Suzano trades at a forward P/E of 5.7x with 26% ROE and ranks in the top decile of peers on both value and returns, offering a 31% margin of safety to analyst targets, but has missed earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters and carries a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.0 with negative free cash flow.
Thesis pillars
- Earnings Miss Pattern↑Improving
- Leverage With Negative Fcf↓Deteriorating
- Revenue Decline Weak Growth→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days
Suzano S.A. (SUZ) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup · Sector Rotation edge
Basic Materials · Paper & Paper Products
Sell if holding. At $9.25, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.
Suzano S.A. manufactures and sells pulp and paper products in Brazil and internationally. It operates in two segments, Cellulose, and Paper. The company offers coated and uncoated printing and writing papers, paperboards, tissue papers, and market and fluff pulps. It also... Read more
Sell if holding. At $9.25, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 79. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated Oct 30, 2026Recent Developments — Suzano S.A.
Latest news
- NEWS Zacks.com featured highlights include Suzano, Marathon Petroleum, Micron Technology and Itron - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance Oct 30, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Earnings Preview: Suzano S.A. Sponsored ADR (SUZ) Q3 Earnings Expected to Decline - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance Oct 29, 2026 negative
- NEWS Suzano (SUZ) Set to Announce Quarterly Earnings on Thursday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat Oct 29, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft Updates Shareholder Structure Following Capital Increase — fiscal.ai Oct 29, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Suzano (NYSE:SUZ) Share Price Crosses Above Fifty Day Moving Average - Should You Sell? - MarketBeat — MarketBeat Oct 27, 2026 neutral
Latest item Oct 30, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:54:39Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Revenue shrinking — -12.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $9.25, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 79. Prior stop was $8.77. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.
Analyst target: $10.55 (+14.1% upside). Prior stop was $8.77. Stop-loss: $8.77.
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0.
Suzano S.A. trades at a P/E of 7.4 (forward 6.3). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
23 analysts rate SUZ, with a consensus score of 4.2/5. 6 analysts publish price targets averaging $12.
What does Suzano S.A. do?Suzano S.A. manufactures and sells pulp and paper products in Brazil and internationally. It operates in two segments,...
Suzano S.A. manufactures and sells pulp and paper products in Brazil and internationally. It operates in two segments, Cellulose, and Paper. The company offers coated and uncoated printing and writing papers, paperboards, tissue papers, and market and fluff pulps. It also engages in the research, development, and production of biofuel; operation of port terminals; biotechnology and nanocrystalline pulps research and development activities; power generation and distribution business; road freight transport activities; commercialization of equipment and parts; research and development of lignin; industrialization and commercialization of cellulose, microfiber cellulose, paper, and paperboard products; and industrialization, commercialization, and exporting of pulp products. In addition, the company is involved in the commercial office, corporate venture capital, and financial fundraising activities; production of consumer goods through cellulose-based liquids; development and production of cellulose-based fibers, yarns, and textile filaments; restoration, conservation, and preservation of forests; and research of raw materials for the textile industry. The company was formerly known as Suzano Papel e Celulose S.A. and changed its name to Suzano S.A. in April 2019. The company was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Salvador, Brazil.