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Sylvamo Corporation (SLVM) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Paper & Paper Products

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-08). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $42.35: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 2.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Sylvamo Corporation produces and markets uncoated freesheet for cutsize, offset paper, and pulp in Europe, Latin America, and North America. It offers copy, tinted, and colored laser printing paper under the REY brand; and graphic and high-speed inkjet printing papers under the... Read more

$42.35+19.4% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#1 of 2 Basic Materials (sector)
Stop $39.39Target $50.57(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.8:1
Analyst target$59.50+40.5%4 analysts
$50.57our TP
$42.35price
$59.50mean
$75

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $42.35: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 2.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 50. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.4
P/E (Fwd)7.4
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA5.8
Profit Mgn3.9%
ROE14.6%
Rev Growth-8.2%
Beta0.87
Dividend4.15%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.95neutral
IV79%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
0.4
Net Margin
2.0
Operating Margin
3.6
Roa
3.9
Roe
4.9
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
5.5
Piotroski F
6.7
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -13% FCF/NINo competitive moat

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.1
Quality Rank
5.2
Value Rank
8.7
Attractive P/E vs peers
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5A.R:R 2.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $39.61Resistance $44.54

Price Targets

$39
$51
A.Upside+19.4%
A.R:R2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-08 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SLVM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $42.35: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 2.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 50. Prior stop was $39.39. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SLVM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $50.57 (+19.4% upside). Prior stop was $39.39. Stop-loss: $39.39.

What are the risks of investing in SLVM?

Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0).

Is SLVM overvalued or undervalued?

Sylvamo Corporation trades at a P/E of 13.4 (forward 7.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SLVM?

8 analysts cover SLVM with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $60.

What does Sylvamo Corporation do?Sylvamo Corporation produces and markets uncoated freesheet for cutsize, offset paper, and pulp in Europe, Latin...

Sylvamo Corporation produces and markets uncoated freesheet for cutsize, offset paper, and pulp in Europe, Latin America, and North America. It offers copy, tinted, and colored laser printing paper under the REY brand; and graphic and high-speed inkjet printing papers under the Berga brand; and produces paper used for office printing, business forms, digital printing, offset for printing books, and others, as well as products under the Multicopy brand names. The company also supplies uncoated freesheet paper under Chamex, Chamequinho and Chambril brands. In addition, it provides imaging, commercial printing, and converting papers; copy paper for use in copiers, desktop and laser printers and digital imaging; and uncoated papers under Hammermill, Springhill, Williamsburg, Accent, DRM and Postmark brand names. Further, the company operates integrated mills and non-integrated mills. It distributes its products to end users and converters, agents, resellers, and paper distributors through retail, merchant, and e-commerce channels. The company was founded in 1898 and is headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee.

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