Skip to main content

Pinnacle West Capital Corporati (PNW) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $99.76: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.41; Below-average business quality.

Pinnacle West Capital is an investor-owned electric utility holding company based in Phoenix, Arizona, deriving essentially all revenue from its principal subsidiary Arizona Public Service (APS), which serves approximately 1.4 million customers across 4,000 square miles entirely... Read more

$99.76+2.4% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#17 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-6.87%
IncomeYield3.65%(5y avg 4.34%)Payout67.35%
Stop $96.22Target $102.12(resistance)A.R:R -1.6:1
Analyst target$105.43+5.7%14 analysts
$102.12our TP
$99.76price
$105.43mean
$87
$123

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $99.76: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.41; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Pinnacle West Capital Corporati

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Arizona
Concentration risk — Regulatory: ACC
Target reached (-8.1% upside)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.6
P/E (Fwd)17.9
Mkt Cap$12.1B
EV/EBITDA12.8
Profit Mgn12.0%
ROE9.6%
Rev Growth11.4%
Beta0.46
Dividend3.65%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.41bearish
IV31%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicArizona
    10-K Item 1: 'APS is Arizona’s largest and longest-serving electric company and generates safe, affordable electricity in 11 of Arizona’s 15 counties'
  • HIGHregulatoryACC
    10-K Item 1A: 'The ACC regulates APS’s retail electric rates and FERC regulates rates for wholesale power sales and transmission services'
  • MEDIUMSupplierNTEC coal supplier
    10-K Item 1: 'NTEC, a company formed by the Navajo Nation to own the mine that serves Four Corners and develop other energy projects, is the coal supplier for Four Corners'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
1.7
Current Ratio
2.4
Roe
3.2
Gross Margin
4.6
Operating Margin
4.7
Moat
5.6
Net Margin
6.0
Piotroski F
6.7
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -127% FCF/NI
GatesA.R:R -1.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
40 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $97.90Resistance $104.20

Price Targets

$96
$102
A.Upside+2.4%
A.R:R-1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.1% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PNW stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $99.76: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.41; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $96.22. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PNW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $102.12 (+2.4% upside). Prior stop was $96.22. Stop-loss: $96.22.

What are the risks of investing in PNW?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Arizona; Concentration risk — Regulatory: ACC; Target reached (-8.1% upside).

Is PNW overvalued or undervalued?

Pinnacle West Capital Corporati trades at a P/E of 18.6 (forward 17.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PNW?

22 analysts cover PNW with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $105.

What does Pinnacle West Capital Corporati do?Pinnacle West Capital is an investor-owned electric utility holding company based in Phoenix, Arizona, deriving...

Pinnacle West Capital is an investor-owned electric utility holding company based in Phoenix, Arizona, deriving essentially all revenue from its principal subsidiary Arizona Public Service (APS), which serves approximately 1.4 million customers across 4,000 square miles entirely within Arizona. APS generates, transmits, distributes, and retails electricity with rates regulated by the Arizona Corporation Commission (ACC) and FERC for wholesale activities.

Related stocks: CEPU (Central Puerto S.A.) · PCG (Pacific Gas & Electric Co.) · PEG (Public Service Enterprise Group) · KEP (Korea Electric Power Corporatio) · ELPC (Companhia Paranaense de Energia)