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Pilgrim's Pride Corporation (PPC) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $32.10 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Concentration risk — Commodity: feed ingredients.

Pilgrim's Pride is a vertically integrated chicken and pork producer with operations in the U.S., U.K., continental Europe, and Mexico through three reportable segments; JBS S.A. beneficially owns 82.28% of outstanding shares. Revenue is generated from fresh, prepared, and... Read more

$32.10+16.3% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#19 of 26 Packaged Foods
Stop $29.88Target $37.29(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.4:1
Analyst target$42.86+33.5%7 analysts
$37.29our TP
$32.10price
$42.86mean
$56

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $32.10 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Concentration risk — Commodity: feed ingredients. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 28, MACD bearish. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 54%
Risks
Concentration risk — Commodity: feed ingredients
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Weak overall score: 5.0/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)6.9
P/E (Fwd)7.7
Mkt Cap$7.4B
EV/EBITDA4.5
Profit Mgn5.9%
ROE27.3%
Rev Growth3.3%
Beta0.48
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C6.00bearish
IV49%normal
Max Pain$25-22.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCommodityfeed ingredients
    10-K Item 1A: 'Profitability in the chicken and pork industries is materially affected by the commodity prices of feed ingredients and the market prices of chicken and pork'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.3

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
1.0
Macd
2.1
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 28, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 1.6<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
28 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $30.67Resistance $38.20

Price Targets

$30
$37
A.Upside+16.2%
A.R:R2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PPC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $32.10 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Concentration risk — Commodity: feed ingredients. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 28, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $29.88. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PPC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $37.29 (+16.3% upside). Prior stop was $29.88. Stop-loss: $29.88.

What are the risks of investing in PPC?

Concentration risk — Commodity: feed ingredients; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak overall score: 5.0/10.

Is PPC overvalued or undervalued?

Pilgrim's Pride Corporation trades at a P/E of 6.9 (forward 7.7). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PPC?

12 analysts cover PPC with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $43.

What does Pilgrim's Pride Corporation do?Pilgrim's Pride is a vertically integrated chicken and pork producer with operations in the U.S., U.K., continental...

Pilgrim's Pride is a vertically integrated chicken and pork producer with operations in the U.S., U.K., continental Europe, and Mexico through three reportable segments; JBS S.A. beneficially owns 82.28% of outstanding shares. Revenue is generated from fresh, prepared, and value-added chicken and pork products sold to foodservice chain restaurants, retail grocery chains, and export markets across 120+ countries. The company operates a global network of approximately 4,500 growers, 36 feed mills, 39 processing plants, and 28 prepared foods cook plants.

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