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Pilgrim's Pride Corporation (PPC) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.39: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 2.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Pilgrim's Pride is a vertically integrated producer, processor, and marketer of fresh, frozen, and value-added chicken and pork products operating in U.S. (largest), Europe (UK/continental), and Mexico segments; 82.28% of common stock is owned by JBS S.A. Total net sales were... Read more

$28.39+24.3% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#19 of 26 Packaged Foods
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-13.32%
Stop $26.41Target $35.30(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.7:1
Analyst target$40.57+42.9%7 analysts
$35.30our TP
$28.39price
$40.57mean
$56

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.39: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 2.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 36, MACD bearish. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Val7.6Qual4.0Grw2.5Mom4.3Sent7.1Ins5.0Peer5.0Tech5.6Risk6.25.0OVERALL

Recent Developments — Pilgrim's Pride Corporation

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. reportable segment
Concentration risk — Commodity: corn and soybean meal
Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.6
P/E (Fwd)7.5
Mkt Cap$6.8B
EV/EBITDA4.7
Profit Mgn4.8%
ROE25.8%
Rev Growth1.6%
Beta0.35
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.19bearish
IV48%normal
Max Pain$55+93.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicU.S. reportable segment
    10-K Item 1: 'Total U.S. reportable segment| 10,998,732 ... Total net sales| $| 18,497,553'
  • HIGHCommoditycorn and soybean meal
    10-K Item 1: 'corn, soybean meal and wheat accounted for approximately 45.9%, 33.7% and 4.6% of our feed costs, respectively'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.2
Revenue Growth
2.9

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.8
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 70d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
36 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $27.13Resistance $33.90

Price Targets

$26
$35
A.Upside+24.3%
A.R:R2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 4.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (70d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PPC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.39: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 2.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 36, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $26.41. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PPC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.30 (+24.3% upside). Prior stop was $26.41. Stop-loss: $26.41.

What are the risks of investing in PPC?

Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. reportable segment; Concentration risk — Commodity: corn and soybean meal; Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0).

Is PPC overvalued or undervalued?

Pilgrim's Pride Corporation trades at a P/E of 7.6 (forward 7.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PPC?

12 analysts cover PPC with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $41.

What does Pilgrim's Pride Corporation do?Pilgrim's Pride is a vertically integrated producer, processor, and marketer of fresh, frozen, and value-added chicken...

Pilgrim's Pride is a vertically integrated producer, processor, and marketer of fresh, frozen, and value-added chicken and pork products operating in U.S. (largest), Europe (UK/continental), and Mexico segments; 82.28% of common stock is owned by JBS S.A. Total net sales were $18.5 billion in 2025 serving foodservice operators, retailers, and export markets with 63,000+ employees.

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