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AGCO Corporation (AGCO) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $113.20 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4).

Corporation was incorporated in Delaware in 1991. Unless otherwise indicated, all references in this Form 10-K to "AGCO," "we," "us" or the "Company" include AGCO Corporation and its subsidiaries.

$113.20+5.8% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#5 of 12 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield8.48%
IncomeYield1.06%(5y avg 0.90%)Payout11.19%sustainable
Stop $109.29Target $119.85(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$128.36+13.4%14 analysts
$119.85our TP
$113.20price
$128.36mean
$105
$152

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $113.20 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — AGCO Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.9
P/E (Fwd)14.0
Mkt Cap$8.2B
EV/EBITDA10.2
Profit Mgn7.4%
ROE17.5%
Rev Growth14.3%
Beta1.12
Dividend1.06%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-06Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Exhibit No. | | Des [... truncated]
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-05Item 5.02MEDIUM
    . Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.7
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $112.67Resistance $122.30

Price Targets

$109
$120
A.Upside+5.9%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.4% upside)
! Momentum score 2.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AGCO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $113.20 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $109.29. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AGCO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $119.85 (+5.8% upside). Prior stop was $109.29. Stop-loss: $109.29.

What are the risks of investing in AGCO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is AGCO overvalued or undervalued?

AGCO Corporation trades at a P/E of 10.9 (forward 14.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AGCO?

21 analysts cover AGCO with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $128.

What does AGCO Corporation do?Corporation was incorporated in Delaware in 1991. Unless otherwise indicated, all references in this Form 10-K to...

Corporation was incorporated in Delaware in 1991. Unless otherwise indicated, all references in this Form 10-K to "AGCO," "we," "us" or the "Company" include AGCO Corporation and its subsidiaries.

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