Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. (HHH) Stock Analysis
Real Estate · Real Estate - Development
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $61.99 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Earnings in 7 days (event risk).
Howard Hughes Holdings owns The Howard Hughes Corporation, a mixed-use real estate platform with approximately 101,000 gross acres of master planned communities across five states plus income-producing operating assets. Revenue comes from land sales to homebuilders, commercial... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $61.99 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.2/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMGeographicArizona, Texas, Nevada, Maryland10-K Item 1A: 'Many of the properties we own are located in the same or in a limited number of geographic regions, including Arizona, Texas, Hawai'i, Nevada, and Maryland.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-21Item 1.01LOWEntered warrant agreement with Mr. Grandisson: purchase of warrants for 1,131,273 shares at 100/share for 10M. Warrants exercisable April 20, 2030, expire April 20, 2031.SEC filing →
- 2026-02-17Item 1.01LOWHHC completed 1B senior notes offering: 500M 5.875% due 2032 and 500M 6.125% due 2034, issued via Rule 144A private placement.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -36.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $61.99 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $59.74. Score 4.2/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $76.78 (+24.3% upside). Prior stop was $59.74. Stop-loss: $59.74.
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Earnings in 7 days (event risk); Consecutive earnings misses (2).
Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 28.1 (forward 61.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
7 analysts cover HHH with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $90.
What does Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. do?Howard Hughes Holdings owns The Howard Hughes Corporation, a mixed-use real estate platform with approximately 101,000...
Howard Hughes Holdings owns The Howard Hughes Corporation, a mixed-use real estate platform with approximately 101,000 gross acres of master planned communities across five states plus income-producing operating assets. Revenue comes from land sales to homebuilders, commercial property NOI, and condominium sales; in 2025 the company began transitioning to a diversified holding company.