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LCLNLincoln International, Inc.Hold7.1·$26.79+3.24%
HoldHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Lincoln International is a genuinely high-quality, cheaply-valued business, but with the stock near its 52-week high and analyst target already reached, the engine's negative asymmetry reading argues the easy gains are behind it.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality MarginsStable
  • Valuation Already Priced InImproving
  • Negative Asymmetry Leverage PenaltyStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Lincoln International, Inc. (LCLN) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $26.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-2.8% away).

Lincoln International, Inc. operates as an independent investment banking advisory firm in the United States, Europe, and Asia. It operates through two segments: Investment Banking Advisory and Valuations and Opinions. The investment Banking Advisory segment offers capital... Read more

$26.79-10.1% A.UpsideScore 7.1/10#2 of 50 Capital Markets
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield1.13%Payout0.00%sustainable
Stop $24.87Target $30.75(default +15%)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$27.64+3.2%7 analysts
$30.75our TP
$26.79price
$27.64mean
$25
$31

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $26.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-2.8% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 7.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 62d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-03
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202662d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong overall score: 7.1/10
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (-2.8% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)14.9
Mkt Cap$2.7B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn17.9%
ROE
Rev Growth50.8%
Beta
Dividend1.13%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.3
Gap
5.0
52w Position
9.9
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 62d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $22.95Resistance $26.86

Price Targets

$25
$31
A.Upside-10.1%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (62d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LCLN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $26.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-2.8% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $30.75 (+14.8%), stop $24.87 (−7.7%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Score 7.1/10, high confidence.

What is the LCLN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $30.75 (-10.1% upside). Target $30.75 (+14.8%), stop $24.87 (−7.7%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Stop-loss: $24.87.

What are the risks of investing in LCLN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-2.8% away).

Is LCLN overvalued or undervalued?

Lincoln International, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 14.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about LCLN?

13 analysts cover LCLN with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $28.

What does Lincoln International, Inc. do?Lincoln International, Inc. operates as an independent investment banking advisory firm in the United States, Europe,...

Lincoln International, Inc. operates as an independent investment banking advisory firm in the United States, Europe, and Asia. It operates through two segments: Investment Banking Advisory and Valuations and Opinions. The investment Banking Advisory segment offers capital advisory, such as debt advisory, special situations and restructuring, and growth/minority equity; private funds advisory which includes structured / continuation vehicles, single asset vehicles, primary funds, and co-investment vehicles. Its Valuations and Opinions segment provides portfolio valuations, transaction opinions and board advisory, disputes advisory services to alternative asset managers includes private equity firms, private credit firms, mutual funds, insurance companies, banks, infrastructure firms, hedge funds, and institutional investors. In addition, the company offers financial advice to general partners, boards of directors, special committees, investors, trustees, and other corporate decision-makers at both public and private companies; other services, such as strategic consulting, an executive peer exchange called Connect, which fosters connection and mentorship among leaders within the insurance and wealth sectors, and an agency member network; and FirstChoice, which provides members direct insurance carrier access, strategic business planning, advanced technology services, and education platform. It serves Business Services, Consumer, Financial services, Healthcare, Industrials, and Technology sectors. The company was founded in 1996 and is based in Chicago, Illinois.

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