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Regions Financial Corporation (RF) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.48, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: South, Midwest and Texas; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Regions Financial is a bank holding company headquartered in Birmingham, Alabama, operating primarily in the South, Midwest, and Texas through 1,247 branches. It had $158.8B in assets and $131.1B in deposits at Dec 31, 2025, offering retail/commercial banking, mortgage, and... Read more

$28.48-1.1% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#89 of 142 Banks - Regional
Stop $27.24Target $28.16(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$30.69+7.8%20 analysts
$28.16our TP
$28.48price
$30.69mean
$34

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.48, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: South, Midwest and Texas; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: South, Midwest and Texas
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.6
P/E (Fwd)9.8
Mkt Cap$23.9B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn31.0%
ROE11.9%
Rev Growth7.3%
Beta1.04
Dividend3.78%
Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.29bullish
IV48%normal
Max Pain$35+22.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicSouth, Midwest and Texas
    10-K Item 1A: 'generally or specifically in the South, Midwest and Texas, the principal markets in which we conduct business'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-09Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Amendment to Jan 12 8-K: David J. Turner Jr., Senior EVP (CFO role), provided notice of intent to retire. Amendment updates disclosures from the original report. No successor named in available body.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.9
Bollinger
2.3
52w Position
8.2
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
65 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $25.75Resistance $28.73

Price Targets

$27
$28
A.Upside-1.1%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-17 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RF stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.48, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: South, Midwest and Texas; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $28.16 (-1.1%), stop $27.24 (−4.6%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RF stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.16 (-1.1% upside). Target $28.16 (-1.1%), stop $27.24 (−4.6%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $27.24.

What are the risks of investing in RF?

Concentration risk — Geographic: South, Midwest and Texas; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is RF overvalued or undervalued?

Regions Financial Corporation trades at a P/E of 11.6 (forward 9.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about RF?

32 analysts cover RF with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $31.

What does Regions Financial Corporation do?Regions Financial is a bank holding company headquartered in Birmingham, Alabama, operating primarily in the South,...

Regions Financial is a bank holding company headquartered in Birmingham, Alabama, operating primarily in the South, Midwest, and Texas through 1,247 branches. It had $158.8B in assets and $131.1B in deposits at Dec 31, 2025, offering retail/commercial banking, mortgage, and wealth management services.

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