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Olin Corporation (OLN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Chemicals

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.61: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality.

Olin is a vertically integrated global manufacturer of chemical products and a leading U.S. ammunition maker, operating through Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls (54% of 2025 sales), Epoxy (20%), and Winchester ammunition (26%) segments. Revenue comes from selling chlorine,... Read more

$27.61+7.0% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#5 of 10 Chemicals
Stop $25.71Target $29.58(resistance)A.R:R -1.8:1
Analyst target$26.79-3.0%14 analysts
$29.58our TP
$27.61price
$26.79mean
$18
$35

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.61: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-15.7% upside)
Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)34.7
Mkt Cap$3.1B
EV/EBITDA9.3
Profit Mgn-1.5%
ROE-5.1%
Rev Growth-0.4%
Beta1.37
Dividend2.92%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.71neutral
IV80%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicoutside United States32%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 32% of our sales were generated outside of the United States'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
0.7
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
4.6
Moat
5.0
No competitive moatQuality concerns
GatesMomentum 4.5<4.5A.R:R -1.8=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $25.75Resistance $30.18

Price Targets

$26
$30
A.Upside+7.1%
A.R:R-1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-15.7% upside)
! Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 4.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OLN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.61: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $25.71. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OLN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.58 (+7.0% upside). Prior stop was $25.71. Stop-loss: $25.71.

What are the risks of investing in OLN?

Target reached (-15.7% upside); Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0).

Is OLN overvalued or undervalued?

Olin Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 34.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OLN?

20 analysts cover OLN with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $27.

What does Olin Corporation do?Olin is a vertically integrated global manufacturer of chemical products and a leading U.S. ammunition maker, operating...

Olin is a vertically integrated global manufacturer of chemical products and a leading U.S. ammunition maker, operating through Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls (54% of 2025 sales), Epoxy (20%), and Winchester ammunition (26%) segments. Revenue comes from selling chlorine, caustic soda, epoxy materials, and ammunition to industrial and consumer markets. The company has been in the chlor alkali industry for approximately 135 years.

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