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Hawaiian Electric Industries, I (HE) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.56: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 10.43; Below-average business quality.

Hawaiian Electric Industries is a Hawaii-only electric utility holding company operating three regulated utilities (Hawaiian Electric, Hawaii Electric Light, Maui Electric) that serve approximately 95% of Hawaii's population across five island grids. The utilities generated $3.0... Read more

$13.56+13.6% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#34 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield4.35%
Stop $12.76Target $15.36(resistance)A.R:R -1.8:1
Analyst target$13.75+1.4%3 analysts
$15.36our TP
$13.56price
$13.75mean
$15

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.56: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 10.43; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 85d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Hawaiian Electric Industries, I

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-13.6% upside)
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.3
P/E (Fwd)11.8
Mkt Cap$2.3B
EV/EBITDA9.2
Profit Mgn4.1%
ROE8.0%
Rev Growth0.3%
Beta0.56
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C10.43bearish
IV48%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Roa
1.1
Net Margin
2.1
Roe
2.7
Operating Margin
2.9
Moat
3.8
Current Ratio
5.0
Fcf Quality
6.0
Piotroski F
6.7
Earnings quality warning: 80% FCF/NINo competitive moat

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.6
Growth Rank
0.8
Value Rank
7.4
GatesA.R:R -1.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 85d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
32 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.15Resistance $15.67

Price Targets

$13
$15
A.Upside+13.3%
A.R:R-1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.6% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-13 (85d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.56: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 10.43; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $12.76. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.36 (+13.6% upside). Prior stop was $12.76. Stop-loss: $12.76.

What are the risks of investing in HE?

Target reached (-13.6% upside); Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).

Is HE overvalued or undervalued?

Hawaiian Electric Industries, I trades at a P/E of 18.3 (forward 11.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HE?

10 analysts cover HE with a consensus score of 1.9/5. Average price target: $14.

What does Hawaiian Electric Industries, I do?Hawaiian Electric Industries is a Hawaii-only electric utility holding company operating three regulated utilities...

Hawaiian Electric Industries is a Hawaii-only electric utility holding company operating three regulated utilities (Hawaiian Electric, Hawaii Electric Light, Maui Electric) that serve approximately 95% of Hawaii's population across five island grids. The utilities generated $3.0 billion in 2025 revenues representing 99% of consolidated revenues; the company is executing a $1.99 billion Maui wildfire litigation settlement and carries below-investment-grade credit ratings.

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