Vistra Corp. (VST) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Utilities · Utilities - Independent Power Producers
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $143.75 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.6): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (4).
Vistra Corp is one of the largest competitive power generators in the U.S., with ~44,000 MW of generation capacity (natural gas 62%, coal 20%, nuclear 15%, renewables 3%) and retail electricity operations serving ~5 million customers across 18 states. Its integrated... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $143.75 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.6): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (4). Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 57d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-09Recent Developments — Vistra Corp.
Latest news
- NEWS Here's How Much $100 Invested In Vistra 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today — benzinga Jun 9, 2026 positive
- NEWS As Trump Predicts Gas Prices Will 'Drop Like A Rock,' Moody's Chief Economist Estimates $100 Billion Iran War Cost To Am — benzinga Jun 2, 2026 neutral
- NEWS $700 Billion and Most Investors Are Watching The Wrong Companies — benzinga Jun 1, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Third Point Sells Position In Alibaba Group; Bausch Health Companies; Brookfield Corporation; Casey's General Stores; Ch — benzinga May 15, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Appaloosa Management Increases Stake In Amazon.com To 4,320,000 Shares; Baidu Increases Stake To 692,100 Shares; NRG Ene — benzinga May 15, 2026
Generated 2026-06-09T22:06:37Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCommoditynatural gas generation62%10-K Item 1: 'Natural Gas| | CCGT, CT or ST| | 26,989 | | | 62%'
- LOWCommoditycoal generation20%10-K Item 1: 'Coal| | ST| | 8,743 | | | 20%'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $143.75 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.6): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (4). Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $133.68. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $202.76 (+41.1% upside). Prior stop was $133.68. Stop-loss: $133.68.
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.6): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (4); Negative momentum.
Vistra Corp. trades at a P/E of 24.9 (forward 13.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
23 analysts cover VST with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $225.
What does Vistra Corp. do?Vistra Corp is one of the largest competitive power generators in the U.S., with ~44,000 MW of generation capacity...
Vistra Corp is one of the largest competitive power generators in the U.S., with ~44,000 MW of generation capacity (natural gas 62%, coal 20%, nuclear 15%, renewables 3%) and retail electricity operations serving ~5 million customers across 18 states. Its integrated retail-and-generation model, primarily anchored in ERCOT (Texas) with ~2.6 million retail customers, provides countercyclical revenue stability.