The business offers attractive valuation at a forward P/E of 11.9x and solid operating margins, but three of the last four quarters missed consensus estimates by wide margins, growth is weak, and only about 5% headroom remains to the analyst target — leaving an unfavorable risk/reward despite improving technical signals.
Thesis pillars
- Attractive Valuation Quality Margins↓Deteriorating
- Poor Cash Conversion Quality Gap↓Deteriorating
- Persistent Earnings Miss Pattern↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026
Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste (ASR) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Industrials · Airports & Air Services
Sell if holding. At $249.15, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S. A. B. de C. V., together with its subsidiaries, holds concessions to operate, maintain, and develop airports in the southeast region of Mexico. The company operates through Cancún, Aerostar, Airplan, Mérida, Villahermosa, Holding & Services,... Read more
Sell if holding. At $249.15, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 69. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 118d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-28Recent Developments — Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste
Latest news
- NEWS ASR Downgraded by JP Morgan -- Rating Changed to Underweight - GuruFocus — GuruFocus negative
- NEWS JPMorgan Chase & Co. Downgrades Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste (NYSE:ASR) to Underweight - MarketBeat — MarketBeat negative
- NEWS JPMorgan cuts Grupo Aeroportuario Del Sureste stock rating on weak traffic - Investing.com Canada — Investing.com Canada negative
- NEWS JPMorgan cuts Grupo Aeroportuario Del Sureste stock rating on weak traffic - Investing.com — Investing.com negative
- NEWS Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste (NYSE:ASR) Announces Quarterly Earnings Results - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
Generated 2026-10-28T11:48:52Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $249.15, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 69. Prior stop was $235.41. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.
Analyst target: $282.07 (+13.2% upside). Prior stop was $235.41. Stop-loss: $235.41.
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0; Consecutive earnings misses (3).
Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste trades at a P/E of 13.2 (forward 11.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
21 analysts cover ASR with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $324.
What does Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste do?Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S. A. B. de C. V., together with its subsidiaries, holds concessions to operate,...
Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S. A. B. de C. V., together with its subsidiaries, holds concessions to operate, maintain, and develop airports in the southeast region of Mexico. The company operates through Cancún, Aerostar, Airplan, Mérida, Villahermosa, Holding & Services, and Other segments. It operates the airports in Cozumel, Huatulco, Mérida, Minatitlán, Oaxaca, Tapachula, Veracruz, and Villahermosa; and offers aeronautical services, such as passenger, aircraft landing and parking, passenger walkways, and airport security. The company also provides non-aeronautical services, such as leasing of space at its airports to retailers, restaurants, airlines, and other commercial tenants; luggage check-in, sorting and handling, aircraft servicing and cleaning, cargo handling, aircraft catering services, and assistance with passenger boarding and deplaning; and open-air parking lots for commercial vehicle operators, including taxi, bus and other ground transport operators; and other commercial activities. In addition, the company operates various airports in Colombia, including the Enrique Olaya Herrera Airport in Medellín, the José María Córdova International Airport in Rionegro, the Los Garzones Airport in Montería, the Antonio Roldán Betancourt Airport in Carepa, the El Caraño Airport in Quibdó, and the Las Brujas Airport in Corozal; and holds a lease to operate, maintain, and develop the Luis Muñoz Marín International Airport in San Juan, Puerto Rico. Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S. A. B. de C. V. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.