Forestar Group Inc (FOR) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the FOR stock price target?

Take-profit $26.63 (+4.4% upside). Prior stop was $24.40.

Q: Is FOR overvalued or undervalued?

Forestar Group Inc trades at a P/E of 7.8 (forward 8.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about FOR?

9 analysts cover FOR with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $31.

Q: What does Forestar Group Inc do?

Forestar Group Inc. operates as a residential lot development company in the United States. It acquires land and develops infrastructure for single-family residential communities. The company sells its residential single-family finished lots to local, regional, and national homebuilders. Forestar Group Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Arlington, Texas. Forestar Group Inc. operates as a subsidiary of D.R. Horton, Inc.

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High ConfidenceUpdated 2 days ago (May 18, 2026, 11:51 AM ET)

Real Estate · Real Estate - Development

Sell if holding. At $25.50, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.4%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4).

$25.50+4.4% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#3 of 4 Real Estate - Development

QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield13.59%

Stop $24.40Target $26.63(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.6:1

Analyst target$31.33+22.9%3 analysts

$26.63our TP

$25.50price

$31.33mean

$35

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 63d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Forestar Group Inc

Latest news

Transcript: Forestar Group Q2 2026 Earnings Conference Call — benzinga Apr 21, 2026 neutral
Earnings Scheduled For April 21, 2026 — benzinga Apr 21, 2026 neutral
Forestar Group Affirms FY2026 Sales Guidance of $1.600B-$1.700B vs $1.652B Est — benzinga Apr 21, 2026 neutral
Forestar Group Q2 EPS $0.63 Misses $0.64 Estimate, Sales $374.300M Beat $373.647M Estimate — benzinga Apr 21, 2026 positive

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards

Margin of safety: 48%

Risks

Thin upside margin: 4.4%

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4)

Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.8

P/E (Fwd)8.0

Mkt Cap$1.3B

EV/EBITDA5.1

Profit Mgn9.8%

ROE9.7%

Rev Growth-3.0%

Beta1.45

DividendNone

Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value6.715%1.00

Quality4.415%0.66

Growth4.215%0.63

Momentum1.310%0.13

Sentiment6.410%0.64

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank4.910%0.49

Technical Setup8.55%0.43

Risk Profile6.65%0.33

Catalyst4.75%0.24

Overall (Σ contributions)5.04

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd

0.0

Volume

0.0

Obv

1.0

Ma Position

2.2

Rsi

3.5

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.7%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

GatesMomentum 1.3<4.5A.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 63d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

30 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $25.15Resistance $28.71

Price Targets

$24

$27

A.Upside+4.4%

A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum

! Reward/Risk 0.6:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

1/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-07-21 (63d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is FOR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $25.50, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.4%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 30, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $24.40. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

What is the FOR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $26.63 (+4.4% upside). Prior stop was $24.40. Stop-loss: $24.40.

What are the risks of investing in FOR?

Thin upside margin: 4.4%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Is FOR overvalued or undervalued?

Forestar Group Inc trades at a P/E of 7.8 (forward 8.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FOR?

9 analysts cover FOR with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $31.

What does Forestar Group Inc do?Forestar Group Inc. operates as a residential lot development company in the United States. It acquires land and...

Forestar Group Inc. operates as a residential lot development company in the United States. It acquires land and develops infrastructure for single-family residential communities. The company sells its residential single-family finished lots to local, regional, and national homebuilders. Forestar Group Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Arlington, Texas. Forestar Group Inc. operates as a subsidiary of D.R. Horton, Inc.