Forestar Group Inc (FOR) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the FOR stock price target?

Take-profit $28.05 (+0.9% upside). Prior stop was $26.00.

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Real Estate · Real Estate - Development

$27.80+0.9% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#2 of 4 Real Estate - Development

Stop $26.00Target $28.05(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.1:1

Analyst target$33.00+18.7%4 analysts

$28.05our TP

$27.80price

$33.00mean

$26

$38

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $27.80 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings estimates trending DOWN. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

Margin of safety: 44%

Risks

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Earnings estimates trending DOWN

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.4

P/E (Fwd)8.6

Mkt Cap$1.4B

EV/EBITDA5.6

Profit Mgn9.8%

ROE9.7%

Rev Growth-3.0%

Beta1.45

DividendNone

Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.25bullish

IV69%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value6.715%1.00

Quality4.415%0.66

Growth4.215%0.63

Momentum5.010%0.50

Sentiment6.010%0.60

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank5.610%0.56

Technical Setup4.25%0.21

Risk Profile6.65%0.33

Catalyst4.35%0.21

Overall (Σ contributions)5.21

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

68 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $24.30Resistance $28.71

Price Targets

$26

$28

A.Upside+0.9%

A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.9% upside)

! Reward/Risk 0.1:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

1/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-07-21 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is FOR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $27.80 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings estimates trending DOWN. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $26.00. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FOR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.05 (+0.9% upside). Prior stop was $26.00. Stop-loss: $26.00.

What are the risks of investing in FOR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

Is FOR overvalued or undervalued?

Forestar Group Inc trades at a P/E of 8.4 (forward 8.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FOR?

9 analysts cover FOR with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $33.

What does Forestar Group Inc do?Forestar Group Inc. operates as a residential lot development company in the United States. It acquires land and...

Forestar Group Inc. operates as a residential lot development company in the United States. It acquires land and develops infrastructure for single-family residential communities. The company sells its residential single-family finished lots to local, regional, and national homebuilders. Forestar Group Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Arlington, Texas. Forestar Group Inc. operates as a subsidiary of D.R. Horton, Inc.