Olin Corporation is a chemical producer trading below minimum quality thresholds with zero scores on return on equity, gross margin, and net margin, yet carries a PEG of 0.17 and elevated short interest of 14% alongside a put/call ratio of 1.95, suggesting the market is deeply skeptical of a margin recovery that analysts are pricing in.
Thesis pillars
- High Implied Volatility Uncertainty↓Deteriorating
- Margin Collapse Quality Failure↑Improving
- Elevated Short And Put Call↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 20, 2026· older than 90 days
Olin Corporation (OLN) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Basic Materials · Chemicals
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.53: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.
Olin Corporation manufactures chemicals and ammunition through three segments: Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls (54% of 2025 sales), Winchester ammunition (26%), and Epoxy (20%), operating across the U.S., Europe, and Latin America. Revenue comes from chemical sales to... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.53: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 85d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated Nov 3, 2026Recent Developments — Olin Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Wells Fargo Maintains Olin at Equal-Weight, Raises Price Target — fiscal.ai Nov 3, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Huntsman Corporation Plans to Close Olin Merger in Early 2027 — fiscal.ai Nov 3, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Wells Fargo Maintains Equal-Weight on Olin, Raises Price Target to $17 — benzinga Nov 3, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Analysts Update Price Targets for Olin Corporation — fiscal.ai Nov 2, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Citigroup Maintains Neutral on Olin, Raises Price Target to $19 — benzinga Nov 2, 2026 neutral
Latest item Nov 3, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T12:04:36Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomerU.S. government13%10-K Item 1: 'Sales to all U.S. government agencies and sales under U.S. government contracting activities in total accounted for approximately 13% of sales in 2025'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-30Item 5.02LOWOn April 30, 2026, Olin shareholders approved the 2026 Long Term Incentive Plan (2026 LTIP), effective immediately, authorizing equity compensation grants to directors, officers, and key employees. No officer departure involved.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.53: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Prior stop was $16.30. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target $17.38 reached (−0.8% from $17.53); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $16.30. Stop-loss: $16.30.
Target reached (-0.8% upside); Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0).
Olin Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 54.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
22 analysts rate OLN, with a consensus score of 3.3/5. 16 analysts publish price targets averaging $19.
What does Olin Corporation do?Olin Corporation manufactures chemicals and ammunition through three segments: Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls (54% of...
Olin Corporation manufactures chemicals and ammunition through three segments: Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls (54% of 2025 sales), Winchester ammunition (26%), and Epoxy (20%), operating across the U.S., Europe, and Latin America. Revenue comes from chemical sales to industrial customers and distribution to commercial and military ammunition buyers; approximately 32% of 2025 sales were international.