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PPCPilgrim's Pride CorporationSell5.0·$28.98-3.61%
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Pilgrim's Pride Corporation (PPC) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.98: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 2.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.76; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Pilgrim's Pride is a vertically integrated producer, processor, and marketer of fresh, frozen, and value-added chicken and pork products operating in U.S. (largest), Europe (UK/continental), and Mexico segments; 82.28% of common stock is owned by JBS S.A. Total net sales were... Read more

$28.98+17.8% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#19 of 26 Packaged Foods
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-12.58%
Stop $26.95Target $34.15(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.5:1
Analyst target$39.25+35.4%8 analysts
$34.15our TP
$28.98price
$39.25mean
$56

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.98: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 2.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.76; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 54. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Pilgrim's Pride Corporation

About Pilgrim's Pride Corporation

Pilgrim's Pride generated $18.5 billion in net sales in fiscal 2025, with the U.S. segment contributing $11.0 billion, Europe $5.4 billion, and Mexico $2.1 billion across chicken, pork, and prepared foods products. Fresh product sales accounted for 80.9% of U.S. segment revenue, while prepared foods contributed 58.6% of Europe segment revenue. The company employs over 63,000 people, with approximately 35.1% of the workforce covered by collective bargaining agreements, and operates roughly 4,500 grower farms globally.

Pilgrim's Pride earns revenue through three reportable segments — U.S., Europe, and Mexico — selling fresh, prepared, and exported chicken and pork products to foodservice operators, grocery retailers, and wholesale clubs. In the U.S., major retail customers include Kroger, Costco, Publix, and H-E-B, while key foodservice accounts include Chick-fil-A. In the U.K. and Europe, Sainsbury's, Tesco, and Waitrose are primary retail outlets. The top-two customers together represented about 16.8% of consolidated net sales in 2025, with no individual customer exceeding 10% of consolidated sales. Feed costs are a primary input, with corn, soybean meal, and wheat accounting for 45.9%, 33.7%, and 4.6% of total feed costs in 2025, respectively. The company maintains a vertically integrated structure with 36 feed mills, 50 hatcheries, 39 processing plants, and 28 prepared foods cook plants globally. JBS S.A. holds an 82.28% controlling stake through indirect subsidiaries, which shapes capital allocation and strategic direction.

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Feed ingredient costs represent the single largest earnings driver across all three of Pilgrim's Pride's segments. Corn alone accounts for 45.9% of feed costs, with soybean meal at 33.7%, creating significant earnings sensitivity to global grain markets that are subject to weather-driven supply disruptions and shifting agricultural policies. The company purchases derivative financial instruments to manage feed cost exposure, but these are not designated as cash flow hedges — meaning fair value changes flow directly through earnings. The EU's Deforestation Regulation, effective December 30, 2026, may impose additional diligence requirements on soy and grain sourcing for European operations, which could weigh on segment compliance costs.

See also: Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

From Pilgrim's Pride Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. reportable segment
Concentration risk — Commodity: corn and soybean meal
Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.1
P/E (Fwd)8.0
Mkt Cap$7.2B
EV/EBITDA4.9
Profit Mgn4.8%
ROE25.8%
Rev Growth1.6%
Beta0.30
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C2.76bearish
IV49%normal
Max Pain$55+89.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicU.S. reportable segment
    10-K Item 1: 'Total U.S. reportable segment| 10,998,732 ... Total net sales| $| 18,497,553'
  • HIGHCommoditycorn and soybean meal
    10-K Item 1: 'corn, soybean meal and wheat accounted for approximately 45.9%, 33.7% and 4.6% of our feed costs, respectively'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.2
Revenue Growth
2.9

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.8
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $27.13Resistance $30.36

Price Targets

$27
$34
A.Upside+17.8%
A.R:R2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PPC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.98: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 2.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.76; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 54. Prior stop was $26.95. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PPC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $34.15 (+17.8% upside). Prior stop was $26.95. Stop-loss: $26.95.

What are the risks of investing in PPC?

Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. reportable segment; Concentration risk — Commodity: corn and soybean meal; Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0).

Is PPC overvalued or undervalued?

Pilgrim's Pride Corporation trades at a P/E of 8.1 (forward 8.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PPC?

13 analysts cover PPC with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $39.

What does Pilgrim's Pride Corporation do?Pilgrim's Pride is a vertically integrated producer, processor, and marketer of fresh, frozen, and value-added chicken...

Pilgrim's Pride is a vertically integrated producer, processor, and marketer of fresh, frozen, and value-added chicken and pork products operating in U.S. (largest), Europe (UK/continental), and Mexico segments; 82.28% of common stock is owned by JBS S.A. Total net sales were $18.5 billion in 2025 serving foodservice operators, retailers, and export markets with 63,000+ employees.

Related stocks: SENEA (Seneca Foods Corp.) · HLF (Herbalife Ltd.) · CENTA (Central Garden & Pet Company) · CENT (Central Garden & Pet Company) · MKC-V (McCormick & Company, Incorporat)
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