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BKNGBooking Holdings Inc. Common StBuy Wait6.3·$212.03-0.61%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Thesis pillars

  • Consistent Earnings OutperformanceDeteriorating
  • Attractive Growth Adjusted ValuationStable
  • High Quality Margins And Balance SheetStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Booking Holdings Inc. Common St (BKNG) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services

Wait for pullback to $184.94. At $212.03 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $184.94 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 3.2%; Overbought (RSI 76).

Our mission is to make it easier for everyone to experience the world. We aim to provide consumers with a best-in-class experience with tailored planning, payment, language, and other options seamlessly connecting them with our travel service provider partners. We offer these... Read more

$212.03+3.2% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#3 of 14 Travel Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.70%
IncomeYield0.79%Payout17.86%sustainable
Entry $184.94(Ma200 Sticky)Stop $169.46Target $218.78(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$237.81+12.2%36 analysts
$218.78our TP
$212.03price
$237.81mean
$188
$301

Wait for pullback to $184.94. At $212.03 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $184.94 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 3.2%; Overbought (RSI 76). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 76. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 27, 202672d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
High-quality business
Risks
Thin upside margin: 3.2%
Overbought (RSI 76)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.5
P/E (Fwd)17.1
Mkt Cap$164.3B
EV/EBITDA15.7
Profit Mgn25.5%
ROE
Rev Growth8.1%
Beta1.07
Dividend0.79%
Rating analysts46

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.11bearish
IV45%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.8
Bollinger
2.4
52w Position
8.5
GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
76 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $171.02Resistance $215.69

Price Targets

$169
$185
$219
A.Upside+3.2%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.6%
Max %1.1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-27 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BKNG stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $184.94. At $212.03 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $184.94 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 3.2%; Overbought (RSI 76). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 76. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $218.78 (+3.2%), stop $169.46 (−25.1%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BKNG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $218.78 (+3.2% upside). Target $218.78 (+3.2%), stop $169.46 (−25.1%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Stop-loss: $169.46.

What are the risks of investing in BKNG?

Thin upside margin: 3.2%; Overbought (RSI 76).

Is BKNG overvalued or undervalued?

Booking Holdings Inc. Common St trades at a P/E of 23.5 (forward 17.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about BKNG?

46 analysts cover BKNG with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $238.

What does Booking Holdings Inc. Common St do?Our mission is to make it easier for everyone to experience the world. We aim to provide consumers with a best-in-class...

Our mission is to make it easier for everyone to experience the world. We aim to provide consumers with a best-in-class experience with tailored planning, payment, language, and other options seamlessly connecting them with our travel service provider partners. We offer these services through five primary consumer-facing brands: Booking.com, Priceline, Agoda, KAYAK, and OpenTable:

Related stocks: EXPE (Expedia Group, Inc.) · TCOM (Trip.com Group Limited) · VIK (Viking Holdings Ltd) · ABNB (Airbnb, Inc.) · CCL (Carnival Corporation Ltd.)
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