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AGCO Corporation (AGCO) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $121.07 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 4 days (event risk).

Corporation was incorporated in Delaware in 1991. Unless otherwise indicated, all references in this Form 10-K to "AGCO," "we," "us" or the "Company" include AGCO Corporation and its subsidiaries.

$121.070.0% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#5 of 12 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Stop $113.18Target $121.17(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$128.29+6.0%14 analysts
$121.17our TP
$121.07price
$128.29mean
$102
$152

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $121.07 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 4 days (event risk)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.7
P/E (Fwd)14.0
Mkt Cap$8.3B
EV/EBITDA10.2
Profit Mgn7.2%
ROE16.7%
Rev Growth1.1%
Beta1.16
Dividend1.05%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.60bearish
IV63%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-06Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Exhibit No. | | Des [... truncated]
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-05Item 5.02MEDIUM
    . Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.8
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
2.0
Bollinger
2.3
52w Position
6.9
GatesMomentum 4.5<4.5A.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $111.59Resistance $123.64

Price Targets

$113
$121
A.Upside+0.1%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.9% upside)
! Momentum score 4.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AGCO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $121.07 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $113.18. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AGCO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $121.17 (0.0% upside). Prior stop was $113.18. Stop-loss: $113.18.

What are the risks of investing in AGCO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Weak growth.

Is AGCO overvalued or undervalued?

AGCO Corporation trades at a P/E of 11.7 (forward 14.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AGCO?

21 analysts cover AGCO with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $128.

What does AGCO Corporation do?Corporation was incorporated in Delaware in 1991. Unless otherwise indicated, all references in this Form 10-K to...

Corporation was incorporated in Delaware in 1991. Unless otherwise indicated, all references in this Form 10-K to "AGCO," "we," "us" or the "Company" include AGCO Corporation and its subsidiaries.

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