Radian Group Inc. (RDN) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Financial Services · Insurance - Specialty
Wait for pullback to $35.41. BUY gates pass at $37.18, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and near 52-week high (4.6% away) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $35.41 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.
Radian Group is a leading U.S. private mortgage insurer, with $282.5B of insurance in force and $74.7B direct risk in force as of December 31, 2025, through its Mortgage Insurance segment. It earns premiums from lenders and borrowers on residential first-lien loans with LTV... Read more
Wait for pullback to $35.41. BUY gates pass at $37.18, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and near 52-week high (4.6% away) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $35.41 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: RSI 60 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-0.5% upside). Wait for pullback. Score 6.9/10, high confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — Radian Group Inc.
Latest news
- Radian Group Inc (RDN) Shares Surge 3.9% -- What GF Score of 83 Tells Investors - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- Radian Group (RDN) Stock Is Up, What You Need To Know - StockStory — StockStory positive
- Radian Group (RDN) Stock Soars After Upgrade from Bank of Americ - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- Radian gets double upgrade to Buy at BofA as Inigo buy brightens outlook (RDN:NYSE) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha positive
- Radian (RDN) up 0.3% since last earnings report: Can it continue? - MSN — MSN positive
Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-12Item 5.02HIGHEffective February 12, 2026, Sumita Pandit (President and CFO) was involuntarily terminated. Daniel Kobell appointed Interim CFO; Robert J. Quigley elevated to Senior EVP Finance. No permanent CFO successor named.SEC filing →
- 2026-04-03Item 5.02LOWAmendment to Feb 12, 2026 8-K: On March 30, 2026, Compensation Committee approved compensation for Interim CFO Daniel Kobell: $500K base salary, 100% STI target, $1M 2026 LTI target.SEC filing →
- 2026-04-21Item 5.02LOWOn April 20, 2026, Eric R. Ray (Senior EVP, Chief Digital Officer) notified Company of decision to retire effective July 1, 2026. No disagreement cited. No successor named.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 ceiling hit
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $35.41. BUY gates pass at $37.18, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and near 52-week high (4.6% away) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $35.41 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: RSI 60 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-0.5% upside). Wait for pullback. Target $37.82 (+1.7%), stop $33.33 (−11.6%), Setup A.R:R 2.0:1. Score 6.9/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $37.82 (+7.4% upside). Target $37.82 (+1.7%), stop $33.33 (−11.6%), Setup A.R:R 2.0:1. Stop-loss: $33.33.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.6% away).
Radian Group Inc. trades at a P/E of 8.7 (forward 6.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
9 analysts cover RDN with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $42.
What does Radian Group Inc. do?Radian Group is a leading U.S. private mortgage insurer, with $282.5B of insurance in force and $74.7B direct risk in...
Radian Group is a leading U.S. private mortgage insurer, with $282.5B of insurance in force and $74.7B direct risk in force as of December 31, 2025, through its Mortgage Insurance segment. It earns premiums from lenders and borrowers on residential first-lien loans with LTV >80%, subject to GSE PMIERs eligibility requirements. In February 2026, Radian acquired Inigo (a Lloyd's specialty insurer) to become a global multi-line specialty insurer, and is divesting its Mortgage Conduit, Title, and Real Estate Services businesses.