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RYAMRayonier Advanced Materials IncSell4.9·$7.36-4.79%
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Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc (RYAM) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Chemicals

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.36: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 5.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. manufactures and sells cellulose specialty products in the United States, China, Europe, Japan, rest of Asia, Canada, Latin America, and internationally. It operates through Cellulose Specialties, Biomaterials, Cellulose Commodities, Paperboard,... Read more

$7.36+67.4% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#8 of 15 Chemicals
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-8.47%
Stop $7.08Target $12.32(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 5.3:1
Analyst target$14.50+97.0%2 analysts
$12.32our TP
$7.36price
$14.50mean
$15

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.36: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 5.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202631d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)6.8
Mkt Cap$496M
EV/EBITDA9.5
Profit Mgn-32.8%
ROE-100.5%
Rev Growth-9.5%
Beta1.78
DividendNone
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C1.20bearish
IV110%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Moat
2.5
Piotroski F
3.3
Current Ratio
5.1
Cash-burning: FCF -3% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/3M

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
1.3
Value Rank
6.0

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Macd
2.6
Rsi
3.5
Volume
7.2
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+6.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R 5.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 31d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $7.30Resistance $9.37

Price Targets

$7
$12
A.Upside+67.4%
A.R:R5.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (31d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RYAM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.36: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 5.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $7.08. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RYAM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.32 (+67.4% upside). Prior stop was $7.08. Stop-loss: $7.08.

What are the risks of investing in RYAM?

Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0).

Is RYAM overvalued or undervalued?

Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 6.8). TrendMatrix value score: 9.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RYAM?

7 analysts cover RYAM with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $15.

What does Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc do?Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. manufactures and sells cellulose specialty products in the United States, China,...

Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. manufactures and sells cellulose specialty products in the United States, China, Europe, Japan, rest of Asia, Canada, Latin America, and internationally. It operates through Cellulose Specialties, Biomaterials, Cellulose Commodities, Paperboard, and High-Yield Pulp. The company's products include cellulose specialties, which are natural polymers that are used as raw materials to manufacture a range of consumer-oriented products, such as liquid crystal displays, impact-resistant plastics, thickeners for food products, pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, cigarette filters, high-tenacity rayon tire cords and industrial hoses, food casings, paints, lacquers, munitions, and explosives; and biomaterials, including biofuels, lignosulfonates, prebiotics, tall oil soap, and HCE and turpentine. It also offers commodity products, such as commodity viscose used in woven applications, including rayon textiles for clothing and other fabrics, as well as in non-woven applications comprising baby wipes, cosmetic and personal wipes, industrial wipes, and mattress ticking; and absorbent materials consisting of fluff that are used as an absorbent medium in disposable baby diapers, feminine hygiene products, incontinence pads, convalescent bed pads, industrial towels and wipes, and non-woven fabrics. In addition, the company provides paperboards for packaging, printing documents, brochures, promotional materials, paperback books and catalog covers, file folders, freezer, tags, and lottery tickets; and high-yield pulps to produce hardwood aspen, maple, and birch species for paperboard, packaging, printing and writing papers, and various other paper products. Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. was founded in 1926 and is headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida.

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