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Public Service Enterprise Group (PEG) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $77.33, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 4.8%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

Public Service Enterprise Group is a predominantly regulated electric and gas utility holding company operating through PSE&G (NJ franchise utility serving 2.4M electric and 1.9M gas customers) and PSEG Power (nuclear generation with 3,758 MW capacity in NJ and PA). Revenue... Read more

$77.33+4.8% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#4 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-0.45%
IncomeYield3.49%(5y avg 3.23%)Payout56.64%sustainable
Stop $74.07Target $81.03(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$90.03+16.4%18 analysts
$81.03our TP
$77.33price
$90.03mean
$99

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $77.33, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 4.8%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Public Service Enterprise Group

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.8%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.0
P/E (Fwd)16.4
Mkt Cap$38.3B
EV/EBITDA13.0
Profit Mgn17.7%
ROE13.4%
Rev Growth19.4%
Beta0.55
Dividend3.49%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.06bearish
IV35%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5A.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $76.05Resistance $82.16

Price Targets

$74
$81
A.Upside+4.8%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 4.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.0:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PEG stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $77.33, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 4.8%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $81.03 (+4.8%), stop $74.07 (−4.4%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PEG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $81.03 (+4.8% upside). Target $81.03 (+4.8%), stop $74.07 (−4.4%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Stop-loss: $74.07.

What are the risks of investing in PEG?

Thin upside margin: 4.8%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.

Is PEG overvalued or undervalued?

Public Service Enterprise Group trades at a P/E of 17.0 (forward 16.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about PEG?

27 analysts cover PEG with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $90.

What does Public Service Enterprise Group do?Public Service Enterprise Group is a predominantly regulated electric and gas utility holding company operating through...

Public Service Enterprise Group is a predominantly regulated electric and gas utility holding company operating through PSE&G (NJ franchise utility serving 2.4M electric and 1.9M gas customers) and PSEG Power (nuclear generation with 3,758 MW capacity in NJ and PA). Revenue comes from BPU- and FERC-approved rates for transmission/distribution plus energy and capacity market sales from nuclear assets.

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