Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) Stock Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $249.76 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
Royal Caribbean Cruises operates three Global Brands—Royal Caribbean (29 ships, ~111,000 berths), Celebrity Cruises (15 ships, ~38,900 berths), and Silversea (12 ships, ~5,500 berths)—plus a 50% JV interest in TUI Cruises/Hapag-Lloyd Cruises, with a combined fleet of 69 ships... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $249.76 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.8/10, high confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 69d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.
Latest news
- Royal Caribbean (RCL) Stock Slides as Market Rises: Facts to Know Before You Trade - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
- A Look At Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL) Valuation After AI Optimism And Strait Of Hormuz Reopening Rally - Sahm — Sahm positive
- BofA cuts Royal Caribbean stock price target on yield concerns - Investing.com — Investing.com negative
- BofA cuts Royal Caribbean stock price target on yield concerns By Investing.com - Investing.com Australia — Investing.com Australia negative
- BofA cuts Royal Caribbean stock price target on yield concerns By Investing.com - Investing.com India — Investing.com India negative
Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-17Item 5.02LOWOn February 10, 2026, the Board appointed Christopher Wiernicki (former Chairman and CEO of American Bureau of Shipping, 2011-2025) as a director. No committee assignments specified.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $249.76 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $233.94. Score 5.8/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $306.41 (+24.0% upside). Prior stop was $233.94. Stop-loss: $233.94.
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5; Negative momentum.
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. trades at a P/E of 15.1 (forward 12.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
34 analysts cover RCL with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $340.
What does Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. do?Royal Caribbean Cruises operates three Global Brands—Royal Caribbean (29 ships, ~111,000 berths), Celebrity Cruises (15...
Royal Caribbean Cruises operates three Global Brands—Royal Caribbean (29 ships, ~111,000 berths), Celebrity Cruises (15 ships, ~38,900 berths), and Silversea (12 ships, ~5,500 berths)—plus a 50% JV interest in TUI Cruises/Hapag-Lloyd Cruises, with a combined fleet of 69 ships and ~179,720 berths. Revenue comes from passenger ticket sales and onboard spending; the company sells primarily to North American, European, and international consumers through travel advisors and direct channels. Royal Caribbean is the world's largest cruise vacation brand by berths.