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BKNGBooking Holdings Inc. Common StHold6.5·$193.50-0.84%
HoldModerate Confidence

Thesis pillars

  • Consistent Earnings OutperformanceStable
  • Attractive Growth Adjusted ValuationImproving
  • High Quality Margins And Balance SheetStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Booking Holdings Inc. Common St (BKNG) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $193.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Our mission is to make it easier for everyone to experience the world. We aim to provide consumers with a best-in-class experience with tailored planning, payment, language, and other options seamlessly connecting them with our travel service provider partners. We offer these... Read more

$193.50+13.6% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#1 of 14 Travel Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.32%
IncomeYield0.86%Payout17.86%sustainable
Stop $186.42Target $219.58(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst target$238.68+23.3%37 analysts
$219.58our TP
$193.50price
$238.68mean
$301

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $193.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-05
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 27, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.1 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Risks
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.7
P/E (Fwd)15.6
Mkt Cap$145.2B
EV/EBITDA14.3
Profit Mgn25.5%
ROE
Rev Growth8.1%
Beta1.07
Dividend0.86%
Rating analysts47

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.49bullish
IV43%normal
Max Pain$100-48.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Volume
5.4
Rsi
7.6
Uptrend pullback (RSI 39) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $192.19Resistance $217.32

Price Targets

$186
$220
A.Upside+13.6%
A.R:R2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier +2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 3.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-27 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BKNG stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $193.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $219.58 (+13.5%), stop $186.42 (−3.8%), A.R:R 2.2:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BKNG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $219.58 (+13.6% upside). Target $219.58 (+13.5%), stop $186.42 (−3.8%), A.R:R 2.2:1. Stop-loss: $186.42.

What are the risks of investing in BKNG?

Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Is BKNG overvalued or undervalued?

Booking Holdings Inc. Common St trades at a P/E of 21.7 (forward 15.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about BKNG?

47 analysts cover BKNG with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $239.

What does Booking Holdings Inc. Common St do?Our mission is to make it easier for everyone to experience the world. We aim to provide consumers with a best-in-class...

Our mission is to make it easier for everyone to experience the world. We aim to provide consumers with a best-in-class experience with tailored planning, payment, language, and other options seamlessly connecting them with our travel service provider partners. We offer these services through five primary consumer-facing brands: Booking.com, Priceline, Agoda, KAYAK, and OpenTable:

Related stocks: TCOM (Trip.com Group Limited) · EXPE (Expedia Group, Inc.) · VIK (Viking Holdings Ltd) · ABNB (Airbnb, Inc.) · CCL (Carnival Corporation Ltd.)
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