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BKNGBooking Holdings Inc. Common StHold6.7·$170.97
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Booking Holdings is a high-quality, best-in-class-margin travel platform trading at 12.0x forward earnings with 44.5% upside to the analyst target, but a confirmed downtrend and falling volume mean the market has not yet endorsed the recovery.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Earnings Growth Score→Stable
  • Best In Class Margins Quality→Stable
  • Attractive Valuation Large Upside↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 18, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Booking Holdings Inc. Common St (BKNG) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $170.97, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Our mission is to make it easier for everyone to experience the world. We aim to provide consumers with a best-in-class experience with tailored planning, payment, language, and other options seamlessly connecting them with our travel service provider partners. We offer these... Read more

$170.97+24.5% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#2 of 12 Travel Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.83%
IncomeYield1.08%Payout17.82%sustainable
Stop $159.00Analyst target $212.81(−8% haircut)A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst consensus$231.31+35.3%35 analysts with price targets
$212.81Analyst target
$170.97price
$231.31mean
$301

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $170.97, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 9/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 111d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 5, 2026

Recent Developments — Booking Holdings Inc. Common St

Latest item Nov 5, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:29:00Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Feb 24, 2027111d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.1 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.5
P/E (Fwd)13.8
Mkt Cap$132.5B
EV/EBITDA11.6
Profit Mgn25.5%
ROE—
Rev Growth8.1%
Beta1.15
Dividend1.08%
Analysts with ratings45

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.46bearish
IV52%elevated
Max Pain$90-47.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.1
Gap
4.0
52w Position
5.3
GatesDeath cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 8.0>=5.5A.R:R 1.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY 111d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
55 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $146.28Resistance $174.09

Price Targets

$159
$213
A.Upside+24.5%
A.R:R1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts with ratings45
Consensus4.1/5
Avg Target$231

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-24 (111d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BKNG stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $170.97, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $212.81 (+24.5%), stop $159.00 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.7:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BKNG stock price target?

Analyst target: $212.81 (+24.5% upside). Analyst target $212.81 (+24.5%), stop $159.00 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.7:1. Stop-loss: $159.00.

What are the risks of investing in BKNG?

Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is BKNG overvalued or undervalued?

Booking Holdings Inc. Common St trades at a P/E of 18.5 (forward 13.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about BKNG?

45 analysts rate BKNG, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 35 analysts publish price targets averaging $231.

What does Booking Holdings Inc. Common St do?Our mission is to make it easier for everyone to experience the world. We aim to provide consumers with a best-in-class...

Our mission is to make it easier for everyone to experience the world. We aim to provide consumers with a best-in-class experience with tailored planning, payment, language, and other options seamlessly connecting them with our travel service provider partners. We offer these services through five primary consumer-facing brands: Booking.com, Priceline, Agoda, KAYAK, and OpenTable:

Related stocks: EXPE (Expedia Group, Inc.) · VIK (Viking Holdings Ltd) · ABNB (Airbnb, Inc.) · RCL (Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.) · CCL (Carnival Corporation Ltd.)
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