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Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste (ASR) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Airports & Air Services

Sell if holding. At $300.93, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 8.3%.

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S. A. B. de C. V., together with its subsidiaries, holds concessions to operate, maintain, and develop airports in the southeast region of Mexico. The company operates through Cancún, Aerostar, Airplan, Mérida, Villahermosa, Holding & Services,... Read more

$300.93+8.3% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#3 of 5 Airports & Air Services
Stop $289.22Target $325.33(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$373.94+24.3%8 analysts
$325.33our TP
$300.93price
$373.94mean
$426

Sell if holding. At $300.93, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 8.3%. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 8.3%
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.9
P/E (Fwd)11.9
Mkt Cap$9.0B
EV/EBITDA5.9
Profit Mgn26.2%
ROE17.8%
Rev Growth0.8%
Beta0.37
Dividend8.59%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.33bearish
IV45%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 10, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.7
GatesMomentum 1.2<4.5A.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
10 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $298.16Resistance $363.72

Price Targets

$289
$325
A.Upside+8.1%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ASR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $300.93, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 8.3%. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $289.22. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ASR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $325.33 (+8.3% upside). Prior stop was $289.22. Stop-loss: $289.22.

What are the risks of investing in ASR?

Thin upside margin: 8.3%; Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak growth.

Is ASR overvalued or undervalued?

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste trades at a P/E of 14.9 (forward 11.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ASR?

24 analysts cover ASR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $374.

What does Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste do?Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S. A. B. de C. V., together with its subsidiaries, holds concessions to operate,...

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S. A. B. de C. V., together with its subsidiaries, holds concessions to operate, maintain, and develop airports in the southeast region of Mexico. The company operates through Cancún, Aerostar, Airplan, Mérida, Villahermosa, Holding & Services, and Other segments. It operates the airports in Cozumel, Huatulco, Mérida, Minatitlán, Oaxaca, Tapachula, Veracruz, and Villahermosa; and offers aeronautical services, such as passenger, aircraft landing and parking, passenger walkways, and airport security. The company also provides non-aeronautical services, such as leasing of space at its airports to retailers, restaurants, airlines, and other commercial tenants; luggage check-in, sorting and handling, aircraft servicing and cleaning, cargo handling, aircraft catering services, and assistance with passenger boarding and deplaning; and open-air parking lots for commercial vehicle operators, including taxi, bus and other ground transport operators; and other commercial activities. In addition, the company operates various airports in Colombia, including the Enrique Olaya Herrera Airport in Medellín, the José María Córdova International Airport in Rionegro, the Los Garzones Airport in Montería, the Antonio Roldán Betancourt Airport in Carepa, the El Caraño Airport in Quibdó, and the Las Brujas Airport in Corozal; and holds a lease to operate, maintain, and develop the Luis Muñoz Marín International Airport in San Juan, Puerto Rico. Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S. A. B. de C. V. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.

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