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Century Communities, Inc. (CCS) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · Real Estate - Development

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $49.14: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10 and A.R:R 1.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.67; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Century Communities is one of the largest US homebuilders, operating in 16 states under Century Communities and Century Complete brands. Delivered 10,387 new homes in 2025, with approximately 94% below FHA loan limits and 99% built as move-in ready. Also operates Century Living... Read more

$49.14+15.9% A.UpsideScore 4.2/10#4 of 4 Real Estate - Development
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield11.09%
IncomeYield2.48%Payout26.80%
Stop $46.40Target $56.95(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst target$67.00+36.3%3 analysts
$56.95our TP
$49.14price
$67.00mean
$92

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $49.14: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10 and A.R:R 1.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.67; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 25, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 64d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Century Communities, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.1
P/E (Fwd)12.0
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA12.0
Profit Mgn3.3%
ROE5.2%
Rev Growth-12.6%
Beta1.37
Dividend2.48%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C2.67bearish
IV51%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -12.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Earnings Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -13%

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Rsi
3.0
Volume
6.5
Capitulation risk (RSI 25, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
1.3
Value Rank
5.0

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Roe
1.7
Operating Margin
1.7
Net Margin
1.7
Roa
2.0
Moat
3.9
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
7.3
Fcf Quality
7.9
No competitive moat
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 1.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 64d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
25 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $47.84Resistance $65.78

Price Targets

$46
$57
A.Upside+15.9%
A.R:R1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 2.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (64d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CCS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $49.14: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10 and A.R:R 1.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.67; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 25, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Prior stop was $46.40. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CCS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $56.95 (+15.9% upside). Prior stop was $46.40. Stop-loss: $46.40.

What are the risks of investing in CCS?

Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0).

Is CCS overvalued or undervalued?

Century Communities, Inc. trades at a P/E of 11.1 (forward 12.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CCS?

8 analysts cover CCS with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $67.

What does Century Communities, Inc. do?Century Communities is one of the largest US homebuilders, operating in 16 states under Century Communities and Century...

Century Communities is one of the largest US homebuilders, operating in 16 states under Century Communities and Century Complete brands. Delivered 10,387 new homes in 2025, with approximately 94% below FHA loan limits and 99% built as move-in ready. Also operates Century Living (multi-family) and Inspire Home Loans (financial services).

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