Steven Madden, Ltd. (SHOO) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the SHOO stock price target?

Take-profit $38.09 (+1.7% upside). Target $38.09 (+1.5%), stop $34.83 (−7.7%), A.R:R 0.1:1.

Q: Is SHOO overvalued or undervalued?

Steven Madden, Ltd. trades at a P/E of 58.7 (forward 14.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Overall verdict: Hold.

Q: What do analysts say about SHOO?

15 analysts cover SHOO with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $44.

Range Bound setup

HoldModerate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-05-01

Consumer Cyclical · Footwear & Accessories

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Steven Madden designs, sources, and markets fashion footwear, accessories, and apparel globally under Steve Madden, Kurt Geiger, Dolce Vita, Betsey Johnson, and other brands via wholesale and 399 DTC stores. The U.S. represents ~66% of global sales; manufacturing is concentrated... Read more

$37.52+1.7% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#3 of 7 Footwear & Accessories

Stop $34.83Target $38.09(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.1:1

Analyst target$43.78+16.7%9 analysts

$38.09our TP

$37.52price

$43.78mean

$30

$50

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $37.52, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: China (56.1%); Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (66.2%). Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

Positive news sentiment (+0.67)

Strong growth profile

Recent Analyst detected in news

Risks

Concentration risk — Geographic: China (56.1%)

Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (66.2%)

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)58.7

P/E (Fwd)14.0

Mkt Cap$2.7B

EV/EBITDA15.1

Profit Mgn1.8%

ROE5.5%

Rev Growth29.4%

Beta1.15

Dividend2.27%

Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C2.67bearish

IV82%elevated

Max Pain$30-20.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

HIGHGeographicChina56%
10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, 56.1% of our total purchases were manufactured in China and 24.6% in Cambodia'
HIGHGeographicUnited States66%
10-K Item 1A: 'The United States accounted for approximately 66.2% of our global sales in fiscal year 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value6.615%0.99

Quality4.515%0.67

Growth9.815%1.47

Momentum2.510%0.25

Sentiment7.210%0.72

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank4.610%0.46

Technical Setup5.25%0.26

Risk Profile4.15%0.20

Catalyst6.25%0.31

Overall (Σ contributions)5.84

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd

0.0

Volume

0.0

Obv

1.0

Rsi

5.5

Ma Position

6.0

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

47 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $32.86Resistance $40.38

Price Targets

$35

$38

A.Upside+1.5%

A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.7% upside)

! Momentum score 2.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum

! Reward/Risk 0.1:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

2/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is SHOO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $37.52, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: China (56.1%); Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (66.2%). Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $38.09 (+1.5%), stop $34.83 (−7.7%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SHOO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $38.09 (+1.7% upside). Target $38.09 (+1.5%), stop $34.83 (−7.7%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Stop-loss: $34.83.

What are the risks of investing in SHOO?

Concentration risk — Geographic: China (56.1%); Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (66.2%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is SHOO overvalued or undervalued?

Steven Madden, Ltd. trades at a P/E of 58.7 (forward 14.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SHOO?

15 analysts cover SHOO with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $44.

What does Steven Madden, Ltd. do?Steven Madden designs, sources, and markets fashion footwear, accessories, and apparel globally under Steve Madden,...