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BKNGBooking Holdings Inc. Common StBuy Wait6.7·$177.26+2.56%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A high-quality travel platform with 22% net margins, consistent earnings outperformance, and an attractive PEG of 0.75 offers compelling fundamentals roughly 18% below the analyst target, but a confirmed near-term price downtrend is the key timing risk — patient buyers see approximately 3-to-1 risk/reward if momentum recovers.

Thesis pillars

  • Consistent Earnings OutperformanceStable
  • Attractive Growth Adjusted ValuationImproving
  • High Quality Margins And Balance SheetStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Booking Holdings Inc. Common St (BKNG) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Temporary headwind edge

Buy WaitGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services

Wait for pullback to $168.18. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $177.26. Engine's entry $168.18 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Our mission is to make it easier for everyone to experience the world. We aim to provide consumers with a best-in-class experience with tailored planning, payment, language, and other options seamlessly connecting them with our travel service provider partners. We offer these... Read more

$177.26+16.2% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#1 of 14 Travel Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.28%
IncomeYield0.90%Payout20.73%sustainable
Entry $168.18(support + ATR (held))Stop $156.04Target $206.14(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 2.4:1
Analyst target$224.06+26.4%36 analysts
$206.14our TP
$177.26price
$224.06mean
$298

Wait for pullback to $168.18. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $177.26. Engine's entry $168.18 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.77, quality 8.3/10, growth 8.3/10). Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-25
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202611d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.5
P/E (Fwd)14.1
Mkt Cap$133.9B
EV/EBITDA13.2
Profit Mgn22.2%
ROE
Rev Growth16.2%
Beta1.07
Dividend0.90%
Rating analysts46

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.63bullish
IV56%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.9
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 2.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $170.31Resistance $188.31

Price Targets

$156
$168
$206
A.Upside+16.2%
A.R:R2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.4%
Max %2.8%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BKNG stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $168.18. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $177.26. Engine's entry $168.18 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.77, quality 8.3/10, growth 8.3/10). Target $206.14 (+16.3%), stop $156.04 (−13.6%), A.R:R 2.4:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BKNG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $206.14 (+16.2% upside). Target $206.14 (+16.3%), stop $156.04 (−13.6%), A.R:R 2.4:1. Stop-loss: $156.04.

What are the risks of investing in BKNG?

Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is BKNG overvalued or undervalued?

Booking Holdings Inc. Common St trades at a P/E of 23.5 (forward 14.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about BKNG?

46 analysts cover BKNG with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $224.

What does Booking Holdings Inc. Common St do?Our mission is to make it easier for everyone to experience the world. We aim to provide consumers with a best-in-class...

Our mission is to make it easier for everyone to experience the world. We aim to provide consumers with a best-in-class experience with tailored planning, payment, language, and other options seamlessly connecting them with our travel service provider partners. We offer these services through five primary consumer-facing brands: Booking.com, Priceline, Agoda, KAYAK, and OpenTable:

Related stocks: TCOM (Trip.com Group Limited) · EXPE (Expedia Group, Inc.) · RCL (Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.) · VIK (Viking Holdings Ltd) · ABNB (Airbnb, Inc.)
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