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SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

PVH Corp. has delivered a perfect 4-for-4 earnings beat streak with an average surprise of 16%, trades at a forward P/E of 6.5x with a PEG of 0.06, and shows strong free cash flow at 295% of net income, but the stock is priced at or above analyst targets and carries high short interest of 13% pointing to skepticism about its concentrated brand portfolio.

Thesis pillars

  • Brand Concentration Risk↑Improving
  • Earnings Beat And Value→Stable
  • Free Cash Flow Quality→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

PVH Corp. (PVH) Stock Analysis

SellValueShortModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $75.99: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

PVH Corp. generated $9.0 billion in 2025 revenues from two owned global apparel brands, TOMMY HILFIGER and Calvin Klein, which together contributed over 95% of total revenue across EMEA, Americas, APAC, and Licensing segments. The company sells through wholesale, direct retail,... Read more

$75.99+4.0% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#10 of 14 Apparel Manufacturing
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield15.15%
IncomeYield0.20%(5y avg 0.13%)Payout4.55%sustainable
Stop $71.17Target $79.02(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$90.83+19.5%12 analysts
$79.02our TP
$75.99price
$90.83mean
$70
$128

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $75.99: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 68d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Dec 2, 202668d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: TOMMY HILFIGER and Calvin Klein
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)6.1
Mkt Cap$3.5B
EV/EBITDA7.3
Profit Mgn-1.9%
ROE-3.5%
Rev Growth-3.2%
Beta1.72
Dividend0.20%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.15bearish
IV42%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductTOMMY HILFIGER and Calvin Klein
    10-K Item 1: 'TOMMY HILFIGER ... Calvin Klein ... together generated over 95% of our revenue during each of 2025 and 2024'
  • LOWCustomertop five customers17%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Sales to our five largest customers were 16.6%, 15.1% and 13.3% of our revenue in 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -3.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.7
Declining revenue: -3%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.5
Bollinger
1.6
52w Position
5.1

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
2.1
Roa
2.5
Moat
4.0
Fcf Quality
5.2
Current Ratio
5.9
Piotroski F
6.7
Gross Margin
7.5
FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 6%, FCF yield 15.2%)No competitive moat
GatesA.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 68d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
55 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $67.62Resistance $77.52

Price Targets

$71
$79
A.Upside+4.0%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 0.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-12-02 (68d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PVH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $75.99: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $71.17. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PVH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $79.02 (+4.0% upside). Prior stop was $71.17. Stop-loss: $71.17.

What are the risks of investing in PVH?

Concentration risk — Product: TOMMY HILFIGER and Calvin Klein; Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is PVH overvalued or undervalued?

PVH Corp. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 6.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PVH?

18 analysts cover PVH with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $91.

What does PVH Corp. do?PVH Corp. generated $9.0 billion in 2025 revenues from two owned global apparel brands, TOMMY HILFIGER and Calvin...

PVH Corp. generated $9.0 billion in 2025 revenues from two owned global apparel brands, TOMMY HILFIGER and Calvin Klein, which together contributed over 95% of total revenue across EMEA, Americas, APAC, and Licensing segments. The company sells through wholesale, direct retail, and digital channels in 40+ countries with approximately 26,000 associates.

Related stocks: FIGS (FIGS, Inc.) · KTB (Kontoor Brands, Inc.) · LEVI (Levi Strauss & Co) · RL (Ralph Lauren Corporation) · GIL (Gildan Activewear, Inc.)
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