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OKEONEOK, Inc.Sell5.6·$87.92-2.95%
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ONEOK, Inc. (OKE) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $87.92 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5.

ONEOK is a leading midstream energy company with ~60,000 miles of pipeline providing gathering, processing, fractionation, transportation, storage, and marine export services across Natural Gas Gathering/Processing, NGLs, Natural Gas Pipelines, and Refined Products/Crude... Read more

$87.92+7.2% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#21 of 42 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield0.80%
IncomeYield4.72%(5y avg 5.47%)Payout74.15%
Stop $82.52Target $94.15(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$95.48+8.6%21 analysts
$94.15our TP
$87.92price
$95.48mean
$84
$113

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $87.92 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 49d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About ONEOK, Inc.

About ONEOK, Inc.

ONEOK's four midstream segments—Natural Gas Gathering and Processing, Natural Gas Liquids, Natural Gas Pipelines, and Refined Products and Crude—connect through a roughly 60,000-mile pipeline network spanning the Williston, Permian, Mid-Continent, and Gulf Coast regions. Following the EnLink acquisition that closed January 31, 2025, for $4.0 billion in ONEOK shares, the company generated approximately 90% fee-based consolidated earnings in 2025, with 7.2 Bcf/d of natural gas processing capacity and NGL fractionation capacity of 1.2 MMBbl/d at 94% utilization.

ONEOK earns revenue across gathering, processing, and fractionation (primarily fee-based), regulated pipeline transportation tariffs, and optimization activities that capture location and seasonal price differentials. The Natural Gas Gathering and Processing segment—serving producers in the Rocky Mountain, Mid-Continent, and Permian Basin under fee-with-POP and fee-only contracts—sells NGLs primarily to the Natural Gas Liquids segment. The Natural Gas Pipelines segment derives the majority of capacity from long-term, firm fee-based subscriptions, limiting volumetric exposure compared with other segments. Three major capital projects underpin near-term capacity additions: the Bighorn natural gas processing plant in the Permian Basin ($365 million, 300 MMcf/d, targeted mid-2027), the Texas City liquified petroleum gas export terminal ($1.0 billion, 400 MBbl/d, expected early 2028) in joint venture with MPLX LP, and the Eiger Express Pipeline ($350 million, 3.7 Bcf/d capacity, expected mid-2028) with WhiteWater, MPLX LP, and Enbridge.

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The Natural Gas Pipelines segment notes that the majority of capacity is subscribed under long-term, firm fee-based contracts, which insulates it from volume declines affecting the company's other segments. On the capital side, the Refined Products pipeline expansion from Scott City, Kansas, to Denver International Airport—a 230-mile, 16-inch diameter pipeline adding 35 MBbl/d of system capacity—is fully subscribed under long-term contracts and targets completion in mid-2026. Conversely, the 10-K warns that new pipeline construction exposes the company to right-of-way, permitting, and inflationary risk; potential tariffs on non-U.S.-produced construction materials could further increase project costs for these capital commitments.

See also: Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

From ONEOK, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202649d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.1
P/E (Fwd)14.7
Mkt Cap$57.1B
EV/EBITDA12.1
Profit Mgn10.0%
ROE15.9%
Rev Growth19.6%
Beta0.71
Dividend4.72%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.22bearish
IV48%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-25Item 5.02LOW
    Pattye Moore retiring from ONEOK Board at end of current term (2026 annual meeting, May 20, 2026); no disagreement cited. Gerald Smith also not standing for re-election due to mandatory age retirement policy; no disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 49d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $83.57Resistance $96.07

Price Targets

$83
$94
A.Upside+7.1%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (49d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OKE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $87.92 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $82.52. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OKE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $94.15 (+7.2% upside). Prior stop was $82.52. Stop-loss: $82.52.

What are the risks of investing in OKE?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5.

Is OKE overvalued or undervalued?

ONEOK, Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.1 (forward 14.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OKE?

27 analysts cover OKE with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $95.

What does ONEOK, Inc. do?ONEOK is a leading midstream energy company with ~60,000 miles of pipeline providing gathering, processing,...

ONEOK is a leading midstream energy company with ~60,000 miles of pipeline providing gathering, processing, fractionation, transportation, storage, and marine export services across Natural Gas Gathering/Processing, NGLs, Natural Gas Pipelines, and Refined Products/Crude segments. Approximately 90% of consolidated earnings were fee-based in 2025, with significant growth from the January 2025 EnLink acquisition.

Related stocks: FRO (Frontline Plc) · VG (Venture Global, Inc.) · LNG (Cheniere Energy, Inc.) · AM (Antero Midstream Corporation) · WES (Western Midstream Partners, LP)
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