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PACCAR Inc. (PCAR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $119.85 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.7/10.

The Company traces its predecessors to Seattle Car Manufacturing Company formed in 1905.

$119.85+5.8% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#10 of 12 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Stop $112.68Target $126.72(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$128.20+7.0%17 analysts
$126.72our TP
$119.85price
$128.20mean
$109
$150

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $119.85 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.7/10. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak overall score: 4.7/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.1
P/E (Fwd)17.5
Mkt Cap$62.2B
EV/EBITDA21.8
Profit Mgn8.9%
ROE13.1%
Rev Growth-8.9%
Beta1.06
Dividend1.18%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.47bullish
IV44%normal
Max Pain$54-55.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.0
Uptrend pullback (RSI 35) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Revenue shrinking — -8.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.3
Earnings Growth
5.9
Declining revenue: -9%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.7
Value Rank
2.5
Quality Rank
5.8
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
35 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $115.24Resistance $129.31

Price Targets

$113
$127
A.Upside+5.7%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.7% upside)
! Momentum score 2.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PCAR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $119.85 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.7/10. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $112.68. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PCAR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $126.72 (+5.8% upside). Prior stop was $112.68. Stop-loss: $112.68.

What are the risks of investing in PCAR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.7/10; Weak growth.

Is PCAR overvalued or undervalued?

PACCAR Inc. trades at a P/E of 25.1 (forward 17.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PCAR?

27 analysts cover PCAR with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $128.

What does PACCAR Inc. do?The Company traces its predecessors to Seattle Car Manufacturing Company formed in...

The Company traces its predecessors to Seattle Car Manufacturing Company formed in 1905.

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