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PRGOPerrigo Company plcSell5.3·$15.83
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Perrigo is a deeply discounted generic drug manufacturer trading at a forward price-to-earnings of 4.5 times and a PEG of 0.04, with analysts seeing 54% upside to target, but the company is in a confirmed death cross with declining revenue of negative 7%, no competitive moat identified, and quality scoring only 3.0 out of 10, making it a value trap candidate that must demonstrate earnings stabilization to justify the valuation.

Thesis pillars

  • Revenue Decline Quality Concerns→Stable
  • Extreme Discount Valuation↑Improving
  • Death Cross Confirmed Downtrend↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Perrigo Company plc (PRGO) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthShortModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.83: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 27%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.00; Below-average business quality.

Perrigo Company plc is a pure-play self-care company selling over-the-counter health and wellness products, including store-brand and branded upper respiratory, digestive health, oral care, and infant formula items, primarily across North America and Europe through its Consumer... Read more

QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield19.90%
IncomeYield7.39%(5y avg 3.78%)Payout1348.75%at-risk
Stop $14.72Analyst target $15.30(reached)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst consensus$18.00+13.7%3 analysts with price targets
$15.83price
$18.00mean
$15
$20

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.83: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 27%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Perrigo Company plc

About Perrigo Company plc

Perrigo drew 12.9% of its 2025 consolidated net sales from Walmart, its largest customer, with the top ten customers combining for 47%, while no single product line exceeds 5% of revenue across a self-care portfolio manufactured primarily in the U.S. alongside facilities in the U.K., Belgium, France, Germany, and China. The company operates through two segments, Consumer Self-Care Americas and Consumer Self-Care International, selling in North America and more than 30 countries, mostly in Europe.

Perrigo earns most of its revenue selling store-brand, private-label self-care products across categories such as cough/cold, digestive health, oral care, skin care, women's health, vitamins, and infant formula to national retail drug chains, supermarkets, mass merchandisers, and wholesalers who resell them below national-brand prices, alongside a smaller portfolio of owned brands including Opill, Mederma, and Compeed. Competitors on the store-brand side include Dr. Reddy's, LNK International, PL Developments, Aurobindo, and Sun Pharmaceuticals, while branded consumer-health rivals include Haleon, Kenvue, Procter & Gamble, and Reckitt Benckiser. The CSCA segment sells through U.S. and Canadian retail and e-commerce channels, while CSCI distributes through pharmacies, wholesalers, and para-pharmacies in more than 30 countries. Perrigo maintains several single-source supplier relationships for certain raw materials and dosage forms, chosen either because alternative sources are unavailable or because the arrangement offers regulatory, quality, or pricing advantages.

Show full overview

Perrigo's regulatory exposure centers on infant formula and OTC reclassification. Following an FDA warning letter in August 2023 and additional inspection findings at its Wisconsin infant formula facility, Perrigo implemented new manufacturing protocols and incurred elevated production costs, and in March 2025 the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services launched Operation Stork Speed, a review that could tighten nutrient, testing, and labeling requirements while also expanding personal-importation competition. Separately, Irish regulators are conducting a formal review of non-prescription codeine products, a category that generated approximately $24 million in Irish sales in 2025, that could reclassify codeine to prescription-only status, with a final opinion expected in 2026 and potential knock-on reviews in other jurisdictions.

See also: Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

From Perrigo Company plc's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 4, 2026

Recent Developments — Perrigo Company plc

Latest item Nov 4, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:54:13Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 2026Date unconfirmed· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source suppliers
Target reached (-3.3% upside)
Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)6.7
Mkt Cap$2.2B
EV/EBITDA8.5
Profit Mgn-41.9%
ROE-48.7%
Rev Growth-3.2%
Beta0.69
Dividend7.39%
Analysts with ratings10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C3.00bearish
IV64%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerWalmart Inc.13%
    10-K Item 1: 'Sales to Walmart Inc. represented 12.9% and 11.9% of our consolidated net sales in 2025 and 2024, respectively.'
  • MEDIUMCustomertop ten customers47%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our top ten customers accounted for 47% of our total consolidated net sales in 2025 and 2024.'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle-source suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We maintain several single-source supplier relationships, either because alternative sources are not available or because the relationship is advantageous'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-07Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CEO and director Patrick Lockwood-Taylor resigned effective immediately after the Board determined his personal conduct was inconsistent with the Company's Code of Conduct; the Board named an interim President and CEO the same day. Company stated the resignation is unrelated to business, strategy, or financial reporting.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-06-30Item 5.02LOW
    Board appointed Salman Amin and Omer Gajial as directors effective June 30, 2026, expanding the Board from 8 to 10 members. Amin joins Audit and Nominating/Governance committees; Gajial joins Talent and Compensation. Routine board expansion, no departures.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -41.9%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
1.3
Operating Margin
1.5
Moat
2.5
Gross Margin
2.7
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
8.0
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.2
Growth Rank
0.8
Value Rank
8.8
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
38 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $14.10Resistance $16.80

Price Targets

A.Upside-3.3%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.3% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (Date unconfirmed)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PRGO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.83: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 27%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $14.72. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PRGO stock price target?

Analyst target $15.30 reached (−3.3% from $15.83); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $14.72. Stop-loss: $14.72.

What are the risks of investing in PRGO?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source suppliers; Target reached (-3.3% upside); Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0).

Is PRGO overvalued or undervalued?

Perrigo Company plc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 6.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PRGO?

10 analysts rate PRGO, with a consensus score of 3.8/5. 3 analysts publish price targets averaging $18.

What does Perrigo Company plc do?Perrigo Company plc is a pure-play self-care company selling over-the-counter health and wellness products, including...

Perrigo Company plc is a pure-play self-care company selling over-the-counter health and wellness products, including store-brand and branded upper respiratory, digestive health, oral care, and infant formula items, primarily across North America and Europe through its Consumer Self-Care Americas and Consumer Self-Care International segments. It sells to major retail drug, supermarket, and mass-merchandise chains and wholesalers, with Walmart representing 12.9% of 2025 consolidated net sales and the top ten customers accounting for 47%.

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