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OXMOxford Industries, Inc.Sell4.9·$34.88-3.03%
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Oxford Industries, Inc. (OXM) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $34.88: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 32%; Elevated put/call ratio: 6.25; Below-average business quality.

Oxford Industries, Inc., an apparel company, designs, sources, markets, and distributes lifestyle products worldwide. The company offers men's and women's sportswear and related products under the Tommy Bahama brand; and women's and girls' dresses and sportswear, scarves, bags,... Read more

$34.88+28.7% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#10 of 14 Apparel Manufacturing
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield2.55%
IncomeYield8.03%(5y avg 3.37%)Payout73.32%
Stop $32.92Target $44.90(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$40.00+14.7%4 analysts
$44.90our TP
$34.88price
$40.00mean
$45

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $34.88: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 32%; Elevated put/call ratio: 6.25; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 67d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Sep 9, 202667d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-2.5% upside)
Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)11.6
Mkt Cap$521M
EV/EBITDA12.9
Profit Mgn-2.6%
ROE-7.0%
Rev Growth-0.4%
Beta1.04
Dividend8.03%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C6.25bearish
IV81%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Ma Position
1.5
Rsi
4.5
Obv
4.5
Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

Volatile — 6.1% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Short Interest
0.3
Days To Cover
3.5
Debt Equity
4.7
Beta
6.8
High short interest justified: 32%Elevated put/call: 6.25High IV: 81%

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
0.6
Operating Margin
2.3
Fcf Quality
3.2
Moat
4.0
Current Ratio
4.5
Piotroski F
5.6
Gross Margin
8.0
FCF-positive despite GAAP loss (FCF margin 1%, FCF yield 2.5%)No competitive moat
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5A.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 67d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $33.94Resistance $45.82

Price Targets

$33
$45
A.Upside+28.7%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.5% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-09 (67d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OXM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $34.88: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 32%; Elevated put/call ratio: 6.25; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $32.92. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OXM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $44.90 (+28.7% upside). Prior stop was $32.92. Stop-loss: $32.92.

What are the risks of investing in OXM?

Target reached (-2.5% upside); Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).

Is OXM overvalued or undervalued?

Oxford Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 11.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OXM?

13 analysts cover OXM with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $40.

What does Oxford Industries, Inc. do?Oxford Industries, Inc., an apparel company, designs, sources, markets, and distributes lifestyle products worldwide....

Oxford Industries, Inc., an apparel company, designs, sources, markets, and distributes lifestyle products worldwide. The company offers men's and women's sportswear and related products under the Tommy Bahama brand; and women's and girls' dresses and sportswear, scarves, bags, jewelry, and belts, as well as children's apparel, swim, footwear, and licensed products under the Lilly Pulitzer brand. It also licenses Tommy Bahama brand for various products, such as indoor and outdoor furniture, beach chairs, bedding and bath linens, fabrics, leather goods and gifts, headwear, hosiery, sleepwear, shampoo, toiletries, fragrances, cigar accessories, resort operations, and other products; Johnny Was brand that designs, sources, markets and distributes upscale collections of affordable luxury, artisan-inspired bohemian apparel, accessories and home goods; and Lilly Pulitzer for stationery and gift products, home furnishing products, and eyewear. The company distributes its products through southerntide.com, thebeaufortbonnetcompany.com, duckhead.com, and jackrogersusa.com; and specialty retailers, as well as offers product under the Southern Tide, TBBC, Duck Head and Jack Rogers brand name. It offers products through its retail stores, department stores, specialty stores, multi-branded e-commerce retailers, off-price retailers, and other retailers, as well as e-commerce sites. The company operates brand-specific full-price retail stores; Tommy Bahama food and beverage locations; and Tommy Bahama outlet stores. Oxford Industries, Inc. was founded in 1942 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

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