Olin Corporation (OLN) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Basic Materials · Chemicals
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.07: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
Olin Corporation is a vertically integrated chemical and ammunition manufacturer with three segments: Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls (54% of 2025 sales), Epoxy (20%), and Winchester ammunition (26%). It generates ~32% of revenues internationally and approximately 13% from U.S.... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.07: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — Olin Corporation
Latest news
- JP Morgan Maintains Neutral on Olin, Raises Price Target to $26 — benzinga May 15, 2026 neutral
- UBS Maintains Neutral on Olin, Raises Price Target to $31 — benzinga May 13, 2026 neutral
- Goldman Sachs Maintains Neutral on Olin, Raises Price Target to $31 — benzinga May 12, 2026 neutral
- Morgan Stanley Maintains Underweight on Olin, Raises Price Target to $22 — benzinga May 11, 2026 neutral
- Truist Securities Maintains Hold on Olin, Raises Price Target to $26 — benzinga May 11, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomerU.S. government agencies13%10-K Item 1: 'Sales to all U.S. government agencies and sales under U.S. government contracting activities in total accounted for approximately 13% of sales in 2025.'
- MEDIUMSupplierpropellant supplier10-K Item 1: "Winchester's other main raw material is propellant, which is purchased predominantly from one of the U.S.'s largest propellant suppliers."
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-30Item 5.02LOWOlin shareholders approved the 2026 Long Term Incentive Plan on April 30, 2026; compensatory arrangements for officers updated. No officer departures or appointments reported.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.07: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $25.18. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $28.47 (+5.2% upside). Prior stop was $25.18. Stop-loss: $25.18.
Target reached (-6.8% upside); Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0).
Olin Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 29.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
20 analysts cover OLN with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $29.
What does Olin Corporation do?Olin Corporation is a vertically integrated chemical and ammunition manufacturer with three segments: Chlor Alkali...
Olin Corporation is a vertically integrated chemical and ammunition manufacturer with three segments: Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls (54% of 2025 sales), Epoxy (20%), and Winchester ammunition (26%). It generates ~32% of revenues internationally and approximately 13% from U.S. government agencies, with no single customer exceeding 10% of sales.