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Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste (ASR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Airports & Air Services

Sell if holding. At $300.38, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.5%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S. A. B. de C. V., together with its subsidiaries, holds concessions to operate, maintain, and develop airports in the southeast region of Mexico. The company operates through Cancún, Aerostar, Airplan, Mérida, Villahermosa, Holding & Services,... Read more

$300.38+6.5% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#4 of 5 Airports & Air Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield37.49%
IncomeYield1.92%(5y avg 2.36%)Payout152.39%at-risk
Stop $287.88Target $321.63(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$369.69+23.1%8 analysts
$321.63our TP
$300.38price
$369.69mean
$426

Sell if holding. At $300.38, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.5%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 62d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Val8.0Qual7.3Grw1.4Mom5.2Sent6.7Ins5.0Peer3.6Tech6.6Risk7.25.4OVERALL

Recent Developments — Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.3 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 6.5%
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.9
P/E (Fwd)12.0
Mkt Cap$9.0B
EV/EBITDA5.9
Profit Mgn26.2%
ROE17.8%
Rev Growth0.8%
Beta0.22
Dividend1.92%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.42bearish
IV46%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.7

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
3.5
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
3.3
Value Rank
6.3
GatesA.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 62d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
46 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $293.29Resistance $324.86

Price Targets

$288
$322
A.Upside+7.1%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Reward/Risk 1.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (62d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ASR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $300.38, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.5%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $287.88. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ASR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $321.63 (+6.5% upside). Prior stop was $287.88. Stop-loss: $287.88.

What are the risks of investing in ASR?

Thin upside margin: 6.5%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is ASR overvalued or undervalued?

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste trades at a P/E of 15.9 (forward 12.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ASR?

24 analysts cover ASR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $370.

What does Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste do?Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S. A. B. de C. V., together with its subsidiaries, holds concessions to operate,...

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S. A. B. de C. V., together with its subsidiaries, holds concessions to operate, maintain, and develop airports in the southeast region of Mexico. The company operates through Cancún, Aerostar, Airplan, Mérida, Villahermosa, Holding & Services, and Other segments. It operates the airports in Cozumel, Huatulco, Mérida, Minatitlán, Oaxaca, Tapachula, Veracruz, and Villahermosa; and offers aeronautical services, such as passenger, aircraft landing and parking, passenger walkways, and airport security. The company also provides non-aeronautical services, such as leasing of space at its airports to retailers, restaurants, airlines, and other commercial tenants; luggage check-in, sorting and handling, aircraft servicing and cleaning, cargo handling, aircraft catering services, and assistance with passenger boarding and deplaning; and open-air parking lots for commercial vehicle operators, including taxi, bus and other ground transport operators; and other commercial activities. In addition, the company operates various airports in Colombia, including the Enrique Olaya Herrera Airport in Medellín, the José María Córdova International Airport in Rionegro, the Los Garzones Airport in Montería, the Antonio Roldán Betancourt Airport in Carepa, the El Caraño Airport in Quibdó, and the Las Brujas Airport in Corozal; and holds a lease to operate, maintain, and develop the Luis Muñoz Marín International Airport in San Juan, Puerto Rico. Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S. A. B. de C. V. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.

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