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ASRGrupo Aeroportuario del SuresteSell5.1·$282.00-0.05%
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Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste (ASR) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Airports & Air Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $282.00 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S. A. B. de C. V., together with its subsidiaries, holds concessions to operate, maintain, and develop airports in the southeast region of Mexico. The company operates through Cancún, Aerostar, Airplan, Mérida, Villahermosa, Holding & Services,... Read more

$282.00+12.1% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#4 of 5 Airports & Air Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield39.87%
IncomeYield2.04%(5y avg 2.36%)Payout152.39%at-risk
Stop $269.63Target $315.86(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst target$363.06+28.7%8 analysts
$315.86our TP
$282.00price
$363.06mean
$384

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $282.00 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 42d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 21, 202642d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.3 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.3
P/E (Fwd)11.1
Mkt Cap$8.5B
EV/EBITDA5.7
Profit Mgn26.2%
ROE17.8%
Rev Growth0.8%
Beta0.18
Dividend2.04%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.64bearish
IV60%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.7

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
3.5
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
3.3
Value Rank
6.3
GatesMomentum 1.5<4.5A.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 42d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $277.97Resistance $308.96

Price Targets

$270
$316
A.Upside+12.0%
A.R:R2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (42d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ASR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $282.00 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $269.63. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ASR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $315.86 (+12.1% upside). Prior stop was $269.63. Stop-loss: $269.63.

What are the risks of investing in ASR?

Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak growth.

Is ASR overvalued or undervalued?

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste trades at a P/E of 15.3 (forward 11.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ASR?

24 analysts cover ASR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $363.

What does Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste do?Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S. A. B. de C. V., together with its subsidiaries, holds concessions to operate,...

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S. A. B. de C. V., together with its subsidiaries, holds concessions to operate, maintain, and develop airports in the southeast region of Mexico. The company operates through Cancún, Aerostar, Airplan, Mérida, Villahermosa, Holding & Services, and Other segments. It operates the airports in Cozumel, Huatulco, Mérida, Minatitlán, Oaxaca, Tapachula, Veracruz, and Villahermosa; and offers aeronautical services, such as passenger, aircraft landing and parking, passenger walkways, and airport security. The company also provides non-aeronautical services, such as leasing of space at its airports to retailers, restaurants, airlines, and other commercial tenants; luggage check-in, sorting and handling, aircraft servicing and cleaning, cargo handling, aircraft catering services, and assistance with passenger boarding and deplaning; and open-air parking lots for commercial vehicle operators, including taxi, bus and other ground transport operators; and other commercial activities. In addition, the company operates various airports in Colombia, including the Enrique Olaya Herrera Airport in Medellín, the José María Córdova International Airport in Rionegro, the Los Garzones Airport in Montería, the Antonio Roldán Betancourt Airport in Carepa, the El Caraño Airport in Quibdó, and the Las Brujas Airport in Corozal; and holds a lease to operate, maintain, and develop the Luis Muñoz Marín International Airport in San Juan, Puerto Rico. Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S. A. B. de C. V. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.

Related stocks: CAAP (Corporacion America Airports SA) · OMAB (Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro ) · PAC (Grupo Aeroportuario Del Pacific) · JOBY (Joby Aviation, Inc.)
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