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Sylvamo Corporation (SLVM) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Paper & Paper Products

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $37.34: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 3.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Sylvamo Corporation produces and markets uncoated freesheet for cutsize, offset paper, and pulp in Europe, Latin America, and North America. It offers copy, tinted, and colored laser printing paper under the REY brand; and graphic and high-speed inkjet printing papers under the... Read more

$37.34+34.3% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#2 of 2 Basic Materials (sector)
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-1.54%
IncomeYield4.82%Payout89.64%at-risk
Stop $36.05Target $50.15(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.2:1
Analyst target$59.00+58.0%4 analysts
$50.15our TP
$37.34price
$59.00mean
$75

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $37.34: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 3.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 28, MACD bearish. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Sylvamo Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.9
P/E (Fwd)6.7
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA6.0
Profit Mgn3.1%
ROE10.8%
Rev Growth-8.0%
Beta0.80
Dividend4.82%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.21bullish
IV58%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Volume
3.8
Capitulation risk (RSI 28, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Operating Margin
0.2
Gross Margin
0.3
Net Margin
1.6
Moat
3.1
Roa
3.2
Roe
3.6
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
5.3
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -22% FCF/NINo competitive moatQuality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
4.2
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.4
Quality Rank
4.3
Value Rank
8.2
GatesMomentum 1.8<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
28 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $37.16Resistance $45.58

Price Targets

$36
$50
A.Upside+34.3%
A.R:R3.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 1.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-07 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SLVM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $37.34: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 3.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 28, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $36.05. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SLVM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $50.15 (+34.3% upside). Prior stop was $36.05. Stop-loss: $36.05.

What are the risks of investing in SLVM?

Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0).

Is SLVM overvalued or undervalued?

Sylvamo Corporation trades at a P/E of 14.9 (forward 6.7). TrendMatrix value score: 9.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SLVM?

9 analysts cover SLVM with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $59.

What does Sylvamo Corporation do?Sylvamo Corporation produces and markets uncoated freesheet for cutsize, offset paper, and pulp in Europe, Latin...

Sylvamo Corporation produces and markets uncoated freesheet for cutsize, offset paper, and pulp in Europe, Latin America, and North America. It offers copy, tinted, and colored laser printing paper under the REY brand; and graphic and high-speed inkjet printing papers under the Berga brand; and produces paper used for office printing, business forms, digital printing, offset for printing books, and others, as well as products under the Multicopy brand names. The company also supplies uncoated freesheet paper under Chamex, Chamequinho and Chambril brands. In addition, it provides imaging, commercial printing, and converting papers; copy paper for use in copiers, desktop and laser printers and digital imaging; and uncoated papers under Hammermill, Springhill, Williamsburg, Accent, DRM and Postmark brand names. Further, the company operates integrated mills and non-integrated mills. It distributes its products to end users and converters, agents, resellers, and paper distributors through retail, merchant, and e-commerce channels. The company was founded in 1898 and is headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee.

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