The business offers attractive valuation at a forward P/E of 11.9x and solid operating margins, but three of the last four quarters missed consensus estimates by wide margins, growth is weak, and only about 5% headroom remains to the analyst target — leaving an unfavorable risk/reward despite improving technical signals.
Thesis pillars
- Attractive Valuation Quality Margins→Stable
- Poor Cash Conversion Quality Gap→Stable
- Persistent Earnings Miss Pattern→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste (ASR) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Industrials · Airports & Air Services
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $279.71 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Earnings in 4 days (event risk).
Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S. A. B. de C. V., together with its subsidiaries, holds concessions to operate, maintain, and develop airports in the southeast region of Mexico. The company operates through Cancún, Aerostar, Airplan, Mérida, Villahermosa, Holding & Services,... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $279.71 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 24, MACD bearish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-19Recent Developments — Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste
Latest news
- NEWS Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste (NYSE:ASR) Announces Quarterly Earnings Results - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste Posts Softer Margins Despite Traffic Growth in 1Q26 - TipRanks — TipRanks negative
- NEWS Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste (ASR) Projected to Post Quarterly Earnings on Tuesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste stock (MXP001681016): Why does its airport monopoly matter more now - AD HOC NEWS — AD HOC NEWS positive
- NEWS Sureste (ASR) Stock Volume Spike (Trend Weakens) 2026-04-16 - Viral Trades - Cổng thông tin điện tử tỉnh Lào Cai — Cổng thông tin điện tử tỉnh Lào Cai neutral
Generated 2026-07-20T05:32:10Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $279.71 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 24, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $267.19. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $308.92 (+10.4% upside). Prior stop was $267.19. Stop-loss: $267.19.
Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak growth.
Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste trades at a P/E of 15.0 (forward 11.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
23 analysts cover ASR with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $355.
What does Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste do?Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S. A. B. de C. V., together with its subsidiaries, holds concessions to operate,...
Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S. A. B. de C. V., together with its subsidiaries, holds concessions to operate, maintain, and develop airports in the southeast region of Mexico. The company operates through Cancún, Aerostar, Airplan, Mérida, Villahermosa, Holding & Services, and Other segments. It operates the airports in Cozumel, Huatulco, Mérida, Minatitlán, Oaxaca, Tapachula, Veracruz, and Villahermosa; and offers aeronautical services, such as passenger, aircraft landing and parking, passenger walkways, and airport security. The company also provides non-aeronautical services, such as leasing of space at its airports to retailers, restaurants, airlines, and other commercial tenants; luggage check-in, sorting and handling, aircraft servicing and cleaning, cargo handling, aircraft catering services, and assistance with passenger boarding and deplaning; and open-air parking lots for commercial vehicle operators, including taxi, bus and other ground transport operators; and other commercial activities. In addition, the company operates various airports in Colombia, including the Enrique Olaya Herrera Airport in Medellín, the José María Córdova International Airport in Rionegro, the Los Garzones Airport in Montería, the Antonio Roldán Betancourt Airport in Carepa, the El Caraño Airport in Quibdó, and the Las Brujas Airport in Corozal; and holds a lease to operate, maintain, and develop the Luis Muñoz Marín International Airport in San Juan, Puerto Rico. Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S. A. B. de C. V. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.