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BKNGBooking Holdings Inc. Common StSell6.4·$163.95
SellModerate Confidence

Thesis pillars

  • Consistent Earnings Outperformance→Stable
  • Attractive Growth Adjusted Valuation↑Improving
  • High Quality Margins And Balance Sheet→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Booking Holdings Inc. Common St (BKNG) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $163.95 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Our mission is to make it easier for everyone to experience the world. We aim to provide consumers with a best-in-class experience with tailored planning, payment, language, and other options seamlessly connecting them with our travel service provider partners. We offer these... Read more

$163.95+34.0% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#2 of 13 Travel Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.33%
IncomeYield1.08%Payout17.86%sustainable
Stop $152.47Target $219.68(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 4.0:1
Analyst target$238.78+45.6%37 analysts
$219.68our TP
$163.95price
$238.78mean
$301

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $163.95 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 27, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.1 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Negative momentum
Below 200-day MA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.3
P/E (Fwd)12.7
Mkt Cap$122.0B
EV/EBITDA11.7
Profit Mgn25.5%
ROE—
Rev Growth8.1%
Beta1.07
Dividend1.08%
Rating analysts47

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.88neutral
IV43%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Rsi
3.0
Volume
3.7
Capitulation risk (RSI 22, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 1.8<4.5A.R:R 4.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
22 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $155.37Resistance $207.06

Price Targets

$152
$220
A.Upside+34.0%
A.R:R4.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-27 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BKNG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $163.95 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $152.47. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BKNG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $219.68 (+34.0% upside). Prior stop was $152.47. Stop-loss: $152.47.

What are the risks of investing in BKNG?

Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA.

Is BKNG overvalued or undervalued?

Booking Holdings Inc. Common St trades at a P/E of 17.3 (forward 12.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BKNG?

47 analysts cover BKNG with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $239.

What does Booking Holdings Inc. Common St do?Our mission is to make it easier for everyone to experience the world. We aim to provide consumers with a best-in-class...

Our mission is to make it easier for everyone to experience the world. We aim to provide consumers with a best-in-class experience with tailored planning, payment, language, and other options seamlessly connecting them with our travel service provider partners. We offer these services through five primary consumer-facing brands: Booking.com, Priceline, Agoda, KAYAK, and OpenTable:

Related stocks: EXPE (Expedia Group, Inc.) · VIK (Viking Holdings Ltd) · ABNB (Airbnb, Inc.) · CCL (Carnival Corporation Ltd.) · RCL (Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.)
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