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Public Service Enterprise Group (PEG) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $81.33 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: PSE&G (BGSS gas supply contract).

Public Service Enterprise Group is a New Jersey utility holding company, operating PSE&G (electric/gas T&D to 2.4 million electric and 1.9 million gas customers across approximately 2,600 square miles of NJ) and PSEG Power (nuclear generation and wholesale natural gas). Revenue... Read more

$81.33+0.6% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#11 of 38 Utilities - Regulated Electric
Stop $77.67Target $81.58(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$90.64+11.4%18 analysts
$81.58our TP
$81.33price
$90.64mean
$73
$102

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $81.33 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: PSE&G (BGSS gas supply contract). Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: PSE&G (BGSS gas supply contract)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.9
P/E (Fwd)17.0
Mkt Cap$39.7B
EV/EBITDA14.2
Profit Mgn17.3%
ROE12.8%
Rev Growth18.3%
Beta0.60
Dividend3.37%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.19bullish
IV50%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerPSE&G (BGSS gas supply contract)
    10-K Item 1A: 'PSEG Power sells wholesale natural gas, primarily through a full-requirements BGSS contract with PSE&G'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-23Item 5.02LOW
    April 21, 2026: Geisha J. Williams appointed to PSEG Board's GNS Committee and Industrial Operations Committee, effective immediately. Williams was elected to the Board effective March 1, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Macd
6.1
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $78.01Resistance $84.47

Price Targets

$78
$82
A.Upside+0.3%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.6% upside)
! Momentum score 2.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.1:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PEG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $81.33 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: PSE&G (BGSS gas supply contract). Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $77.67. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PEG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $81.58 (+0.6% upside). Prior stop was $77.67. Stop-loss: $77.67.

What are the risks of investing in PEG?

Concentration risk — Customer: PSE&G (BGSS gas supply contract); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.

Is PEG overvalued or undervalued?

Public Service Enterprise Group trades at a P/E of 18.9 (forward 17.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PEG?

26 analysts cover PEG with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $91.

What does Public Service Enterprise Group do?Public Service Enterprise Group is a New Jersey utility holding company, operating PSE&G (electric/gas T&D to 2.4...

Public Service Enterprise Group is a New Jersey utility holding company, operating PSE&G (electric/gas T&D to 2.4 million electric and 1.9 million gas customers across approximately 2,600 square miles of NJ) and PSEG Power (nuclear generation and wholesale natural gas). Revenue earned through regulated tariffs approved by the BPU and FERC.

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