Hawaiian Electric Industries trades with an unfavorable 0.41-to-1 reward-to-risk and below-minimum quality metrics, compounded by meaningful geographic and regulatory concentration in a single island state and a recent significant earnings miss — the combination of these factors points to a setup that warrants caution.
Thesis pillars
- Quality Below Minimum Floor↑Improving
- Unfavorable Price Risk Reward→Stable
- Geographic Regulatory Concentration↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 27, 2026· older than 90 days
Hawaiian Electric Industries, I (HE) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.50: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.
Hawaiian Electric Industries is a holding company whose regulated utility subsidiaries — Hawaiian Electric, Hawaii Electric Light, and Maui Electric — serve approximately 95% of Hawaii's population across five island grids. Utility electric sales revenues totaled $3.02 billion... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.50: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 50. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated Oct 29, 2026Recent Developments — Hawaiian Electric Industries, I
Latest news
- NEWS Analyst Upgrades Hawaiian Electric Industries to Buy — fiscal.ai Oct 29, 2026 positive
- NEWS Hawaiian Electric Industries to Announce Third Quarter 2026 Results on November 6 — fiscal.ai Oct 25, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Hawai'i PUC Reschedules Public Hearing on Hawaiian Electric Rate Case — fiscal.ai Oct 22, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Hawaiian Electric Seeks Approval For 20Megawatts Solar, 80 Megawatts Hour Battery Project On Maui; Files 20-Year Fixed-P — benzinga Oct 8, 2026 positive
- NEWS Jefferies Maintains Underperform on Hawaiian Electric Indus, Lowers Price Target to $7 — benzinga Oct 7, 2026 negative
Latest item Oct 29, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:44:08Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicHawaii10-K Item 1A: 'The business of the Utilities is concentrated on the individual islands they serve in the State of Hawaii.'
- HIGHregulatoryPUC10-K Item 1: 'HEI is subject to an agreement entered into with the PUC (the PUC Agreement) which, among other things, requires PUC approval of any change in control of HEI.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-10Item 5.02HIGHEVP & CFO Scott T. DeGhetto's term as principal financial officer ended April 1, 2026. No successor named. Entered 1-year consulting agreement via Emberstone, LLC at $200,000/month plus $1,350,000 special projects fee.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.50: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 50. Prior stop was $7.91. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target $7.33 reached (−13.8% from $8.50); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $7.91. Stop-loss: $7.91.
Concentration risk — Geographic: Hawaii; Concentration risk — Regulatory: PUC; Target reached (-13.8% upside).
Hawaiian Electric Industries, I trades at a P/E of 6.5 (forward 8.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
11 analysts rate HE, with a consensus score of 1.8/5. 4 analysts publish price targets averaging $9.
What does Hawaiian Electric Industries, I do?Hawaiian Electric Industries is a holding company whose regulated utility subsidiaries — Hawaiian Electric, Hawaii...
Hawaiian Electric Industries is a holding company whose regulated utility subsidiaries — Hawaiian Electric, Hawaii Electric Light, and Maui Electric — serve approximately 95% of Hawaii's population across five island grids. Utility electric sales revenues totaled $3.02 billion in 2025, earned through PUC-authorized mechanisms including sales decoupling and annual revenue adjustments.