Skip to main content

Century Communities, Inc. (CCS) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Real Estate · Real Estate - Development

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $55.77: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.7/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.54; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Century Communities builds and sells single-family homes under Century Communities and Century Complete brands in 16 states across five homebuilding segments plus Financial Services and Century Living. The company delivered 10,387 new homes in 2025; approximately 94% had... Read more

$55.77+2.1% A.UpsideScore 3.7/10#4 of 4 Real Estate - Development
Stop $53.45Target $56.95(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$67.00+20.1%3 analysts
$56.95our TP
$55.77price
$67.00mean
$45
$92

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $55.77: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.7/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.54; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish. Score 3.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (2.1% upside)
Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.5
P/E (Fwd)13.5
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA14.7
Profit Mgn3.3%
ROE5.2%
Rev Growth-12.6%
Beta1.56
Dividend2.15%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.54bearish
IV52%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -12.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Earnings Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -13%

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.8%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.3
Growth Rank
2.5
Value Rank
5.0

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Roe
1.7
Roa
1.7
Operating Margin
1.7
Net Margin
1.7
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
6.7
Fcf Quality
7.2
Current Ratio
7.3
No competitive moat
GatesMomentum 1.3<4.5A.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $55.10Resistance $65.78

Price Targets

$53
$57
A.Upside+2.1%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.1% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 1.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CCS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $55.77: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.7/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.54; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $53.45. Score 3.7/10, high confidence.

What is the CCS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $56.95 (+2.1% upside). Prior stop was $53.45. Stop-loss: $53.45.

What are the risks of investing in CCS?

Target reached (2.1% upside); Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0).

Is CCS overvalued or undervalued?

Century Communities, Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.5 (forward 13.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CCS?

8 analysts cover CCS with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $67.

What does Century Communities, Inc. do?Century Communities builds and sells single-family homes under Century Communities and Century Complete brands in 16...

Century Communities builds and sells single-family homes under Century Communities and Century Complete brands in 16 states across five homebuilding segments plus Financial Services and Century Living. The company delivered 10,387 new homes in 2025; approximately 94% had purchase prices below FHA loan limits and approximately 99% were move-in ready.

Related stocks: VTMX (Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta,) · FOR (Forestar Group Inc) · HHH (Howard Hughes Holdings Inc.) · CBL (CBL & Associates Properties, In) · MFA (MFA Financial, Inc.)