs, office superstores, direct-to-consumer channels, specialty retailers and wholesalers, commercial distributors and e-commerce retailers, grocery stores, and sporting goods, as well as direct to consumers online, select contract customers, and other professional customers. The company was founded in 1903 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

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