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Perella Weinberg Partners (PWP) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Sell if holding. At $18.45, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.7%; Concentration risk — Geographic: United States.

Perella Weinberg Partners is a global independent financial advisory firm with 549 advisory professionals and 75 partners across 12 offices in the U.S., Canada, UK, France, and Germany, providing M&A, restructuring, capital markets, and private funds advisory. Revenues were... Read more

$18.45+7.7% A.UpsideScore 4.2/10#35 of 40 Capital Markets
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield1.53%Payout112.00%at-risk
Stop $17.16Target $19.87(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst target$23.38+26.7%4 analysts
$19.87our TP
$18.45price
$23.38mean
$30

Sell if holding. At $18.45, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.7%; Concentration risk — Geographic: United States. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 27, MACD bearish. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 73d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Perella Weinberg Partners

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States
Thin upside margin: 7.7%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)73.3
P/E (Fwd)12.1
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn2.9%
ROE13.3%
Rev Growth-29.7%
Beta1.74
Dividend1.53%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicUnited States
    10-K Item 1A: 'our operations in the United States have historically provided most of our revenues and earnings'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -29.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -30%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.3
Quality Rank
2.7
Value Rank
2.9

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Obv
10.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 27, below 200MA)Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 73d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
27 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $17.23Resistance $22.99

Price Targets

$17
$20
A.Upside+7.7%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.6:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-31 (73d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PWP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $18.45, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.7%; Concentration risk — Geographic: United States. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 27, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $17.16. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PWP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.87 (+7.7% upside). Prior stop was $17.16. Stop-loss: $17.16.

What are the risks of investing in PWP?

Concentration risk — Geographic: United States; Thin upside margin: 7.7%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9).

Is PWP overvalued or undervalued?

Perella Weinberg Partners trades at a P/E of 73.3 (forward 12.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PWP?

8 analysts cover PWP with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $23.

What does Perella Weinberg Partners do?Perella Weinberg Partners is a global independent financial advisory firm with 549 advisory professionals and 75...

Perella Weinberg Partners is a global independent financial advisory firm with 549 advisory professionals and 75 partners across 12 offices in the U.S., Canada, UK, France, and Germany, providing M&A, restructuring, capital markets, and private funds advisory. Revenues were $750.9M in 2025; no single client exceeded 10% of revenues in 2025 or 2023, though U.S. operations historically provide most revenues.

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