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Primoris Services Corporation (PRIM) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $179.32 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (53.1%).

Primoris Services Corporation provides critical infrastructure construction, maintenance, and engineering services through two segments — Utilities (natural gas, electric, and communications systems) and Energy (renewable energy, oil and gas, petrochemical) — primarily in the... Read more

$179.32-1.8% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#18 of 30 Engineering & Construction
Stop $166.65Target $175.99(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$175.43-2.2%14 analysts
$175.99our TP
$179.32price
$175.43mean
$139
$205

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $179.32 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (53.1%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (53.1%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (-1.4% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.1
P/E (Fwd)24.6
Mkt Cap$9.0B
EV/EBITDA18.6
Profit Mgn3.6%
ROE17.8%
Rev Growth6.7%
Beta1.39
Dividend0.19%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.18bearish
IV76%elevated
Max Pain$85-52.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomertop ten customers53%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our top ten customers accounting for approximately 53.1% of our revenue in 2025, 41.3% of our revenue in 2024 and 41.1% of our revenue in 2023.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-17Item 5.02LOW
    John P. Schauerman will not stand for re-election at 2026 Annual Meeting (expected April 30, 2026), voluntarily retiring from the Board. Not the result of any disagreement. Board size to be reduced to eight members. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.3
Quality Rank
3.5
Value Rank
6.4

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.1
Bollinger
0.5
Gap
5.0
52w Position
10.0
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $143.00Resistance $179.58

Price Targets

$167
$176
A.Upside-1.9%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PRIM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $179.32 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (53.1%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $166.65. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PRIM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $175.99 (-1.8% upside). Prior stop was $166.65. Stop-loss: $166.65.

What are the risks of investing in PRIM?

Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (53.1%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-1.4% away).

Is PRIM overvalued or undervalued?

Primoris Services Corporation trades at a P/E of 33.1 (forward 24.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PRIM?

21 analysts cover PRIM with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $175.

What does Primoris Services Corporation do?Primoris Services Corporation provides critical infrastructure construction, maintenance, and engineering services...

Primoris Services Corporation provides critical infrastructure construction, maintenance, and engineering services through two segments — Utilities (natural gas, electric, and communications systems) and Energy (renewable energy, oil and gas, petrochemical) — primarily in the U.S. and Canada. About 27.6% of 2025 revenue came from competitive bid projects; the top ten customers accounted for approximately 53.1% of revenue.

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