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SKYHSky Harbour Group CorporationSell5.7·$10.51-0.57%
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Sky Harbour Group Corporation (SKYH) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Real Estate · Real Estate - Development

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.51: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 4.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 8.00; Below-average business quality.

Sky Harbour Group Corporation operates as an aviation infrastructure development company in the United States. It develops, leases, and manages general aviation hangars for business aircraft. The company's home basing hangar campuses includes private and semi-private hangars, as... Read more

$10.51+34.1% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#2 of 4 Real Estate - Development
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-28.05%
Stop $9.77Target $14.08(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.5:1
Analyst target$16.19+54.0%8 analysts
$14.08our TP
$10.51price
$16.19mean
$25

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.51: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 4.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 8.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Sky Harbour Group Corporation

About Sky Harbour Group Corporation

Sky Harbour Group operated 61 hangars totaling 1,023,634 rentable square feet at 78.1% weighted-average occupancy across nine completed Home Base Operator campuses as of December 31, 2025, with ground leases at 20 U.S. airports from Dulles to Salt Lake City. No single tenant among its 85 tenant leases accounts for more than 10% of revenue or rentable square footage, and another 2,695,973 square feet — 74 more hangars — is under construction or in development.

Sky Harbour earns revenue through long-term hangar rental leases with original terms ranging from 6 months to 15 years and staggered maturities for risk management; leases are structured as gross or triple-net, with tenants covering insurance, taxes, common-area maintenance, and utilities under substantially all agreements featuring annual rent escalation. The weighted-average lease term is approximately 5.6 years by contractual payments but only 2.8 years by rentable square footage, and current leases do not extend past the final maturity of most of the company's debt. That debt includes the Series 2021 Bonds, the Series 2026 Bonds, a Term Loan Facility, and non-convertible Yorkville promissory notes issued in December 2025 and January 2026, secured by the constructed and in-construction facilities themselves. The development pipeline spans 22 projects — including Dulles, Nashville, Bradley, and Long Beach — estimated to cost $690.0 million to $761.4 million and add 74 hangars and 2,695,973 square feet.

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A maturity mismatch layered under Sky Harbour's growth story: tenant leases carry an average contractual term of 5.6 years, yet the 10-K states that current leases do not extend past the final maturity date of the majority of the company's outstanding debt, meaning re-leasing success — not just occupancy — determines whether cash flow covers debt service through maturity. The Series 2026 Bonds carry a stated final maturity of July 1, 2060 but are subject to mandatory tender for purchase on January 1, 2031, so Sky Harbour must refinance or remarket that tranche within roughly five years, layering refinancing-market timing risk on top of the tenant-renewal risk already inherent in the shorter lease terms.

From Sky Harbour Group Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted August 30, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 11, 202672d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-55.6
Mkt Cap$863M
EV/EBITDA-50.7
Profit Mgn2.7%
ROE-6.8%
Rev Growth49.6%
Beta1.31
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C8.00bearish
IV85%elevated
Max Pain$9-14.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
5.0

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Days To Cover
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
1.3
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Volatility
3.1
Short Interest
3.6
Beta
5.8
Elevated put/call: 8.00High IV: 85%Above max pain $9

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Net Margin
1.4
Moat
4.2
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
9.6
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -26172% FCF/NINo competitive moatQuality concerns
GatesINSIDER 0.42%=HEAVYMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.4>=4.5A.R:R 4.5 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $10.01Resistance $11.70

Price Targets

$10
$14
A.Upside+34.1%
A.R:R4.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)
! Insider activity: 0.42%=heavy

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-11 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SKYH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.51: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 4.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 8.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $9.77. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SKYH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.08 (+34.1% upside). Prior stop was $9.77. Stop-loss: $9.77.

What are the risks of investing in SKYH?

Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0).

Is SKYH overvalued or undervalued?

Sky Harbour Group Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -55.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What does Sky Harbour Group Corporation do?Sky Harbour Group Corporation operates as an aviation infrastructure development company in the United States. It...

Sky Harbour Group Corporation operates as an aviation infrastructure development company in the United States. It develops, leases, and manages general aviation hangars for business aircraft. The company's home basing hangar campuses includes private and semi-private hangars, as well as a suite of services for home based and transient aircraft. The company is based in White Plains, New York.

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