Okta, Inc. (OKTA) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge
Technology · Software - Infrastructure
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $74.47: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.4): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Okta is an independent cloud-based identity platform offering workforce and customer identity security through its Okta Platform and Auth0 Platform to over 20,000 customers globally as of January 31, 2026. Revenue comes primarily from multi-year SaaS subscription contracts sold... Read more
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $74.47: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.4): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 75. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 26d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWGeographicinternational revenue20%10-K Item 1A: 'our international revenue was 21% and 20% of our total revenue in fiscal 2025 and fiscal 2026, respectively'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-22Item 5.02MEDIUMChief Legal Officer Larissa Schwartz will leave her CLO role effective July 31, 2026, then serve as senior advisor through January 31, 2027. No successor named for the CLO role.SEC filing →
- 2026-03-23Item 5.02LOWDirector Jeff Epstein resigned from the Board effective at the 2026 annual meeting (planned June 18, 2026). Departure not due to any disagreement.SEC filing →
- 2026-03-11Item 5.02LOWDirector Michael Stankey resigned from the Board on March 5, 2026. Departure not due to any disagreement.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Analyst Consensus
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $74.47: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.4): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 75. Prior stop was $69.28. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $92.25 (+23.8% upside). Prior stop was $69.28. Stop-loss: $69.28.
Leverage penalty (D/E 6.4): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 6.4), Material insider selling (14 sells, 0.04% of cap).
Okta, Inc. trades at a P/E of 58.1 (forward 18.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
53 analysts cover OKTA with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $100.
What does Okta, Inc. do?Okta is an independent cloud-based identity platform offering workforce and customer identity security through its Okta...
Okta is an independent cloud-based identity platform offering workforce and customer identity security through its Okta Platform and Auth0 Platform to over 20,000 customers globally as of January 31, 2026. Revenue comes primarily from multi-year SaaS subscription contracts sold directly and through channel partners; international revenue was 20% of total in fiscal 2026.