Steven Madden, Ltd. (SHOO) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Consumer Cyclical · Footwear & Accessories
Sell if holding. At $38.20, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: China manufacturing (56.1%); Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (66.2%).
Steven Madden designs and sources footwear, handbags, and apparel under Steve Madden, Kurt Geiger, Dolce Vita, Betsey Johnson, Carvela, and other brands globally. Wholesale (66.1% of 2025 revenue) and DTC (33.4%) channels; U.S. accounted for ~66.2% of global sales, with no... Read more
Sell if holding. At $38.20, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: China manufacturing (56.1%); Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (66.2%). Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.8/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — Steven Madden, Ltd.
Latest news
- Steven Madden (SHOO) to Release Quarterly Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- Steven Madden (SHOO) Q1 earnings and revenues top estimates - MSN — MSN positive
- Steven Madden (NASDAQ:SHOO) Issues FY 2026 Earnings Guidance - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- Steven Madden (NASDAQ:SHOO) Beats Q1 CY2026 Sales Expectations - StockStory — StockStory positive
- Steven Madden (SHOO) Reports Q1: Everything You Need To Know Ahead Of Earnings - TradingView — TradingView neutral
Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHSupplierChina manufacturing56%10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, 56.1% of our total purchases were manufactured in China'
- MEDIUMSupplierCambodia manufacturing25%10-K Item 1A: '24.6% in Cambodia'
- HIGHGeographicUnited States66%10-K Item 1A: 'The United States accounted for approximately 66.2% of our global sales in fiscal year 2025'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $38.20, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: China manufacturing (56.1%); Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (66.2%). Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $35.55. Score 5.8/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $39.54 (+3.4% upside). Prior stop was $35.55. Stop-loss: $35.55.
Concentration risk — Supplier: China manufacturing (56.1%); Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (66.2%); Thin upside margin: 3.4%.
Steven Madden, Ltd. trades at a P/E of 36.5 (forward 14.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
15 analysts cover SHOO with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $45.
What does Steven Madden, Ltd. do?Steven Madden designs and sources footwear, handbags, and apparel under Steve Madden, Kurt Geiger, Dolce Vita, Betsey...
Steven Madden designs and sources footwear, handbags, and apparel under Steve Madden, Kurt Geiger, Dolce Vita, Betsey Johnson, Carvela, and other brands globally. Wholesale (66.1% of 2025 revenue) and DTC (33.4%) channels; U.S. accounted for ~66.2% of global sales, with no single customer exceeding 10% of net revenue.