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Pinnacle West Capital Corporati (PNW) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Earnings in 3 days (2026-05-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $102.96: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.00; Below-average business quality.

Pinnacle West is an Arizona-based electric utility holding company whose principal subsidiary, Arizona Public Service, provides electric service to approximately 1.4 million customers in 11 of Arizona's 15 counties. APS owns or leases 6,257 MW of regulated generation capacity... Read more

$102.96-0.1% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#31 of 38 Utilities - Regulated Electric
Stop $99.13Target $102.82(resistance)A.R:R -2.1:1
Analyst target$105.57+2.5%14 analysts
$102.82our TP
$102.96price
$105.57mean
$87
$123

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $102.96: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-10.7% upside)
Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.1
P/E (Fwd)18.2
Mkt Cap$12.3B
EV/EBITDA13.0
Profit Mgn11.5%
ROE9.1%
Rev Growth3.0%
Beta0.48
Dividend3.58%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C3.00bearish
IV47%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.2
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
1.6
Current Ratio
2.2
Roe
3.0
Gross Margin
4.3
Operating Margin
4.4
Moat
5.0
Net Margin
5.8
Piotroski F
6.7
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -98% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesA.R:R -2.1=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $99.88Resistance $104.92

Price Targets

$99
$103
A.Upside-0.1%
A.R:R-2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.7% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-04 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PNW stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $102.96: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $99.13. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PNW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $102.82 (-0.1% upside). Prior stop was $99.13. Stop-loss: $99.13.

What are the risks of investing in PNW?

Target reached (-10.7% upside); Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0).

Is PNW overvalued or undervalued?

Pinnacle West Capital Corporati trades at a P/E of 20.1 (forward 18.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PNW?

22 analysts cover PNW with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $106.

What does Pinnacle West Capital Corporati do?Pinnacle West is an Arizona-based electric utility holding company whose principal subsidiary, Arizona Public Service,...

Pinnacle West is an Arizona-based electric utility holding company whose principal subsidiary, Arizona Public Service, provides electric service to approximately 1.4 million customers in 11 of Arizona's 15 counties. APS owns or leases 6,257 MW of regulated generation capacity including Palo Verde nuclear, gas, and solar resources.

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